Tipps Elche Deportivo La Coruna LaLiga 2 13/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Elche wins the match

1. Elche has a stronger home record with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 home matches, compared to La Coruña who has only won 20% of their away matches.
2. Taking into account offensive and defensive potential, Elche has the same offensive potential as La Coruña (43%) but a better defensive potential (43% compared to 50%).
3. Probability success rate statistics also support this prediction. With a probability of 68.56%, the scenario where the match is a draw or Elche wins is more likely than La Coruña winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Based on their last 5 matches, Elche and La Coruna score an average of 1.2 goals per game, indicating a tendency towards low-scoring matches.
2. Both teams have a strong defensive performance, with Elche having a defensive potential of 43% and La Coruna a defensive potential of 50% in their last 5 matches, which could limit the total number of goals.
3. Betting statistics also suggest a low-scoring match, with an 80.93% success probability for under 3.5 goals in the match, and odds of 1.68 for under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Past statistics show a trend of both teams scoring in their matches, with Elche scoring at least one goal in 60% of their last 5 home matches and La Corogne scoring at least one goal in 60% of their last 5 away matches.
2. Goal averages indicate a similar level of attack and defense for both teams, with Elche averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded per home match, and La Corogne averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per away match. This suggests that both teams have a chance of scoring during the match.
3. According to the odds, there is a relatively balanced probability of both teams scoring, with a success probability of 48.45%, indicating that the match outcome could be closely contested and both teams could potentially score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match – 42.27% chance of success: 2.10

Bet on the exact result

Elche 1-1 La Corogne

1. The statistics of their last 5 matches show an average of 1.2 goals scored both for Elche at home and La Corogne away. This suggests that each team has a high probability of scoring a goal.

2. Both teams have shown a tendency to draw in about 40% of cases for Elche and 20% for La Corogne in their last 5 matches, indicating some balance between these two teams.

3. Taking into account the defensive ratios, both teams have conceded an average of 1.2 and 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches, suggesting that each team could potentially concede a goal in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Elche is in good form at home, with 40% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They won against Mirandes and scored a total of 6 goals. However, they also conceded 7 goals, indicating a not always solid defense.

As for La Corogne, their away form is lacking, winning 20% and drawing 20% of their last 5 matches. They scored 7 goals, but conceded 9. Their victory against Albacete, however, shows offensive potential.

Elche and La Corogne have similar offensive potential at 43%, and defensive potential at 43% and 50% respectively. It seems that La Corogne’s defense is slightly better.

Based on the probabilities, the chances slightly favor Elche, with a probability of winning the match at 40.21% compared to La Corogne’s 31.44%. A draw is likely with a probability of 28.35%.

It is more likely to see less than 3.5 goals in the match with a probability of 80.93%. Based on these numbers and match history, we can predict a match favoring Elche with a low goal margin.

The potential number of goals

Elche has been solid at home, winning 2 out of their last 5 matches and scoring 6 goals. However, they have also conceded 7 goals, indicating a shaky defense. La Coruña, on the other hand, has struggled on the road. They have only won once in their last 5 away games, scoring 7 times but conceding 9 goals.

Learning that both teams have an offensive potential of 43% is interesting. This means that on average they score around 1.2 goals per match. Again, they are both fairly balanced in defense, with success rates of 43% and 50% respectively.

The numbers indicate that Elche has a 40.21% chance of winning, while La Coruña has a probability of 31.44%. Betting on a draw or an Elche win would have a success probability of 68.56%.

In terms of goals, it is more likely that the match will have fewer than 3.5 goals with a probability of 80.93%. The probability percentage of both teams scoring is low at 48.45%.

Analyzing all this data, a forecast to consider would be a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, leaning towards an Elche win or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistics and analysis of the form of both teams suggest a tight match with a low number of goals, specifically less than 3.5 goals. The offensive and defensive potential of Elche and La Corogne, as well as their recent history, indicate that this match could end in a draw or an Elche victory.

In terms of betting, betting on a draw or an Elche victory seems like the safest choice with a success probability of 68.56%. An interesting bet with good value would be to bet on “over 2.5 goals” in the match, with a success probability of 42.27% and odds of 2.10.

It is also likely that both teams will score at least once during the match, with a probability of 48.45%. Ultimately, the most probable exact score would be a 1-1 draw between Elche and La Corogne.

However, it is important to keep in mind that sports betting is inherently random and unpredictable, and these predictions are based on statistics and by no means guarantee a guaranteed outcome. Bet responsibly, and may the best team win!