Tipps Dunkerque Rodez Ligue 2 30/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the data and statistics provided, my prediction would be that “Rodez AF wins the match” or “Draw or Rodez AF wins the match” as it has a higher probability of success.

1. The probability of success for a match won by Rodez AF or a draw is 70.62%, significantly higher than the probability of success for a match won by Dunkerque (29.38%) or a draw (26.8%).

2. Statistics also show that Rodez AF has a higher defensive potential than Dunkerque when playing away (64% vs. 71%). Since football is a game where defense plays a crucial role, a better defense increases Rodez AF’s chances of resisting Dunkerque’s offensive.

3. In their last 5 home matches, Dunkerque scored 9 goals and conceded 11, demonstrating a lack of stability in performance. For Rodez AF, while they scored fewer goals away (4 goals), they also conceded fewer (5 goals), suggesting greater consistency in their performance.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Dunkerque averages 2 goals scored per home match and concedes an average of 2 goals per match, indicating a potential for over 2.5 goals in the game.
2. Dunkerque’s recent home matches have shown a high goal rate: 0-2, 2-2, 5-1, 0-0, 2-2. Four out of these five matches meet the condition of over 2.5 goals.
3. Rodez AF scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match and concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match. This suggests that the match could exceed 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistical data shows that Dunkerque has a home offensive potential of 71%, meaning they have a high likelihood of scoring at least one goal. Additionally, they have scored 9 goals in their last 5 home matches.
2. Rodez AF, despite having a slightly lower offensive potential of 43% away from home, has still managed to score at least one goal in 80% of their last 5 away matches.
3. Looking at defensive performances, Dunkerque has conceded an average of 2 goals per home match, while Rodez AF has conceded an average of 1.8 goals in away matches. These data suggest that both teams struggle to keep a clean sheet, thus increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 26.8% chance of success: 3.25

Bet on the exact result

“Dunkerque 2-1 Rodez AF”

1. Dunkerque, in their last 5 home matches, has shown their offensive capabilities by averaging 2 goals per game. Additionally, they have won or drawn in 40% of these matches, indicating that Dunkerque is capable of handling Rodez AF.

2. Rodez AF, in their last 5 away matches, has only won in 20% of cases and has averaged just 1.2 goals per game. This relatively low efficiency rate suggests an unfavorable score for them in their encounter with Dunkerque.

3. Statistics show that both teams score in 53.09% of cases, with an average of 3 goals per game, supporting a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Dunkerque. Furthermore, the odds suggest a higher likelihood of success for “draw or Dunkerque wins” than for “Rodez AF wins,” further bolstering this prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dunkerque, at home, struggles to secure wins with only 20% victories and 20% draws. They have conceded more goals (11) than they have scored (9).

As for Rodez AF away, they do not show better results with 20% victories and 20% draws. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5.

On average, Dunkerque scores 2 goals per home match, but also concedes 2 goals per match, demonstrating their defensive weakness.

Rodez AF, when playing away, scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1.8 goals per match. Their defense is slightly stronger than Dunkerque’s, but they struggle to score.

The match seems to lean towards a victory for Rodez AF with a success rate of 43.81% and odds of 2.55.

However, the match could end with a low score. Under 1.5 goals in the match is at 3.30, while over 2.5 goals in the match only has a 46.39% success rate.

Statistics show that both teams score quite frequently with a 53.09% success probability: a detail to consider for predictions.

In conclusion, the match is open with a slight tendency towards a Rodez victory but probably without a high number of goals.

The potential number of goals

Dunkerque, at home, wins little (20%) and has an average offensive capacity of two goals per match. They have a similar defense, conceding an average of two goals per match.

Rodez AF achieves victories in 20% of cases when playing away. Their attack is not at its best with only 1.2 goals on average per match away. Their defense is better, conceding only 1.8 goals.

In recent matches, Dunkerque has shown a willingness to attack, often scoring, while Rodez AF has struggled to find the back of the net.

With an estimated success probability of 43.81%, Rodez AF has a better chance of winning. A draw is also conceivable with a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely option is that the match ends with fewer than 3.5 goals scored (75.77% chance). This corresponds to the defensive trend of both teams.

However, both teams scoring is also a possibility to consider, with a 53.09% probability.

In conclusion, Rodez AF appears to be the favorite but a draw or a narrow victory with fewer than 3.5 goals in total could be the most likely scenario.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the statistics and data analyzed, the match between Dunkerque and Rodez AF could tilt in favor of Rodez AF. However, it could also potentially end in a draw. Furthermore, the data suggests a match with a low total of goals, most likely less than 3.5. It is also possible that both teams will manage to score in this encounter. Bettors are advised to take these probabilities into consideration when placing their bets. Nevertheless, it is worth noting that in the field of sports betting, nothing is ever guaranteed. Even though statistics can provide an insight into probabilities, the final result can be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Therefore, it is always important to bet responsibly.