Tipps Ecuador Paraguay Qualif. CDM - Amérique du Sud 10/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Ecuador wins the match

1. Ecuador has an excellent home record, with a win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches. They also have an average of 1 goal per match, displaying strong offensive performance.

2. In contrast, Paraguay has struggled to perform away from home, with wins in only 20% of their last 5 matches. They have also conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match, indicating a weak defense.

3. The success probabilities strongly favor Ecuador with a 67.41% chance of winning the match, compared to just 10.37% for Paraguay.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Ecuador and Paraguay’s offensive statistics are frozen at around one goal per match, which statistically gives a total average close to two goals, favoring the prediction of under 2.5 goals.

2. Ecuador and Paraguay have relatively high defensive percentages (21% and 57% respectively), indicating that their defenses are quite solid and limit the total number of goals scored in their matches.

3. Ecuador’s recent home performances and Paraguay’s away performances show generally low scores, with most matches not featuring more than two goals, further supporting the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Ecuador’s home performance is quite good with an 80% win rate, and they have managed to score in every match, indicating a strong offensive capability. Furthermore, they have only conceded 0.6 goals per match, reinforcing the likelihood that Ecuador may be the only team to score.

2. Paraguay has shown a weak attacking performance in their away matches by only scoring 3 goals in 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals per match. Additionally, they have lost 60% of their away matches, reducing the chances of them scoring.

3. The statistics of both teams suggest a high probability (60.74%) of both teams not scoring, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (39.26%). This also increases the possibility of a match where only one of the two teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Ecuador 2-1 Paraguay

1. Ecuador has a stronger performance history at home with a win percentage of 80% in their last 5 matches, while Paraguay has a low probability of winning away with only 20% in their last 5 matches.

2. In terms of average goals scored and conceded per match, Ecuador at home scores an average of 1 goal per match and concedes 0.6, which leans towards a predicted score of 2-1.

3. The odds also suggest an advantage for Ecuador with a 67.41% probability of winning. Furthermore, statistics show that in most matches recently played by these two teams, the total number of goals falls between 2 and 3, confirming a score prediction of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Ecuador presents a fairly good form at home, with an 80% win rate. However, Ecuador concedes more goals than they score, with 11 goals conceded and 10 scored.

On the other hand, Paraguay has mixed results away from home, with only a 20% win rate. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 6 in 5 matches, indicating a rather fragile defense.

In terms of averages, Ecuador scores 1 goal per match at home, while Paraguay averages 0.8 goals per match when playing away.

As for the prediction, Ecuador has a 67.41% chance of winning the match compared to Paraguay’s 10.37%. The probabilities are therefore in favor of Ecuador.

It is also likely that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match (68.89% chance), which supports the idea of an offensive game.

Looking at their recent matches, Ecuador has won 4 times at home, including a match against Peru, a tough opponent. Paraguay, on the other hand, struggles away from home with only one victory against Panama.

In conclusion, based on these statistics, the most likely outcome seems to be a victory for Ecuador, with over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Ecuador dominates at home with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goal scored per game. Their defense is strong, conceding only 0.6 goals on average per match. On the other hand, Paraguay struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match.

The probabilities favor Ecuador with a 67.41% chance of winning the match. It seems unlikely that Paraguay will win, with only a 10.37% probability. The possibility of a draw is higher but still low at 22.22%.

The trend indicates there will likely be over 1.5 goals in the match (68.89% probability). Less than 3.5 goals will probably be scored in the match, with an 84.44% success rate. Statistics also suggest that it is more likely that both teams will not score (60.74%).

Looking at past matches, Ecuador has a good track record with wins against Peru and Jamaica, despite a loss to Venezuela. On the other hand, Paraguay has faced challenges on foreign soil, notably with losses to Uruguay, Costa Rica, and Colombia.

In summary, Ecuador seems to have the advantage in this match. Paraguay will need to show strength to improve their away record. The match is likely to be low-scoring, and it’s possible that one of the teams will not score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering Ecuador’s recent home performances and Paraguay’s away form, the best betting options for this match seem to be a win for Ecuador with fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. Statistics also indicate a high likelihood that only one of the teams will score. However, despite Paraguay’s poor away performances, betting on over 2.5 goals also presents an interesting value bet to consider. Ultimately, a precise score of 2-1 in favor of Ecuador appears to be a promising prediction. Nevertheless, it is important to note that these forecasts are based on past performances and trends and do not guarantee any certain outcome. Good luck to the bettors!