Tipps Dungannon Swifts Loughgall Premiership 16/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Loughgall wins the match.”

1. Recent Performance: Loughgall has a better recent winning rate than Dungannon Swifts. In their respective last 5 matches, Loughgall won 60% of the time compared to 40% for Dungannon Swifts.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Loughgall has a higher offensive potential than Dungannon Swifts, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match compared to 1.4 for Dungannon Swifts. Additionally, Loughgall has a slightly lower defensive potential, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, while Dungannon Swifts concedes an average of 2.2 goals per match.

3. Previous Results: Previous results of Loughgall’s away matches indicate an ability to win away from home. In their last 5 away matches, they secured 3 victories, despite facing competitive teams.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals”

1. The high offensive potential of both teams: At home, Dungannon Swifts have an offensive potential of 50% and score an average of 1.4 goals per match, while away, Loughgall have an offensive potential of 86% and score an average of 2.4 goals per match.

2. The weak defensive potential of both teams: At home, Dungannon Swifts have a defensive potential of 79% and concede an average of 2.2 goals per match, while away, Loughgall have a defensive potential of 71% and concede an average of 2 goals per match.

3. Their recent matches have been high-scoring: In the last 5 home matches of Dungannon Swifts, 4 have seen more than 2.5 goals, while in the last 5 away matches of Loughgall, 3 have seen more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Dungannon Swifts have a strong offensive capability at home, with an average of 1.4 goals per match, indicating they are likely to score during the game.
2. Similarly, Loughgall has proven to be effective away from home, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match, suggesting they are also likely to score.
3. Both teams have shown a weak defense, with Dungannon Swifts conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match at home, and Loughgall conceding an average of 2 goals per match away. This gives each team a good chance of scoring against the other.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Dungannon Swifts 1-2 Loughgall”

1. Over their last 5 matches, Loughgall has a better away performance (60% win rate) compared to Dungannon Swifts at home (40% win rate), giving Loughgall an advantage.
2. Loughgall has a higher average goals scored away from home (2.4 goals per match) compared to Dungannon Swifts’ average goals scored at home (1.4 goals per match). Additionally, Dungannon Swifts’ defense at home concedes an average of 2.2 goals per match, which is higher than Loughgall’s average goals conceded away from home (2 goals per match).
3. Recent match analysis: In Dungannon Swifts’ last 5 home matches, they have lost to teams of similar or higher level than Loughgall. In contrast, Loughgall has won against teams of similar or higher level than Dungannon in their recent away fixtures. The match history thus favors a Loughgall victory.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dungannon Swifts have struggled at home with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate. They have scored 10 goals but conceded 13. Loughgall, on the road, have a 60% win rate, scoring as many goals as they have conceded: 6.

In their last 5 home games, Dungannon Swifts have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match, but have conceded 2.2. Loughgall, away from home, have been more offensive, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding 2 per match.

Predictions indicate a win for Loughgall or a draw with a zero probability. This suggests a close match. As for goals, under 3.5 goals seems most likely with a 100% probability.

On the other hand, there is a 100% chance that both teams will not score. This implies that the match could be tactically defensive.

Based on previous matches, one thing is clear: expect a low-scoring match between two defensive teams.

The potential number of goals

Dungannon Swifts has had a somewhat inconsistent performance at home in their last 5 matches. They have won and drawn twice each, scoring a total of 10 goals but conceding 13. Their offensive efficiency stands at 50% while their defensive performance is at 79%.

On the other hand, Loughgall has shown more consistency in their away games. They have won three times in their last 5 matches, with a total of 6 goals scored and conceded. Their offensive strength is significant, with 86% offensive efficiency and a defensive performance equivalent to 71%.

Based on this information, the match is expected to be closely contested, but the advantage seems to be with Loughgall despite playing away. Their solid offensive and defensive capabilities, compared to Dungannon Swifts’ vulnerable defense and average attack, could prove decisive.

As for the score, the probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match is very high, indicating a potentially defensive game. This, coupled with a 100% probability of both teams not scoring, suggests a low-scoring match, perhaps even a sole goal could decide the outcome.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent win rate, offensive and defensive potential, as well as previous results, it is likely that Loughgall will win this match against Dungannon Swifts. However, it is likely to be a closely contested match with few goals, with statistics suggesting a 1-2 score in favor of Loughgall. Betting on over 2.5 goals in the match appears to offer an interesting value bet, given both teams’ recent trends in high-scoring games. Finally, it also seems probable that both teams will score during the match, considering their respective offensive potential and weak defense.