Tipps Dundee ST Johnstone Premiership 26/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Dundee wins the match.”

1. Recent home performances of Dundee are notable with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have also scored 14 goals, demonstrating a respectable attacking form.
2. St. Johnstone has had fairly weak away performances with 0% wins and only 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have notably scored fewer goals (3 goals) compared to Dundee.
3. According to the provided probabilities, there is a 53.07% chance that Dundee will win the match, which is a higher probability compared to a draw or a St. Johnstone victory. This suggests that Dundee are more likely to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. Dundee’s offensive play at home: In their last 5 home matches, Dundee has scored a total of 14 goals. This average of nearly three goals per match (with a maximum of 6 goals against Airdrie United) indicates an offensive playing strategy. If Dundee maintains this performance, it is likely that the match will see more than 2.5 goals.

2. Weak defense from both teams: Dundee and St. Johnstone seem to struggle in maintaining a solid defense, conceding 15 and 5 goals respectively in their last 5 matches. Their defensive potential is very low, at 71% and 93% respectively. Therefore, there is a high likelihood that the match will see more than 2.5 goals due to their weak defenses.

3. Predictive probabilities: According to the provided probabilities, the number of goals during the match is very likely to be over 2.5 with a success probability of 53.07% – the highest among all total score predictions. It has also been noted that the probability of over 3.5 goals is quite high (20.55%). Therefore, it is reasonable to predict that the match will see more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. Dundee’s home performance in their last 5 matches shows a more defensive trend, with more goals conceded (15) than scored (14). Dundee’s defensive potential is at 71%, meaning they are more likely to prevent the opponent from scoring.

2. St. Johnstone’s away performances are also weak, with an average of only 0.6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have a very low probability of winning the match, at 18.99%, suggesting it is unlikely that they will score against Dundee.

3. The statistics also show a 50.28% probability that both teams will not score. Based on St. Johnstone’s recent away matches, they have failed to score in the majority of these games (Rangers 2 – 0 St. Johnstone, Hibernian 2 – 0 St. Johnstone, Dundee Utd 2 – 0 St. Johnstone).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 2.00

Bet on the exact result

Dundee 2-1 St. Johnstone.

1. Performance statistics: Recent home game statistics for Dundee show better performance compared to St. Johnstone away. Specifically, Dundee has a 40% home win rate compared to St. Johnstone’s 0% away win rate over their last 5 matches.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: At home, Dundee has shown an ability to score goals, averaging 0.8 goals per match. Perhaps more importantly, while St. Johnstone has a slightly higher average of 1.2 goals per match away, their defensive potential is significantly weaker at 93%, whereas Dundee’s is at 71%.

3. Betting probabilities: The evidence suggests a higher probability (53.07%) that Dundee will win the match, supporting the prediction of a 2-1 win for Dundee. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is almost 50%, making a 2-1 scoreline prediction plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dundee has shown good form at home recently, winning 40% and drawing 40% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 15.

On the other hand, St. Johnstone struggles away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have only scored 3 goals and conceded 5.

Dundee has an average of 0.8 goals scored per match and concedes an average of 2 goals, with an offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 71%.

St. Johnstone scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 2.6 goals with an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 93%.

The probability of Dundee winning is 53.07% (odds of 1.72), the probability of a draw is 27.93% (odds of 3.75), and the probability of St. Johnstone winning is 18.99% (odds of 4.75).

Note that the probability of the match having over 1.5 goals is 78.21% (odds of 1.25). Furthermore, the probability of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match is high at 80.45% with odds of 1.38.

Finally, the likelihood of both teams scoring is almost equal – 49.72% (odds of 1.75) compared to 50.28% (odds of 2.00) for both teams not scoring.

By observing their past matches, Dundee’s home performances have improved, while St. Johnstone struggles to score away from home. Therefore, a bet on a Dundee win or a draw seems like a safe option.

The potential number of goals

Dundee, at home, has been putting in an impressive performance. They have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches, showcasing a significant offensive power. However, with 15 goals conceded, their defense seems to be struggling.

On the other hand, St. Johnstone has had less success in their away matches. They have only scored 3 times and have conceded 5 goals, highlighting weaknesses in both their offense and defense.

Recent home match analysis of Dundee shows a trend towards high-scoring games, with at least 3 goals in each match.

Conversely, previous away results for St. Johnstone indicate a real challenge in scoring, with the score often remaining below 3.

The odds are in favor of Dundee, with a 53.07% probability of winning the match. In contrast, St. Johnstone has only an 18.99% chance of victory.

The data also indicates a high probability (78.21%) of there being over 1.5 goals in the game. Furthermore, the 53.07% probability of over 2.5 goals suggests a potentially offensive match.

Overall, the match seems to favor Dundee and promises to be an exciting encounter, with a significant likelihood of there being over 2.5 goals in total.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, in the match between Dundee and St. Johnstone, Dundee seems to have the advantage. Their home performances have been strong, regularly scoring goals and boasting a better win rate compared to St. Johnstone away from home. The odds also confirm this trend, showing a higher win rate for Dundee. Furthermore, the match is likely to see a total number of goals over 2.5, due to Dundee’s offensive approach and both teams’ weakened defenses. However, both teams are not likely to score, as indicated by previous match results and St. Johnstone’s offensive potential. A possible exact score, based on statistics and probabilities, would be a 2-1 victory for Dundee. An interesting value bet could be to wager on under 2.5 goals in the match, considering the defensive performances of both teams and St. Johnstone’s struggles to score away from home. In any case, as always with sports betting, nothing is guaranteed, and it is advisable to bet responsibly.