Tipps Dundalk Sligo Rovers Premier Division 13/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Dundalk win the match.

1. Over the last five home games, Dundalk has secured a victory in 40% of the cases, maintaining a solid defense by conceding only 3 goals. Their home performances have been relatively consistent and they are able to contain the opposition’s offense.

2. Away from home, Sligo Rovers struggle to maintain their form, with only a 20% win rate in their last five matches and a weak defense, having conceded 9 goals. This suggests they may struggle to win against a strong Dundalk side at home.

3. Taking probabilities into account, the forecast relies on the highest probability of success – 81.42% for “Draw or Dundalk win the match.” This high probability is a strong statistical indication that either Dundalk will win, or the match will end in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The match history shows a relatively low number of goals scored by Dundalk at home and Sligo Rovers away, with a total of 3 and 6 goals respectively in 5 matches.

2. Both teams have weak offensive and defensive performances, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match for Dundalk at home and 1.4 goals for Sligo Rovers away. Additionally, both teams have a higher defense percentage than their offensive percentage (36% for Dundalk and 79% for Sligo Rovers), indicating a more defensive style of play for both teams.

3. The probability odds for “under 2.5 goals in the match” are 1.70, showing that bookmakers also expect a low total of goals. This data is consistent with the previous statistics and recent performances of both teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Dundalk’s offensive potential is relatively low, reaching only 29%. As a result, they score fewer goals, which is also illustrated by the fact that they have only scored 3 goals in their last 5 home matches.
2. Sligo Rovers, when playing away, tend to focus more on defense than attack, as evidenced by their defensive potential of 79%. Furthermore, they have conceded more goals (9 goals in their last 5 away matches) than they have scored.
3. Past matches also show a trend of both teams struggling to score goals. For example, in three of Dundalk’s last five home matches, both teams have failed to score, while in one of Sligo Rovers’ last five away matches, both teams have failed to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Dundalk 1-1 Sligo Rovers

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams: According to statistics, Dundalk has a utilization potential of 29% in attack and 36% in defense at home, while Sligo Rovers has a potential of 50% in attack and 79% in defense away. These stats suggest that both teams have the ability to score and concede goals, indicating a likely score of 1-1.

2. Draw statistics: The data shows a higher probability of a draw, especially for Sligo Rovers who have ended in a draw in 40% of their away matches. This further strengthens the likelihood of a final score of 1-1.

3. Probabilities based on goals scored and conceded: The likelihood of there being over 1.5 goals in the match is relatively high (70.49%) and the probability of fewer than 3.5 goals is also significant (85.79%). Considering the offensive and defensive performances of both teams, a score of 1-1 falls within this range.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dundalk has not lost at home in its last 5 matches, scoring a total of 3 goals. Their defense is decent, having conceded only 3 goals.

Sligo Rovers struggle away from home, with just one win, two draws, and two losses. Their attack has been more effective than Dundalk’s with 6 goals scored, but their defense has been leaky, conceding 9 goals.

The average goals scored and conceded in the last 5 matches suggest a low-scoring game. Dundalk has a slight edge with an offensive potential of 29% compared to Sligo’s 17%, and a stronger defense (36% to 79%).

In terms of probabilities, Dundalk have almost a 50% chance of winning the match and over 80% chance of not losing. Sligo, on the other hand, only has an 18.58% chance of winning.

The highest probability indicates less than 4.5 goals in the match, pointing towards a low-scoring affair. The probabilities are almost evenly balanced regarding both teams scoring, suggesting uncertainty in this aspect.

In conclusion, Dundalk seems to have the edge at home, but the trend towards low scores implies a tight game with few goals.

The potential number of goals

Dundalk at home has had mixed results with 2 wins, 3 draws, and no losses in their last 5 matches. Their defense has been solid, conceding only 3 goals. However, their attack has struggled, scoring only 3 goals.

Sligo Rovers, playing away, have recorded 1 win, 2 losses, and 2 draws. Their defense has been leaky, conceding 9 goals, but their attack has been more balanced with 6 goals scored.

Based on offensive and defensive potential, Dundalk appears stronger defensively, while Sligo Rovers have a better attack. Overall, Sligo is weaker in terms of winning percentage.

The strongest probability is a ‘Draw or Dundalk win’ at 81.42%, offering interesting odds for a bet.

The match is likely to have less than 3.5 goals, with a high probability of 85.79%, considering the teams’ offensive records.

In summary, bet on Dundalk or a draw, with the number of goals likely to be under 3.5.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the detailed analysis of previous matches, home and away performances, as well as offensive and defensive potentials shows that Dundalk has a slight advantage for this match against Sligo Rovers. However, it is likely that the score will be low due to the weak offensive performance of both teams. Taking probabilities into account, the safest bets would be “Draw or Dundalk wins the match” and “Under 2.5 goals in the match”. In terms of value bet, a draw seems to be an interesting option. Finally, by betting on the exact score, a 1-1 score seems the most probable. These predictions suggest some confidence in Dundalk and a forecast of a low-scoring match, but as always in sports betting, there is an element of uncertainty and anything can happen in the match itself. So, good luck with your bets!