Tipps Dinamo Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Prva HNL 28/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Dinamo Zagreb wins the match”

1. Dinamo Zagreb has shown strong performances in home matches, with a win rate of 80% over the last 5 games. This contrasts with NK Lokomotiva’s less consistent away performance, having won only 40% of their matches.

2. Dinamo Zagreb also has a higher offensive potential at home, averaging 1 goal per game, while NK Lokomotiva scores an average of 1.2 goals away. Dinamo Zagreb’s defensive potential is also superior, with a clean sheet rate of 121% compared to NK Lokomotiva’s 36%.

3. Probabilistic analyses also favor a Dinamo Zagreb win, with a success probability of 80.1%. This probability is significantly higher than that of a draw (12.04%) or an NK Lokomotiva win (7.85%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Average Score Analysis: On average, Dinamo Zagreb scores and concedes over 1 goal per home match, and NK Lokomotiva also has an average of over 1 goal scored and conceded away. These statistics support a potential total of over 2.5 goals.

2. Offensive/Defensive Potential: Dinamo Zagreb has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 121%, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches. Additionally, NK Lokomotiva has an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 36%, further reinforcing the potential for a high-scoring match.

3. Recent Match Trends: The results of previous matches for both teams show a trend towards high-scoring matches. For example, recent home matches for Dinamo Zagreb have seen several games with 3 goals or more, while away matches for NK Lokomotiva have often totaled over 2.5 goals as well.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. Dinamo Zagreb’s home statistics: In their last 5 home matches, Dinamo Zagreb have shown a solid defensive display, conceding only one goal in 4 out of the 5 matches. This significantly reduces the probability of NK Lokomotiva scoring in this match, as they are up against a strong Dinamo Zagreb defense.

2. NK Lokomotiva’s away match history: Although NK Lokomotiva have found the back of the net in some of their recent away matches, they have struggled against stronger defenses, as evidenced by their 0-0 draw against NK Istra 1961 and their 4-0 loss to Rijeka. It is likely that NK Lokomotiva could face difficulty scoring against Dinamo Zagreb as well.

3. Statistical probability: Based on the provided statistics, the “Both teams to score – No” option has a higher success probability of 54.45%. Considering the past defensive and offensive performances of Dinamo Zagreb and NK Lokomotiva, the prediction of “Both teams to score – No” appears to be the most viable option.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – odds of 6.00

Bet on the exact result

Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NK Lokomotiva

1. Recent home performances of Dinamo Zagreb favor the prediction, winning in 80% of cases, with an ability to score an average of 2.6 goals per match in their last 5 home matches played.
2. NK Lokomotiva has shown a weaker defense in away matches, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last 5 matches, which gives Dinamo Zagreb an opportunity to score at least 2 goals.
3. Overall team probabilities suggest that Dinamo Zagreb has a higher chance of winning the match (80.1%) compared to NK Lokomotiva (7.85%). Furthermore, the probabilities also suggest a match with over 1.5 goals (80.63%) and under 3.5 goals (71.73%), which aligns with the prediction of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dinamo Zagreb have a strong home form, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. With 13 goals scored, their offensive power is notable. However, they have also conceded 13 goals, showing defensive weaknesses.

On the other hand, NK Lokomotiva have a more balanced away performance, with 40% wins and an equal number of draws. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 10, showing some consistency.

In terms of attacking potential, Dinamo Zagreb and NK Lokomotiva are quite close, with respective attacking potentials of 36% and 43%. However, Zagreb seems more vulnerable in defense with a potential of 121% compared to Lokomotiva’s 36%.

Regarding the match result, the probabilities heavily favor Zagreb with 80.1% compared to 7.85% for Lokomotiva. A draw is also possible with a 12.04% chance.

As for match activity, the probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored is high at 80.63%. Additionally, there is a 58.12% chance that more than 2.5 goals will be scored.

Finally, it is more likely that both teams will not score with a probability of 54.45%.

In conclusion, Dinamo Zagreb seems to have the advantage for this match, but there could be many goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Dinamo Zagreb has the advantage at home, with an 80% win rate in the last 5 matches. They have an offensive potential of 36%, scoring an average of 1 goal per match. However, their defense could improve as they concede an average of 3.4 goals per match.

NK Lokomotiva has an average performance away, with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate. Their offensive potential is 43% with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. Their defense is stronger than Zagreb’s attack, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.

In terms of probabilities, Dinamo Zagreb has an 80.1% chance of winning. On the other hand, NK Lokomotiva only has a 7.85% chance. A draw is more likely at 92.15%.

In this match, the opportunities seem to favor over 1.5 goals with a 80.63% chance. However, the chances of both teams scoring are almost fifty-fifty at 45.55%.

Based on these numbers, I designate Dinamo Zagreb as the favorite. However, NK Lokomotiva could surprise due to their better defense. I expect a match with over 1.5 goals, but both teams may not score, according to the statistics.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match appears to be leaning towards Dinamo Zagreb, considering their impressive home performances, offensive potential, and NK Lokomotiva’s relative weakness in away games. However, football being an unpredictable game, nothing is set in stone. It is strongly suggested that the match will have at least 2.5 goals, although it is less likely that both teams will score during the match.

Despite the high odds of a draw, it is advised to proceed with caution as the chances of it happening are only 12.04%. As for the exact score of the match, it is predicted that Dinamo Zagreb will win by 2-1, reflecting their goal-scoring ability and NK Lokomotiva’s average defensive performances. Nevertheless, every bet carries risks, so it is important to gamble responsibly.