Tipps Deportivo Tachira FC Libertad Asuncion Copa Libertadores 08/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Libertad Asuncion wins the match.”

1. Libertad Asuncion has a higher win percentage: Libertad Asuncion has a success rate of 47.89% compared to only 25.79% for Deportivo Tachira FC. This indicates that Libertad Asuncion has better overall performance and is more likely to win the match.
2. Libertad Asuncion has a better offensive potential: With an average of 1 goal scored per match compared to 0.4 for Deportivo Tachira FC, Libertad Asuncion demonstrates superior offensive ability. This increases their chances of scoring goals and therefore winning the match.
3. Historical record of away matches: Among the last 5 away matches of Libertad Asuncion, they have managed to win twice, with one draw and two losses. This proves that Libertad Asuncion can maintain good performances even when not playing on their home turf.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Statistics reveal a trend towards low scores for both teams. In the last 5 home matches, Deportivo Tachira FC has averaged only 0.4 goals per game, while away from home, Libertad Asuncion has scored an average of just 1 goal per match.

2. The defenses of these two teams are quite solid, with a respective defensive potential of 57% for each of them. This indicates a possible low number of goals during the match.

3. The odds and probabilities for goal-related bets confirm this trend. The bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.65, indicating a fairly high probability that there will not be more than 2 goals during the match. Conversely, the bet “Over 2.5 goals” has a lower probability of success.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Deportivo Tachira FC at home is low, with an average of only 0.4 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This indicates that they may struggle to score against Libertad Asuncion.
2. Libertad Asuncion has a solid defensive potential away from home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. Coupled with Deportivo Tachira FC’s weak offensive potential, this reinforces the likelihood that only one of the two teams will score.
3. Most of Deportivo Tachira FC’s recent home matches and Libertad Asuncion’s away matches have ended either in a home win or an away loss, with a low overall amount of goals scored. This suggests a trend where only one team scores during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Deportivo Tachira FC 1-2 Libertad Asuncion

1. Away performance of Libertad Asuncion: Despite varied results, the team has shown an ability to score in their away matches, averaging one goal per game and winning 40% of the time.

2. Deportivo Tachira FC’s home defense has been rather weak, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. This gives Libertad Asuncion opportunities to score in this match.

3. The probability of Deportivo Tachira FC drawing or losing the match is high, at 74.2%. This suggests a probable victory for Libertad Asuncion.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Deportivo Tachira FC has been displaying average performances in their recent home matches, with 60% of victories and 40% of draws. However, their average goals scored is low (0.4 per match) while they tend to concede more (1.6 goals per match).

On the other hand, Libertad Asuncion has better away performances, with 40% of wins and 20% of draws. They score an average of 1 goal per match and also concede 1.6 goals per match. Their offensive potential is higher than Deportivo’s (36% vs. 14%).

The likelihood of success favors Libertad Asuncion with a 47.89% chance of winning the match compared to 25.79% for Deportivo Tachira FC. A draw is a less probable outcome, with a 26.32% chance of occurring.

A match with less than 1.5 goals seems unlikely (odds of 2.89), while a match with over 1.5 goals has a 70% chance of success.

Both teams have almost equal chances of scoring (47.89%) as well as not scoring (52.11%).

Libertad Asuncion appear to be in a better position for this match, especially due to their away performance. However, the outcome of the match remains uncertain and could be influenced by various factors such as player form or potential injuries.

The potential number of goals

Deportivo Tachira FC has shown a mixed form at home, with 60% of wins and 40% of draws. Their attack lacks impact, with only 0.4 goals scored on average, but their defense holds strong with a 57% success rate. The attack-defense balance is rather weak.

Libertad Asuncion displays a perfect balance away from home, with as many goals scored as conceded. Their offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 57% mainly favors defense.

Recent statistics indicate potential for a close match, with a slight edge to Libertad Asuncion – win probability at 48%. However, the probability of a draw or a Tachira win remains strong at 52%.

In terms of the number of goals, the match has a 70% chance of seeing over 1.5 goals, and an 84% chance of staying under 3.5 goals. Both teams have almost equal chances of scoring or keeping a clean sheet, with respective odds of 48% and 52%.

Based on the numbers, an interesting betting option would be “under 3.5 goals” with an 84% chance of success.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, our analysis predicts a relatively balanced match between Deportivo Tachira FC and Libertad Asuncion, with a slight advantage for Libertad due to their better away performance and superior offensive potential. However, the number of goals is expected to be low due to the strong defenses of both teams. Betting on “under 3.5 goals” seems to be the safest option, while more daring bettors may opt for an exact score of “Deportivo Tachira FC 1-2 Libertad Asuncion.” As with any sports bet, it is important to consider the various factors that can influence the outcome of a match and to bet responsibly.