Tipps Dundalk Derry City Premier Division 18/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Derry City wins the match.”

1. Derry City has shown a stronger performance away from home in their last 5 matches compared to Dundalk at home. In fact, Derry City has won 60% of their away matches while Dundalk has only won 20% of their home matches.

2. Derry City’s offensive potential away from home (43%) is significantly higher than Dundalk’s at home (29%). Additionally, Derry City concedes on average fewer goals per match away from home (1 goal) than Dundalk at home (1.8 goals), indicating a better defense for Derry City.

3. Taking into account their recent matches, Derry City has demonstrated a better performance by keeping 3 clean sheets, while Dundalk has lost 4 of their last 5 home matches, conceding at least one goal each time.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The performances of Dundalk at home in their last matches show that they score few goals, with an average of 0.8 goals per match, while conceding more goals with an average of 1.8 goals per match, which could lead to a final score of less than 2.5 goals.

2. The away match statistics for Derry City indicate an average of around 1.2 goals scored per match and 1 goal conceded, also suggesting a limited number of goals in the match against Dundalk.

3. Finally, upon examining the recent performances of both teams, it appears that they are more focused on defense, which could also limit the number of goals. This is supported by Dundalk’s defensive potential of 64% at home compared to Derry City’s 36% away from home.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Dundalk’s defense seems solid: In their last 5 home matches, Dundalk has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game, meaning they are letting in less than two goals per match.

2. Dundalk’s lack of scoring: Dundalk appears to struggle in finding the back of the net, only scoring 5 goals in their last 5 home matches. This results in an average of just 1 goal per game, indicating a low likelihood of them scoring.

3. Derry City’s strong defense: In their last 5 away matches, Derry City has conceded an average of 1 goal per game. This showcases a solid defensive performance that could hinder Dundalk from scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Derry City wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Dundalk 1-2 Derry City”

1. Derry City has a 60% win rate in their away matches compared to Dundalk’s 20% win rate at home. This strengthens the prediction in favor of Derry City.
2. Dundalk has a higher average of goals conceded at home (1.8 goals per match) than Derry City away (1 goal per match), which could mean Derry City might score at least once.
3. Recent home matches for Dundalk have tended to have a total of two or three goals (e.g. Dundalk 1 – 2 St Patrick’s Athletic, Dundalk 4 – 2 Drogheda United), which aligns with the prediction of 1-2 for the match against Derry City.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dundalk has recently struggled at home, winning only 20% of their last matches with a majority being losses. In attack, Dundalk has scored a total of 5 goals, averaging 0.8 goals per match. Defensively, they have conceded 7 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per match.

Derry City has a better away performance, with a 60% recent match win rate. Their offense has also scored 5 goals in total, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Their defense has conceded as many goals as they have scored, averaging 1 goal per match.

Looking at recent matches, Dundalk has consistently been overrun by their opponents at home, losing to Bohemians, St Patrick’s Athletic, Shelbourne, and Galway United. The only notable success is a 4-2 victory against Drogheda United.

Derry City seems to be in better shape away from home, with wins against Bohemians, Waterford United, and Cork City, despite losses to Drogheda United and Galway United.

With these statistics in mind, I would lean towards a match with under 3.5 goals, as this outcome has a 100% success probability. Additionally, both teams have struggled to score recently, so it is likely that both teams will not score in this match.

That being said, it is always important to remember that sports betting comes with risks, so it is crucial to bet responsibly.

The potential number of goals

Dundalk has won only one out of five home matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded. The win rate is 20%, while the draw rate goes up to 80%.

On the other hand, Derry City has achieved impressive results in their last five away games, winning 60% of them. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1 goal per match.

Derry City clearly seems to have both offensive and defensive advantages, with 43% offensive potential and 36% defensive potential compared to Dundalk’s 29% and 64% respectively.

However, no probabilities for the match result are provided, including the number of goals scored.

Looking at the recent match results, Dundalk seems to struggle to score at home, while Derry City has a fairly solid defense when playing away. It is particularly interesting to note that in 100% of cases, less than 3.5 and less than 4.5 goals have been scored.

Ultimately, the statistics seem to favor Derry City, although in football, anything is possible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In short, taking into account all statistical information, Derry City appears to be the favorite team for this match. Their away performance is significantly better than Dundalk’s home performance, and they seem to have better offensive and defensive capabilities. However, football is unpredictable and despite favorable predictions, any result can occur on the field. As for the number of goals, it is recommended to bet on less than 2.5 goals, as both teams have shown a more defensive approach in their recent matches. Lastly, according to statistics, it is unlikely that both teams will score in this match. Nevertheless, it is crucial to remember that sports betting carries risks, and it is essential to bet responsibly. Bettors should always carefully examine all available information before making a decision.