Tipps Dundalk St Patrick's Athl. Premier Division 05/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Dundalk wins the match.

1. The home record of Dundalk, with 40% win rate and 60% draws in the last 5 matches, shows a certain solidity, increasing the chances that Dundalk won’t lose this match.

2. St Patrick’s Athletic’s away record is less impressive, with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws in the last 5 matches. This demonstrates some weakness on the road, which could favor Dundalk at home or lead to a draw.

3. Statistically, the bet “Draw or Dundalk wins the match” has a success probability of 70.62%, significantly higher than the success probability of a St Patrick’s Athletic win (29.38%). This indicates that based on probabilities, betting on the draw or Dundalk to win is the most logical choice.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. In their last 5 matches, Dundalk has scored an average of 0.6 goals per game, while St Patrick’s Athletic has scored an average of 1.2 goals per game. The overall average is less than 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for low-scoring matches.
2. The defenses of Dundalk and St Patrick’s Athletic appear relatively solid, with Dundalk conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game and St Patrick’s Athletic conceding an average of 0.8 goals. This defensive solidity may limit the total number of goals scored.
3. Looking at the recent match results of Dundalk at home and St Patrick’s Athletic away, most of these matches have produced less than 2.5 goals. This reinforces the likelihood of a relatively low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes.

1. Previous match statistics show that both teams have regularly scored and conceded goals. Dundalk has scored 5 goals and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, while St Patrick’s Athletic has scored 4 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams also supports the hypothesis that both will score. Dundalk has an offensive potential of 21%, indicating some offensive weakness, but their defense concedes quite a few goals with a defensive potential of 50%. On the other hand, St Patrick’s Athletic shows an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 29%, indicating better offensive performance and a higher likelihood of scoring.

3. The “Both teams to score” indicator has a success probability of 54.64%, which is higher than the opposite probability of 45.36% (both teams not to score). These probabilities suggest that the statistics more strongly support the hypothesis that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“The both teams do not score.”

Bet on the exact result

“Dundalk 1-1 St Patrick’s Athletic”

1. Recent performances of both teams show they both have average offensive potential and solid defense, with Dundalk scoring an average of 0.6 goals and conceding 1.4 goals per match, while St Patrick’s scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 0.8 goals away. These numbers indicate a low-scoring match, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

2. Recent home performances by Dundalk and away performances by St Patrick’s also reflect a high probability of a draw. Dundalk has a 60% draw rate at home, while St Patrick’s has a 40% draw rate away. This means both teams tend to end up with a draw, adding weight to the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

3. Success probabilities also indicate a strong likelihood of less than 1.5 goals being scored during the match (72.16%) and a higher probability of both teams scoring (54.64%). These statistics suggest a tight match where both teams score, once again supporting the 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dundalk, at home, has had a mixed performance. In 5 matches, they have 2 wins and 3 losses. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 5 as well.

St Patrick’s Athletic, away from their home field, is slightly weaker. With 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, they have scored 4 goals and conceded 7.

Dundalk averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match in attack and defense, respectively, indicating difficulties in both areas.

On the other hand, St Patrick’s Athletic appears stronger in attack, averaging 1.2 goals scored. Defensively, they are more solid, conceding only 0.8 goals on average.

The prediction favors Dundalk to win with a probability of 39.18%. However, a draw is also a possible outcome with a probability of 31.44%.

There is a 72.16% probability that the match will end with over 1.5 goals.

Both teams could score in the match, with a 54.64% probability.

Based on these data, it would be prudent to bet on either a Dundalk win or a draw, with an option for over 1.5 total goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Dundalk wins 40% of its home matches, while St Patrick’s Athletic only wins 20% of its away matches. The goals scored by Dundalk at home are low with an average of 0.6, compared to 1.2 for St Patrick’s Athletic away. However, Dundalk concedes on average 1.4 goals against only 0.8 for St Patrick. The offensive potential of Dundalk is 21% against 43% for St Patrick. Defensively, Dundalk appears stronger with a potential of 50% compared to 29% for St Patrick.

The probabilities lean more in favor of Dundalk with a 39.18% chance of winning against 29.38% for St Patrick. A win or draw for Dundalk has a success probability of 70.62%, while for St Patrick, it is 60.82%.

The probability that the number of goals will be less than 1.5 is low, while there is a 72.16% chance that there will be more than 1.5 goals. A match with fewer than 3.5 goals is expected with a probability of 79.38%.

Both teams have a probability of scoring of 54.64%, although their recent matches show some inconsistency in offensive and defensive performance. In conclusion, safe bets would be a win for Dundalk, or a draw, as well as a total of less than 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Dundalk and St Patrick’s Athletic presents some interesting opportunities for bettors. The statistics and probabilities suggest a likely victory or draw for Dundalk with slightly lower offensive potential compared to St Patrick’s Athletic. However, their excellent defensive potential could offset this offensive weakness. Furthermore, given both teams’ tendencies to score and concede goals simultaneously, the ‘both teams to score’ bet seems like a wise option. On the other hand, a bet on a total goals under 3.5 also seems like a safe bet due to the relatively low number of goals scored in previous matches. Therefore, a combination bet on these options could offer interesting returns. However, it is important to remember that despite all the statistics and analysis, betting always involves risk, so it is recommended to bet responsibly.