Tipps Derby Norwich Championship 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Norwich City wins the match.

1. The offensive potential of Norwich City away from home is higher than that of Derby County at home. Norwich City has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to just 1 goal on average for Derby County, indicating that Norwich has a higher offensive potential.
2. The defensive potential of Norwich City away from home is also superior to that of Derby County at home. Even though Norwich City concedes on average more goals (1.4 against 0.6), its defensive potential is higher (50% against 21%).
3. The prediction given by the statistics favors Norwich City. The probability of Norwich City winning the match is 41.75% compared to only 31.44% for Derby County, suggesting that Norwich City has better chances of winning according to the statistics.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Derby County’s home record: In their last 5 home matches, Derby County has scored 9 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per game. This indicates a strong offensive performance when the team plays at home.

2. Norwich City’s attacking potential away from home: Despite a low win rate on the road, Norwich City has managed to score an average of 1.2 goals per game in their last 5 away matches, showing they are capable of breaking through opposing defenses.

3. Sports betting odds: The probability of a total of over 2.5 goals in the match is 45.88%, which is a significant statistic favoring a high-scoring game between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive potential: According to the statistics from the latest matches, both teams seem to have a significant offensive ability. Derby County averages 1 goal per home match in their recent games, while Norwich City has an average of 1.2 goals scored per away match, suggesting a high likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. The defensive statistics: Both teams appear to have weaknesses in defense. Derby County has conceded 10 goals in 5 home matches, while Norwich City has conceded 5 goals in 5 away matches. These data suggest that each team could be capable of scoring against the opposing defense.

3. Recent matches: The results of the recent matches of both teams also support this argument. Derby County has managed to score in every home match, and Norwich has managed to score in some of its away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.85

Bet on the exact result

Derby County 1-1 Norwich City

1. The offensive potential of Derby County at home and Norwich City away is approximately 1 goal per match, which could potentially result in a goal for each team during the game.
2. The defensive potential of both teams also seems similar, with Derby County conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match at home and Norwich City 1.4 goals away, further supporting the idea of a tight match ending in a draw.
3. Recent statistics of both teams, including Derby County’s home winning streak and Norwich City’s inconsistent away performances, could also justify a prediction of a draw, with each team capable of containing the opposition’s attack.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Derby County is in good form at home. 5 wins in 5 matches, including against Cardiff and Middlesbrough. They have scored 9 goals but also conceded 10. They score more than they concede.

Norwich City is struggling away. Only one win and one draw in 5 matches. They have only scored 3 goals and conceded 5. Both their offense and defense are shaky.

Derby has an attacking potential at home of 36% but defensively weak at 21%. Norwich away is more offensive, at 43%, but defensively more unstable at 50%.

The probabilities favor Norwich to win, but with a success rate of only 41.75%. A draw or a victory for Derby is likely at 58.25%.

According to the numbers, it is likely to see less than 4.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 90.72%.

Fewer goals, more conflicts: the match promises to be tight. Both teams scoring is at a probability of 52.58%.

For betting, a win for Derby at home could be a surprise. A match with less than 4.5 goals seems probable. A bet on both teams scoring can also be considered.

The potential number of goals

Derby County has shown an impressive strength at home, winning all of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 10. Their offensive power stands at 36%, while their defense is estimated at 21%.

Norwich City, on the other hand, has displayed weaker away form, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches. Their goal performance is similar to the hosts with an average of 1.2 goals per match, but their defense seems to be struggling, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match.

The data analysis suggests that the match is most likely to be a tight contest. Derby is strong at home, but Norwich may surprise with a possible win with a 41.75% chance. However, a combination of a draw or a Derby win also has a reasonable probability of 58.25%.

As for goals, the match is expected to be less prolific. There is a 73.71% chance of fewer than 3.5 goals, while more than 2.5 goals have a 45.88% probability. Both teams have a 52.58% chance of scoring, so expect a balanced game.

Overall, based on the analysis, the forecast suggests a narrow Derby win or a draw, with probably fewer than 3.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this analysis of the Derby County vs. Norwich City match indicates that the game is likely to be tight and potentially low-scoring. Predictions suggest a win for Norwich City, however, the possibility of a draw or a victory for Derby County cannot be ruled out.
In terms of goals, a total of under 3.5 goals is expected, with a high probability of both teams scoring during the match. Despite Norwich City’s tendency to come out on top, it is important to note that Derby County has a solid defense at home and could cause an upset.
Therefore, bettors are encouraged to consider a win for Derby County or a draw along with under 3.5 goals. Betting on both teams to score may also prove profitable, reflecting the predictable yet competitive nature of this Championship match.