Tipps Deportivo Riestra Newells Old Boys Liga Profesional 27/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Deportivo Riestra wins the match.

1. Deportivo Riestra has a very strong home performance, having won 100% of their last 5 matches, with a high average of goals scored.
2. Newells Old Boys struggle to win away from home, having not won any of their last 5 matches and with a relatively weak offensive potential.
3. Deportivo Riestra’s recent matches show an ability to keep their own net clean, meaning they are less likely to concede goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The lack of offensive potential of Newell’s Old Boys: On average, in its last 5 away matches, the team has scored only 0.2 goals per match. This low average suggests that the total goals in the match will be less than 2.5.

2. The defensive performance of Deportivo Riestra: In its last 5 home matches, the club has conceded an average of 1 goal per match, indicating a solid defensive performance that could contain Newell’s Old Boys’ offense and thus limit the number of goals scored in the match to less than 2.5.

3. Recent match history: Recent matches at home for Deportivo Riestra and away for Newell’s Old Boys suggest that scores often remain low. For example, 3 of Deportivo Riestra’s last 5 home matches have had less than 2.5 total goals, and for Newell’s Old Boys away matches, the majority have also had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The high rate of goalless matches from Newells Old Boys away: In their last 5 away matches, Newells Old Boys have only scored 1 goal and drawn in 60% of the matches. This results in a very low offensive percentage of 7% and a defensive percentage of 21%.
2. Deportivo Riestra has shown a strong defensive form at home: In their recent home matches, Deportivo Riestra have conceded 9 goals in 5 matches, resulting in a defensive potential of 36%. Combined with their 100% home win record, this suggests that Riestra is defensively solid enough to potentially prevent Old Boys from scoring.
3. The match goal statistics favor a low number of goals: The odds for the total number of goals in the match predict a low-scoring scenario. For instance, there is an 89.31% probability for less than 3.5 goals in the match, indicating that both teams may struggle to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Newell’s Old Boys

1. Deportivo Riestra’s home performance: Deportivo Riestra’s recent form at home has been excellent. They have won all their last 5 home matches, indicating a strong likelihood of winning this match.

2. Newells Old Boys’ away performance: On the other hand, Newells Old Boys have shown very poor performance in their away matches, not winning any of their last 5 away matches and scoring very few goals, averaging 0.2 goals per match.

3. Probability based on the score: The prediction of over 1.5 goals has only a 63.52% success probability, indicating a high likelihood that the match will end with a score below 1.5, which supports our exact score prediction of 1-0.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Translation:
Analysis:
– Deportivo Riestra is in great form at home, winning 5 out of their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals in 5 matches, a good offensive performance. However, they have also conceded 9 goals, indicating a less solid defense.
– On the other hand, Newell’s Old Boys are struggling away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches and only 1 goal scored. They have managed to keep the score low, conceding only 2 goals.
– Based on recent performances, Deportivo Riestra has a 32.08% probability of winning the match, while Newell’s Old Boys have a slightly higher success probability of over 33.33%.
– A draw also seems possible with a probability of 34.59%. However, the offensive and defensive potential of both teams suggests a potentially low-scoring match.
– According to match statistics, there is a 63.52% probability of there being over 1.5 goals and an 89.31% probability of the match having less than 3.5 goals.
– Nevertheless, the probability of both teams scoring is quite low: 44.03%.

Prediction:
– Considering the performances of both teams, it is likely that Deportivo Riestra will win or draw (66.67% probability).
– The match could be low-scoring with a high probability of less than 3.5 goals (89.31%).
– It is also worth noting that the chances of both teams not scoring are quite high (55.97% probability).

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Riestra performs excellently at home, with 5 wins in their last 5 outings and 9 goals scored. Newells Old Boys, on the other hand, have not been as successful away from home, with no wins and only 1 goal scored. Riestra scores consistently in these matches, while Newells often struggle to find the back of the net.

Riestra’s offensive potential at home is 29%, with a defensive potential of 36%. Old Boys, when playing away, have a low scoring rate, with an offensive potential of 7% and a defensive potential of 21%.

The odds suggest a tight match, with a slight advantage to Riestra at 32.08%. A draw is also likely at 34.59%, and an Old Boys win is possible at 33.33%.

Betting on few goals seems like a safe option, with less than 1.5 goals at odds of 2.34 and less than 2.5 goals at 1.43. Slightly riskier is betting on more than 1.5 goals, with a success rate of 63.52%.

Both teams scoring appears unlikely at 44.03%. It is more probable that only one team will score, with a success rate of 55.97%.

Based on recent statistics, a defensively oriented match with few goals is foreseeable, potentially favoring Deportivo Riestra.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it appears that the match between Deportivo Riestra and Newells Old Boys will likely be competitive, with a slight edge for Deportivo Riestra who performs well at home and has shown a strong ability to score. However, we can expect a low-scoring match, with a high potential for under 2.5 goals, due to Newells Old Boys’ weak offensive performance away and Deportivo Riestra’s solid defense at home. The probability of both teams scoring is low. In terms of betting, wagering on under 2.5 goals could offer good value. The exact score could be a 1-0 win for Deportivo Riestra. Nevertheless, one should also consider the odds and unforeseen events, and of course, bet responsibly.