Tipps Dundalk Drogheda United Premier Division 12/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Dundalk wins the match”

1. Dundalk has a better home performance: In the last 5 home matches, Dundalk has won 40% of its matches while Drogheda United has not won any match in their last 5 away matches. This indicates that Dundalk holds a major advantage in this match.
2. Dundalk has a better defense: At home, Dundalk has on average conceded fewer goals (1.2 goals per match) than Drogheda United away (2.2 goals per match). A strong defense could be the key to winning a tight match.
3. Overall statistics favor Dundalk: Based on the assigned probabilities, Dundalk has a 54.74% chance of winning the match, significantly higher than the 16.32% attributed to Drogheda United. This indicates that Dundalk is generally considered the favorite for this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from previous matches for Dundalk at home show a low number of goals scored and conceded (2 scored, 2 conceded in 5 matches). These indicate a trend towards low scores.

2. Drogheda United has also shown a low offensive potential in their previous away matches, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match.

3. By adding up the average goals scored by both teams in their recent matches, we would get an average of 1.4 goals per match, which is below 2.5, strengthening the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Dundalk has shown a strong defense at home in their recent matches, conceding only two goals in five games. This significantly reduces Drogheda United’s chances of scoring.

2. Drogheda United has a weak offensive potential in away matches, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per game, making it less likely that they will score against Dundalk.

3. Drogheda United’s recent away performance is unconvincing with no wins in their last five away matches, indicating a reduced probability of scoring in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams to score – 48.95% success probability: 1.87

Bet on the exact result

Dundalk 1-0 Drogheda United

1. Dundalk’s home record: Despite a low total of goals scored, Dundalk has maintained a strong home performance with notable victories without conceding goals. In their last 5 home matches, they have only conceded 2 goals but have also managed to score 2 goals, indicating a solid defensive performance.

2. Drogheda United’s away performance: Drogheda United has struggled in their away matches, not winning a single game in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, they have conceded more goals (6) than they have scored (5). Their poor away performance could benefit Dundalk.

3. Probability and statistics: The probability of Dundalk winning is higher (54.74%) compared to Drogheda United (16.32%). Additionally, the probabilities are also higher for there to be less than 1.5 goals in the match. Given previous statistics where Dundalk has scored exactly 1 goal without conceding, predicting a final score of 1-0 is entirely plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dundalk has a decent home record, with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 2.

On the other hand, Drogheda United struggles away from home. In 5 matches, they have not won any and drawn once. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Dundalk has a 29% attack and a 43% defense. Drogheda has a weak offense at 21%, but a strong defense at 79%.

The odds favor Dundalk (54.74%). The draw has a probability of 28.95% and Drogheda’s win a probability of 16.32%.

Several scenarios are possible: draw or Dundalk win (83.68%) and draw or Drogheda win (45.26%).

The focus seems to be on the number of goals scored. A total under 1.5 goals has odds of 3.20, while a total over has a 74.21% chance with odds of 1.33.

Both teams are likely to score with a probability of 51.05% at odds of 1.87. There is an equal chance of both teams not scoring.

In short, the statistics favor Dundalk. But in football, anything is possible. Time to place your bets!

The potential number of goals

Dundalk has won 40% of their last 5 home matches, showing a decent performance. They have scored 2 goals and conceded 2, so their attack and defense are balanced.

On the other hand, Drogheda United has not won any of their last 5 away matches, scoring 5 goals but conceding 6. They have a rather weak offensive and defensive performance.

Comparing their offensive and defensive potentials, Dundalk has an advantage both in attack (29% vs 21%) and defense (43% vs 79%).

The probability of Dundalk winning the match is 54.74% with odds of 1.80. There is a lower probability of a draw (28.95%) or Drogheda United winning (16.32%).

The most likely scenario is less than 3.5 goals in the match (82.63%) with odds at 1.25.

The probability of both teams scoring is 51.05% at odds of 1.87, but the opposite outcome is also possible with a probability of 48.95%.

An analysis of each team’s recent matches confirms these statistics.

In conclusion, Dundalk appears to be the favorite for this match, with a probable low scoring game. Betting on under 3.5 goals seems appealing.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, Dundalk appears to be the favorite for this match due to its strong home performance and robust defense. Drogheda United’s lack of success in away games further enhances Dundalk’s advantage. However, considering the poor offensive performance of both teams, it is unlikely that the match will be high-scoring. The prediction suggests a final score of 1-0 in favor of Dundalk, indicating a fairly tight match. The “under 2.5 goals” bet also seems like an interesting option. Indeed, statistics show a trend towards a limited number of goals, with a high probability that both teams will struggle to score. Ultimately, carefully studying the statistics can provide valuable insights into likely outcomes, as advised by an expert like me. But as always in sports betting, nothing is guaranteed.