Tipps Dundalk Shelbourne Premier Division 30/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Shelbourne win the match.

1. The recent statistics show that Shelbourne has a decent away performance, with a win or draw in 60% of cases. In comparison, Dundalk has shown an uneven home performance, with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches.
2. The odds also indicate a higher probability (70%) for a prediction of “Draw or Shelbourne wins the match,” which is a strong indicator in terms of sports betting.
3. In terms of defense, Shelbourne has proven to be quite solid by conceding an average of only 0.8 goals per match, while Dundalk has conceded an average of 1.6 goals in their recent home matches. This weaker defensive performance by Dundalk could allow Shelbourne to score, reducing Dundalk’s chances of a victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. By analyzing the recent performances of Dundalk at home and Shelbourne away, it is clear that both teams struggle to score more than one goal per match on average. Dundalk scores an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while Shelbourne only scores 0.6 away. This indicates a higher probability of seeing less than 2.5 goals in their encounter.

2. On the other hand, the defenses of Dundalk and Shelbourne appear solid, conceding only 1.6 and 0.8 goals per match on average, respectively. This further diminishes the potential for a high-scoring match.

3. Based on the provided odds, it is more likely to see less than 2.5 goals in the match (1.53) than more than 2.5 goals (2.45). This bookmakers’ trend also suggests they anticipate a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Shelbourne’s defensive performance: With a defensive potential of 29% in their recent away matches, Shelbourne demonstrates an ability to minimize goals conceded.

2. Dundalk’s home statistics: Dundalk has only scored in 40% of their last 5 home matches. Additionally, in 60% of these matches, the opposing team has failed to score.

3. Shelbourne’s lack of offensive potential: In their last 5 away matches, Shelbourne only averages 0.6 goals per game, reflecting a difficulty in scoring on the road.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 1.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Dundalk 1-1 Shelbourne”

1. Recent statistics show a trend towards draws for both teams, especially for Dundalk at home (40% draw rate) and Shelbourne away (40% draw rate). This indicates a high probability of the match ending in a balanced score.

2. In terms of goals scored and conceded, it appears that both teams are relatively evenly matched. Dundalk at home averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match, while Shelbourne away averages 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded. These statistics suggest a reasonable probability for a conclusive 1-1 scoreline.

3. The offensive potential of Dundalk at home (50%) and Shelbourne away (21%) indicates that both teams are not particularly prolific in terms of goals. Additionally, the defensive potential of Dundalk at home (57%) and Shelbourne away (29%) suggests that both teams are rather solid defensively. These factors point towards a low-scoring match, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dundalk, strong at home, wins and draws 40% of the time, scoring 5 goals. Shelbourne, weak away, only shows 20% wins and the same amount of draws with 4 goals to their name. Dundalk’s attack is superior to Shelbourne’s with 50% compared to 21%.

Dundalk has a slightly sturdier defense with 57% compared to Shelbourne’s 29%. The odds suggest a close match, with Shelbourne slightly favored at 36.84% against Dundalk’s 30%.

The statistics highlight a rather defensive game: less than 3.5 goals is at 88.42%, less than 2.5 goals at 1.53. Additionally, there is a 52.63% chance that both teams will not score.

Recent match histories show poor home performance by Dundalk with losses against Galway and Waterford. Shelbourne has not excelled away, suffering heavy defeats notably against FC Zurich.

Conclusion: A low-scoring match is expected, with a slight domination by Shelbourne. The statistics suggest a match with less than 2.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Dundalk has shown a balanced performance at home, with 40% wins and 40% draws. They have scored and conceded the same number of goals, which is 5.

Shelbourne struggles to win away, with only 20% wins and 40% draws. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5.

Dundalk’s average goals at home are 1.4 per match. They concede an average of 1.6 goals. Their offensive and defensive potential is 50% and 57% respectively.

For Shelbourne away, they score an average of 0.6 goals and concede 0.8 goals. Their offensive potential is low (21%), as well as their defensive potential (29%).

The probabilities show that Shelbourne has a higher chance of winning this match at 36.84%. The draw is slightly less likely at 33.16%.

The option ‘draw or Shelbourne win’ has a high probability of 70% but with lower odds at 1.30.

There is around a 69% chance of more than 1.5 goals in this match. For over 2.5 goals, the probability decreases to 42.63%.

Both teams have almost an equal chance of scoring during the match with a probability of 47.37%.

Looking at Dundalk’s recent home games, they have fluctuated between wins (Dundalk 4 – 2 Drogheda United / Dundalk 1 – 0 Sligo Rovers), losses (Dundalk 0 – 2 Galway United / Dundalk 0 – 2 Waterford United), and a draw (Dundalk 0 – 0 Derry City).

As for Shelbourne, they have experienced losses (Sligo Rovers 2 – 1 Shelbourne / FC Zurich 3 – 0 Shelbourne), a win (Bray Wanderers 0 – 1 Shelbourne), and two draws (St Joseph S Fc 1 – 1 Shelbourne / Drogheda United 1 – 1 Shelbourne).

This match appears to be quite open and uncertain.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Dundalk and Shelbourne is shaping up to be tight and uncertain. The recent performances of both teams do not stand out particularly, with balanced scores for each. Statistical data suggest a slight superiority of Shelbourne, especially in terms of probability of victory or draw. Additionally, Dundalk’s offensive potential at home and Shelbourne’s solid defense away predict a low-scoring match, with less than 2.5 goals highly likely. The “Over 1.5 goals in the match” option seems to be the bet offering the best value. However, since sports betting always involves a level of risk, it is recommended to approach this match with caution. The safest bet remains “Draw or Shelbourne to win the match” with a significantly high probability (70%).