Tipps Eibar Amorebieta Segunda División 05/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Eibar wins the match”

1. Home Record: Eibar has an excellent home record in their recent matches, winning in 60% of cases. Furthermore, Eibar has scored 11 goals at home in their last 5 matches, highlighting their strong offensive performance at home.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Eibar has a home offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 36% in their last 5 matches. This means they have a high probability of scoring goals and a low probability of conceding goals compared to Amorebieta, who has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 57%.

3. Probability of Victory: According to betting odds, Eibar has a success probability of 66.48%, the highest among all result options. This reflects the confidence of bettors in a positive outcome for Eibar.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. Eibar’s home performances: Eibar has showcased a strong performance at home, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per match. They have also displayed a relatively weaker defensive performance by conceding 1 goal per match, suggesting it is likely to be a high-scoring game.

2. Amorebieta’s away performances: On the road, Amorebieta has demonstrated a balanced offensive and defensive performance, averaging 1.6 goals scored and conceded per match. This contributes to the expected total goals in the match.

3. Odds for over 2.5 goals: The odds indicate a 45.6% probability of over 2.5 goals, a highly playable odds considering both teams’ past performances. Taking into account recent match data and various statistics, it is reasonable to expect the match to exceed 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goals Statistics: In their last 5 matches both at home and away, Eibar and Amorebieta have managed to score a certain number of goals (11 for Eibar and 7 for Amorebieta), indicating that they have the ability to score goals during their matches.

2. Scoring Potential: Eibar and Amorebieta have a good offensive potential that exceeds 50% (79% for Eibar and 57% for Amorebieta). This study is based on their performances of scoring at least one goal per match on average in their last 5 matches.

3. Recent Performances of Both Teams: In the majority of their respective last 5 matches, Eibar and Amorebieta have managed to score goals. These recent results indicate that both teams have the ability to score when they play against each other.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – odds of 4.33

Bet on the exact result

Eibar 2-1 Amorebieta

1. Offensive and defensive potential of the teams: With an average of 2.2 goals per home match for Eibar, and an average of 1.6 goals per away match for Amorebieta, these data support the prediction of a 2-1 score in favor of Eibar.

2. Expected success rate: Statistics give Eibar a success probability of 66.48% to win the match, significantly higher than Amorebieta’s (8.79%). Furthermore, the odds indicate that matches with “Over 1.5 goals” and “Under 3.5 goals” are more likely, which is consistent with a final score of 2-1.

3. Teams’ recent performances: The recent performances of both teams reinforce this prediction. Eibar has won its last three home matches. Additionally, Amorebieta has scored at least one goal in its last four away games.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Eibar is in good form at home with a 60% win rate. In their last 5 matches, they have scored 11 goals. However, they have also conceded 14 goals.

Amorebieta, when playing away, has the same win rate, but their record is more balanced with 7 goals scored and 7 goals conceded.

Eibar shows an offensive potential of 79% at home and a defensive rate of 36%. Conversely, Amorebieta has equal values of 57% in both attack and defense when playing away.

The match seems to favor Eibar with a 66.48% chance of winning. Amorebieta appears less favored with only an 8.79% probability of victory.

There is a 76.37% chance of there being over 1.5 goals in the match, and a 45.6% chance for over 2.5 goals. However, the likelihood of more than 3.5 goals is low at 3.30.

There is an almost perfect balance between the probabilities of both teams scoring or not, at 46.15% and 53.85% respectively.

In their recent matches, Eibar has scored at least two goals three times while keeping a clean sheet twice. On the other hand, Amorebieta is undefeated away and has often won by a narrow margin.

In conclusion, Eibar seems to be the favorite, goals are expected from both sides, while potentially staying below the 3.5 goal mark for the match.

The potential number of goals

Eibar is strong at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They have an offensive flair with 11 goals scored, but their defense is less stable, conceding 14 goals.

Amorebieta, on the other hand, has a balanced identity away from home. They win 60% of their matches, scoring and conceding 7 goals.

Eibar, averaging 2.2 goals per match, has an offensive potential of 79%. Their defense is less reliable with a defensive percentage of 36%.

On average, Amorebieta scores just 1.6 goals per match and concedes the same. Their offensive and defensive stats are at 57%.

In terms of probabilities, Eibar is the favorite with a 66.48% chance of winning. A draw is at 24.73% and an Amorebieta win is at 8.79%.

In terms of goals, it’s likely to be a low-scoring match. Under 1.5 goals is at 3.40, over 1.5 goals has a probability of 76.37%. Over 2.5 goals are unlikely at 45.6%.

It’s less likely that both teams will score – it’s at 46.15%. Both teams not scoring is more probable at 53.85%.

The analysis suggests a tight match with Eibar slightly favored at home. A win for Eibar or a draw with under 2.5 goals could be solid predictions. However, as always, uncertainty remains in sports.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on their recent performances and statistics, Eibar appears to have the edge for this match due to their strong home record and offensive capabilities. However, Amorebieta also shows positive traits, including a balanced record and a strong tendency to score away from home. Furthermore, the likelihood of both teams scoring is predicted at 46.15%, indicating a potentially competitive match.

According to the betting recommendations in this article, a bet on Eibar to win and “under 2.5 goals” could be considered. Additionally, the attractive odds of 4.33 for a draw could provide an interesting value bet. Finally, a prediction of the exact score being Eibar 2-1 Amorebieta could be a bold bet to make.

As always, while statistics and analysis provide a clear picture of a match’s possible outcome, nothing is ever guaranteed in sports. It is important to gamble responsibly and only dedicate a moderate proportion of one’s budget to sports betting.