Tipps Deportivo Pereira Deportes Tolima Primera A 08/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Deportes Tolima wins the match.

1. Deportes Tolima has a better win rate than Deportivo Pereira: Deportes Tolima has won 60% of its recent away matches, while Deportivo Pereira has only won 40% of its recent home matches.
2. Deportes Tolima has a higher offensive potential: With an average of 0.8 goals scored per match in its recent away games, Deportes Tolima has shown to have a more effective attack than Deportivo Pereira, which has only averaged 0.6 goals per match in its recent home games.
3. Bettors’ odds favor Deportes Tolima: With a 40% chance of winning the match, Deportes Tolima is more likely to win than Deportivo Pereira, which has a success rate of only 28.89%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Over their last 5 respective matches, Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima have both shown a low average of goals per match (0.6 and 0.8 respectively). This suggests a trend towards low-scoring matches, supporting the Under 2.5 prediction.
2. Deportivo Pereira, playing at home, has a relatively strong defensive performance, conceding only an average of 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 home matches. This further enhances the likelihood of a low-scoring game.
3. By analyzing previous home matches of Deportivo Pereira and away matches of Deportes Tolima, we see a prevalence of results where fewer than 2.5 goals were scored. Such a historical trend strengthens the Under 2.5 prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Analysis of Past Performances: Looking at their recent matches, both Deportivo Pereira at home and Deportes Tolima away have shown a tendency to have low-scoring games. Deportivo Pereira has scored 3 goals and conceded 4 in 5 home games, while Deportes Tolima has scored 5 but conceded 6 in their away matches. These numbers suggest that both teams might struggle to score in this match.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Statistics also reveal that both teams have a low offensive potential when Deportivo Pereira plays at home (21%) and Deportes Tolima away (29%) averaging 0.6 and 0.8 goals per game respectively. Furthermore, their defensive potential is also weak, at 29% for each team. This further supports the hypothesis that both teams may not score.

3. Bookmakers’ Prediction: Bookmakers’ prediction indicates a 50.56% probability of both teams not scoring. This means they believe there is a reasonable chance that one (or both) of the clubs will fail to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Pereira 1-1 Deportes Tolima.

1. Both teams have similar defensive and offensive performance, scoring and conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match each. This indicates that they are quite balanced in terms of defensive and offensive play, which could lead to a situation of a draw.

2. The historical statistics of Deportivo Pereira’s home matches show that they have drawn in 40% of cases. They have also conceded goals in most of these matches, which suggests that they could potentially concede a goal against Deportes Tolima.

3. On the other hand, Deportes Tolima has not drawn any away matches in their last 5 matches. However, they have scored at least one goal in almost all of these matches. This suggests that they have a fairly stable attack and could score against Deportivo Pereira.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportivo Pereira has had a mixed home performance, winning 40% of the time and drawing 40% of the time in its last 5 matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 4 goals, indicating a relatively weak offensive strength with only 0.6 goals per match.

Deportes Tolima, on the other hand, performs better away from home with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals. Their attack seems slightly better than their opponent’s with an average of 0.8 goals per match.

In terms of probabilities, Deportes Tolima has a 40% chance of winning the match compared to 28.89% for Deportivo Pereira. A draw is likely at 31.11%.

Regarding goals, the match is expected to be relatively tight. There is a high probability (93.33%) that there will be less than 3.5 goals in the match. It is also likely that both teams will score, with a probability of 49.44%.

Based on recent matches, Deportivo Pereira has struggled to score more than one goal per home match. Deportes Tolima has also found it difficult to score in their away matches but have managed to keep several clean sheets.

In conclusion, this match looks to be a close affair, with Deportes Tolima holding a slight advantage. A low score is probable, and both teams could very well score.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Pereira at home, with a win rate of 40%, has slightly weaker defense, conceding 4 goals and scoring only 3. They struggle to score, averaging 0.6 goals per match.

Deportes Tolima, playing away, is more successful with a 60% win rate. The team averages 0.8 goals scored and conceded per match.

In terms of probability, Deportes Tolima is more likely to win with an expected success rate of 40% compared to 28.89% for Deportivo Pereira. A draw is also possible at 31.11%.

In this matchup, the total number of goals is likely to be low. More than 1.5 goals are expected with a 68.33% probability, but more than 2.5 goals have only a 44.44% chance.

Both Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima struggle to score in every match, with a low probability of both teams scoring (49.44%).

Considering the recent statistics and probabilities, it is advisable to bet on a win for Deportes Tolima or a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the upcoming match between Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima promises to be highly competitive, with the latter having a slight edge in terms of past performances and current probabilities. Despite Deportivo Pereira’s weaker offensive potential, both teams have shown a relatively low average of goals per match, suggesting a high probability of under 2.5 goals for the upcoming match.

The weak defensive potential of both teams also risks limiting the number of goals, further reinforcing the idea of under 3.5 goals. Considering the strong probabilities of both teams not scoring, it appears that the safest bet would be either a win for Deportes Tolima or a match with under 2.5 goals.

However, as in any sport, nothing is certain and surprises are always possible. That is why it is crucial to always bet responsibly and not exceed your financial limits. Good luck to all bettors!