Tipps Deportivo Riestra Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional 18/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Deportivo Riestra wins the match.

1. Deportivo Riestra’s home efficiency: In the last 5 matches, Deportivo Riestra has won 80% of home games, indicating a strong home performance.
2. Atletico Tucuman’s away performance: In the last 5 matches, Atletico Tucuman has lost in 40% of cases and drawn in 20% of cases, indicating a weaker away performance.
3. Probabilities based on statistics: Based on calculated probabilities, the forecast for the match to end in a draw or a win for Deportivo Riestra is 67.71%. This high probability is linked to the recent performances of both teams.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of both teams is relatively low (36% for each), suggesting that they struggle to score goals, consequently reducing the total number of goals scored during the match.
2. Analysis of Atletico Tucuman’s previous away matches shows that they tend to score few goals and concede a significant number. This may indicate a more cautious defensive strategy when playing away, which could also contribute to a low total number of goals.
3. Looking at Deportivo Riestra’s last 5 home matches, despite some fluctuations in the number of goals, their average goals per match is 1 and they concede an average of 1.2 goals per match, suggesting that their matches tend to be low-scoring in terms of total number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. According to statistics, Atletico Tucuman’s defensive performances away are quite high, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. This could limit their chances of scoring a goal during the match.
2. Deportivo Riestra has a clear tendency to win at home, with 80% of victories in their last 5 matches. This, combined with their offensive potential of 36%, could lead to a match where only Deportivo Riestra scores.
3. The odds also reflect this analysis, with only a 47.4% probability of both teams scoring. Therefore, with a higher probability of 52.6%, it is more likely that only one of the teams will score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Fewer than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Riestra 2-1 Atletico Tucuman.

1. Deportivo Riestra has a strong home performance, with an average of goals scored higher than Atletico Tucuman away, and a higher probability of winning at 36.46% compared to 32.29% for Atletico Tucuman.
2. Atletico Tucuman shows a defensive weakness on the road, conceding on average 2 goals per match. Deportivo Riestra’s average of 1 goal scored per home match would allow them to score 2 goals, as per our prediction.
3. The odds for “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 64.58% support the idea of a total goals above 1.5, making the predicted score of 2-1 realistic.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportivo Riestra is strong at home, with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches, despite conceding and scoring an equal number of goals (10 goals). Their offensive and defensive potentials are close (36% and 43% respectively).

Atletico Tucuman, on the other hand, has won 40% of their away matches and scored and conceded four goals in total. Their offensive potential is the same as Deportivo Riestra (36%), but their defense is weaker (71% efficiency).

The win probabilities are tight: 36.46% for Deportivo Riestra, 32.29% for Atletico Tucuman, and 31.25% for a draw. The probabilities slightly favor Deportivo Riestra or a draw, with a 67.71% chance compared to 63.54% for Atletico Tucuman or a draw.

Statistics suggest a low-scoring match. There is a 64.58% chance of more than 1.5 goals, but a very high likelihood of less than 3.5 goals (90.63%).

Both teams have nearly equal chances of scoring or not, with 47.4% and 52.6% respectively.

In conclusion, with Deportivo Riestra’s strong home performance, a low score is probable. However, this can be countered by Atletico Tucuman, who has shown some strength away. The safest bets would be on Deportivo Riestra or a draw and less than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Riestra has shown a strong performance at home, with a victory in 80% of their recent matches. They have scored 10 goals, while also conceding 10 goals. On the other hand, Atletico Tucuman has only won 40% of their away games, scoring and conceding 4 goals.

The offensive capability of Deportivo Riestra and Atletico Tucuman is equal, at around 36%. However, Atletico Tucuman has displayed a weaker defense, with a defensive potential of 71% compared to Deportivo Riestra’s 43%.

In terms of predictions, the odds slightly favor Deportivo Riestra with a 36.46% chance of winning (odds of 2.68) compared to Atletico Tucuman at 32.29% (odds of 2.78). A draw is rated at 31.25% (odds of 3.00).

Regarding the total number of goals, the odds are more favorable for a match with less than 3.5 goals (90.63% probability, odds of 1.14). Furthermore, there is a higher chance that both teams won’t score, with a probability of 52.6% (odds of 1.66).

Looking at recent matches, Deportivo Riestra has shown a tendency to score many goals at home, while Atletico Tucuman has struggled to score away from home. Taking all these factors into account, the most likely prediction would be a match with less than 3.5 goals and a victory for Deportivo Riestra.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Deportivo Riestra and Atletico Tucuman could turn out to be an exciting encounter. Given Deportivo Riestra’s strong home performance and Atletico Tucuman’s struggles away from home, betting on a victory for Deportivo Riestra or a draw is a viable option with a high probability of 67.71%. However, Atletico Tucuman may surprise and turn the situation around.

Regarding the total number of goals, the offensive potential of both teams, combined with their defensive tendencies, suggests a match with less than 3.5 goals. Finally, it is more likely that only one of the two teams will score in this game.

It is therefore recommended for bettors to consider these factors before placing their bets. Let’s not forget that sports betting is primarily a game of chance, and even with all the statistics and analysis, the final outcome remains unpredictable. Good luck!