Tipps Deportivo Tachira FC Club Nacional Copa Libertadores 16/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Club Nacional wins the match”

1. Club Nacional’s recent away performances show a certain offensive efficiency, with an average of 3.2 goals scored per match, compared to 0.6 goals scored per match for Deportivo Tachira FC at home. Club Nacional thus has a clear offensive advantage in this match.

2. The probability of a win for Club Nacional is 42.27%, which is higher than the other possible outcomes (26.29% for Deportivo Tachira and 31.44% for a draw). This statistic suggests that Club Nacional has a slightly higher chance of winning.

3. Looking at Club Nacional’s last five away matches, they have had a 40% win rate and a 40% draw rate, so they have avoided defeat in 80% of their recent away matches. This demonstrates some consistency away from their home ground.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Deportivo Tachira FC’s home statistics show that they do not generate many goals, with an average of around 1 goal per match. Their offensive potential is also quite low at 21%.

2. Club Nacional, although they have a high offensive potential when playing away, also tend to concede goals, resulting in a defensive potential of 57%. Their ability to score could be countered by Deportivo Tachira FC’s defense.

3. The individual match history for these two teams demonstrates a general trend towards low-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of goals scored and conceded: at home, Deportivo Tachira FC has scored 5 times and conceded 5 goals in the last 5 matches. Away from home, Club Nacional has scored 7 goals and conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches. Both teams have shown the ability to score and concede goals, increasing the probability of both teams scoring.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of the teams: Deportivo Tachira FC has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 50%. Club Nacional, on the other hand, has an offensive potential of 114% and a defensive potential of 57%. These statistics show that both teams have strengths in both attacking and defending, indicating a potential for goals from both sides.

3. The results of previous matches: Most of the recent home matches of Deportivo Tachira FC and away matches of Club Nacional have seen both teams scoring. These past matches demonstrate that when playing at home or away, these two clubs tend to score and concede goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Club Nacional wins the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Tachira FC 1-2 Club Nacional

1. Club Nacional has a strong offensive potential: With an average of 3.2 goals per away match, Club Nacional shows a great ability to score. This argument is reinforced by the rather weak defensive potential of Deportivo Tachira FC, which concedes an average of 1.4 goals per home match.

2. General statistics: When analyzing the probability of victory, Club Nacional has a success probability of 42.27% compared to 26.29% for Deportivo Tachira. Furthermore, there is a probability of 63.92% that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match, which is consistent with the prediction of 2 goals for Club Nacional and 1 for Deportivo Tachira.

3. Past results: Looking at past matches, Club Nacional has won in 40% of cases and drawn in 40% of cases in their away games. On the other hand, Deportivo Tachira FC has won in 60% of their home matches. Therefore, it is not unlikely that both teams will score, although the victory should logically go to Club Nacional.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportivo Tachira FC is stable at home, with 60% of wins and 20% of draws in their last 5 matches. However, their defense needs reinforcement with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per match.

Club Nacional is showing good form away from home, securing a win or draw in 80% of cases. They have a strong attack with an average of 3.2 goals per match.

Despite their recent performances, Deportivo Tachira FC only has a 26.29% chance of winning the match, while Club Nacional holds a 42.27% chance.

Betting on less than 3.5 goals in the match seems sensible with a success probability of 78.87%.

Interestingly, both teams have had drawn matches in their previous games against River Plate and Libertad Asuncion.

In summary, Club Nacional has an edge over these two teams due to their strong offensive performance in away matches.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Tachira FC shows strength at home, having won 3 out of their last 5 matches and scoring a total of 5 goals. However, their defense can be questioned as well, having also conceded 5 goals.

Club Nacional, playing away, has a less consistent performance, with only 2 wins in their last 5 games. They have scored 7 goals, but have a fragile defense having conceded 10 goals.

Considering these stats, Club Nacional seems to have an edge, with a success probability of 42.27% compared to 26.29% for Deportivo Tachira FC. The chances of a draw are at 31.44%.

Looking at the goals, the forecast favors under 3.5 goals with a probability of 78.87%, while over 1.5 goals has a probability of 63.92%.

Finally, on the question of whether both teams will score, the numbers show a slight leaning towards ‘no’, with a probability of 52.06% against 47.94% for ‘yes’.

In summary, the numbers favor a victory for Club Nacional with under 3.5 goals scored, and potentially only one of the two teams scoring a goal.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

After a comprehensive analysis based on recent performances, statistical probabilities, and match history, it is evident that Club Nacional has an advantage over Deportivo Tachira FC for the upcoming match. Their strong offensive performance in away games gives them a serious edge, with a probability of winning at 42.27%.

While Deportivo Tachira FC’s defense may limit the number of goals scored by Club Nacional, the latter’s offensive potential should be enough to secure the victory. Moreover, there is a 78.87% probability that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals.

Regarding the ‘Both Teams To Score’ bet, there appears to be a slight tendency towards ‘no’, with a probability of 52.06%.

Finally, taking all this information into account, we predict a 2-1 victory for Club Nacional. This forecast, along with all the others mentioned earlier, should be considered while keeping in mind the inherent uncertainty of sports betting and the importance of responsible gambling.