Tipps Drogheda United Shamrock Rovers Premier Division 18/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Shamrock Rovers wins the match

1. Shamrock Rovers has a higher probability of winning the match, at 55.67% according to the provided statistics, compared to only 23.2% for Drogheda United.
2. While Shamrock Rovers’ away record is not as good as Drogheda United’s home record, they display a similar defensive potential (36% compared to 21% for Drogheda United), suggesting they may be able to neutralize Drogheda’s attack.
3. Despite less convincing recent away performances, Shamrock Rovers has managed to win or draw in 40% of its matches, indicating a potential to surprise despite the pressure of playing away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Drogheda United has shown a strong attacking performance in their home matches, scoring 21 goals in 5 games, which averages more than 4 goals per game, well above the 2.5 goals threshold.

2. While Shamrock Rovers’ away performances have been less spectacular, they have still managed to score in 80% of their recent matches and have an average of one goal per game. Combined with Drogheda’s attacking display, this increases the likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The provided statistics predict a higher probability (51.55%) of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match compared to fewer than 2.5 goals. This prediction supports the idea that the match will likely be high-scoring.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Statistically speaking, Drogheda United has shown a strong offensive performance in their recent home matches, averaging 1.2 goals per game. Additionally, they have scored in 80% of their home matches, indicating a high likelihood of scoring in the upcoming match.

2. On the other hand, Shamrock Rovers have also displayed a solid performance by scoring an average of one goal in their recent away matches. Although they have only won 20% of their away matches, they have still managed to score at least one goal in the majority of their matches.

3. Looking at the probability percentages, “Both teams to score – 51.55%” is slightly higher than “Both teams not to score – 48.45%”. This suggests that there is a slightly higher probability of both teams scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Drogheda United wins the match – 23.2% success probability: 4.33”

Bet on the exact result

“Drogheda United 1-1 Shamrock Rovers”

1. Both teams have similar defensive and offensive performances: The average goals scored and conceded per match for Drogheda United and Shamrock Rovers are quite close. This suggests a balanced match, increasing the likelihood of a draw.

2. Recent teams’ performances: Shamrock Rovers have a low winning rate away (20% wins) and a higher draw rate (20%). Drogheda, despite a good home winning rate, has also shown defensive weakness by conceding 21 goals in their last home matches.

3. Betting probabilities: The odds provided suggest that the most likely score is 1-1 (under 2.5 goals in the match has a higher success probability and both teams to score has a probability of 51.55). This aligns with the initial prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Drogheda United shines at home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. Impressive scores like 7-0 against Sligo Rovers and 9-0 against Wilton United have boosted their goal average to 21. However, their defense has struggled, conceding 21 goals as well.

Shamrock Rovers have been lackluster away from home, with only a 20% win rate. They have scored just 4 goals and conceded 5 goals on their travels.

In terms of numbers, Drogheda’s home attacking potential (43%) surpasses that of Shamrock’s away form (36%). Defensively, it’s more evenly matched, with 21% against 36%.

Betting odds favor Shamrock Rovers as the favorites with a 55.67% probability at odds of 1.75. Drogheda United is seen as less likely to win, with only a 23.2% probability at odds of 4.33.

Predictions also suggest a match with over 1.5 goals (74.74% probability) and goals from both sides (51.55% probability). This points to a potentially lively game!

In summary, despite Drogheda’s strong home performances, bettors view Shamrock as the favorite. However, surprises are not uncommon in football. Stay tuned!

The potential number of goals

Drogheda United is strong at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches with 21 goals scored. While Shamrock Rovers struggles away, winning only 20% with 4 goals scored. Yet, according to the odds, Shamrock Rovers has a 55.67% chance of winning.

Drogheda’s defense concedes an average of 0.6 goals per home match and Shamrock concedes 1 goal away. The odds suggest the match might see over 1.5 goals with a success probability of 74.74%.

Based on the success rate, betting on a match with less than 3.5 goals would be wise with a success probability of 74.23%.

It’s also worth noting that both teams score in 51.55% of cases, an element not to be overlooked in your prediction.

In summary, betting on a Shamrock Rovers win with less than 3.5 goals could be an interesting option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this forecast suggests a tight match between Drogheda United and Shamrock Rovers. The statistics lean slightly towards Shamrock Rovers, with a win probability of 55.67%. However, Drogheda United’s impressive home performance cannot be ignored and may surprise, despite a lower win probability (23.2%). Regarding the number of goals, the match is expected to have over 2.5 goals according to the probabilities, with a high chance of both teams scoring. For those seeking a value bet, a Drogheda United victory could be an interesting wager. However, as always in sports betting, it is important to consider the changing dynamics of the teams and to bet responsibly.