Tipps Drogheda United Shamrock Rovers Premier Division 31/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Shamrock Rovers wins the match.

1. The offensive potential of Shamrock Rovers, although less performing than Drogheda United, is compensated by a stronger defensive potential. This indicates a greater likelihood of not conceding goals during the match.
2. Statistically, taking into account the results of the last 5 matches, Shamrock Rovers have a higher probability of succeeding in winning the match (63.98%) compared to Drogheda United (11.8%).
3. Observing the recent home matches of Drogheda United and the away matches of Shamrock Rovers, it can be seen that Drogheda United tends to concede more goals at home while Shamrock Rovers have shown an ability to score goals even away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics show a strong offensive potential of Drogheda at home with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match in their last 5 matches and a defensive potential of 71%, indicating a high frequency of goals conceded against them.
2. Shamrock Rovers, in their last 5 away matches, have shown a more defensive trend. However, they have also scored a number of goals, averaging 0.8 per match, and have conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match, which is indicative of a high frequency of goals conceded.
3. The probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals is 56.52%. Looking at the last 5 matches of each team, there is also a regular occurrence of a total goals exceeding 2.5, which strengthens this analysis.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Match History: Based on past data, Drogheda United has shown a consistent ability to score at home (scoring 11 goals in the last 5 matches), while Shamrock Rovers have managed to score to some extent away from home (5 goals in the last 5 matches), indicating the possibility of both teams scoring in this match.

2. Defensive Performance: Both teams have weak defensive performances, with Drogheda United conceding an average of 2 goals per match at home, and Shamrock Rovers conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match away. This defensive weakness increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in the match.

3. Probabilities: According to the provided probabilities, “Both teams to score” is the most likely option with a success probability of 53.42%, which is higher than its opposite at 46.58%. Therefore, based on the probabilities, one could argue that it is a wise choice to bet on both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Drogheda United 1-2 Shamrock Rovers

1. The statistics of these two teams show a trend towards a low number of goals in their matches. With an average of 1.4 goals per match for Drogheda United and 0.8 for Shamrock Rovers, the prediction of 1-2 seems plausible.

2. The chances of winning are significantly higher for Shamrock Rovers with a success probability of 63.98%. Therefore, a narrow victory for Shamrock Rovers seems plausible.

3. The statistics on the defense of each team suggest that it is likely that each of them will concede at least one goal in the match, with Drogheda United conceding an average of two goals per home match and Shamrock Rovers conceding 1.6 goals per away match. This reinforces the prediction of a 1-2 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Drogheda United has an average home score. They have won 2 out of 5 home matches, achieving a 40% home success rate. They have also drawn in 20% of cases. However, their defense is suspect with 13 goals conceded at home. Their offensive potential is at 50% and they typically concede 2 goals per match.

On the other hand, Shamrock Rovers has not been impressive away from home. They have only won 20% of their away matches and drawn in 40% of cases. They have a low goal rate with only 0.8 goals per match, and a defensive potential of 57%.

Regarding the probability of winning, Shamrock Rovers is the favorite with a 63.98% chance, followed by a draw with a 24.22% chance. Drogheda United is the underdog with an 11.8% chance of winning.

According to the probabilities, the match is expected to total more than 1.5 goals (77.02% chance). The option of under 3.5 goals in the match is also plausible with a 70.81% chance.

As for both teams to score, the probability is quite balanced with a slight edge to “yes” (53.42%).

Looking at their recent matches, Drogheda United has played high-scoring matches at home, while Shamrock Rovers has struggled in their away games. This match could be competitive and produce some goals.

The potential number of goals

Drogheda United, at home, is a moderately stable team with a 40% win rate and 20% draw rate. In their last 5 home games, they have scored 11 goals but have conceded 13 goals. Their attack is only 50% effective, while their defense has a 71% efficiency.

Shamrock Rovers, playing away, has only won 20% of their matches and drawn in 40% of cases. They have scored 5 goals but have conceded 7 in their last 5 away games. Their offensive potential is at 29% and their defense stands at 57%.

As for the prediction, Shamrock Rovers’ victory seems more likely with a 63.98% probability. For goals, over 2.5 goals in the match seems like a strong option with a 56.52% chance. There is also a 53.42% chance that both teams will score.

Based on Drogheda United’s recent performances at home, they tend to both score and concede goals. Shamrock Rovers, even when playing away, show similar offensive and defensive capabilities.

On paper, this match could be high-scoring but the trend leans towards an advantage for Shamrock Rovers.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on a detailed analysis and various statistical factors, the match between Drogheda United and Shamrock Rovers appears to lean in favor of Shamrock Rovers. Their strong defense, combined with a respectable offensive potential, gives them the necessary edge to triumph in this match.

The recommended bet in this case would be to bet on Shamrock Rovers to win, with a more probable scoreline of 1-2. The likelihood of seeing over 2.5 goals during the match and both teams to score is also significant. Considering Drogheda United’s less favorable defensive situation, it is possible to choose the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match,” which also offers good value.

However, despite being the favorite, Shamrock Rovers must remain vigilant against a Drogheda United side that can be dangerous at home and has scored many goals in their recent home matches. Sports betting is a matter of probabilities, and nothing is guaranteed in football.