Tipps Eldense FC Cartagena LaLiga 2 01/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Eldense wins the match

1. Eldense seems to be more successful at home with a win probability of 45.95% compared to only 20.54% for FC Cartagena away.
2. Eldense’s offensive and defensive potential at home exceeds that of FC Cartagena in away matches, with 36% compared to 29% for offensive and 36% compared to 64% for defensive.
3. Eldense has proven in previous matches that they are capable of scoring at home, as demonstrated in the results against Tenerife, Sunderland, and Leganes.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The goal records of both teams: Eldense and FC Cartagena have a low percentage of goals scored in their respective matches, 0.8 and 1 on average. This suggests that both teams struggle to score, which could lead to a total of fewer than 2.5 goals.

2. The defensive and offensive performances of both teams: Eldense has conceded an average of 1 goal per home match while FC Cartagena has conceded an average of 1.8 away, indicating a defensive nature to the interaction between the two teams. Additionally, the offensive potential of Eldense and FC Cartagena is 36% and 29% respectively, a relatively low figure suggesting a lower likelihood of many goals.

3. Recent match trends: In most recent matches, both teams have scored and conceded fewer than 2.5 goals. These recent performances suggest a strong possibility that the match between Eldense and FC Cartagena will end with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent statistics show a trend towards low-scoring matches: Eldense has averaged 1 goal per home match and also conceded an average of 1 goal per match, while FC Cartagena has averaged 0.8 goals per away match and conceded 1.8 goals per match. This limited scoring potential from both sides supports the prediction that both teams will not score.

2. In Eldense’s last five home matches, the team failed to score in two games. Similarly, FC Cartagena failed to score in two of their last five away matches. These past performances indicate that there is a good chance that one or both teams may fail to score.

3. Statistical probabilities predict a match with a limited number of goals. Betting forecasts indicate an 84.32% probability for fewer than 3.5 goals in the match and a 98.92% probability for fewer than 4.5 goals in the match. These predictions suggest that the match could be low-scoring, thereby enhancing the chances of both teams not scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

FC Cartagena wins the match – 20.54% probability of success: 4.00

Bet on the exact result

“Eldense 1-1 FC Cartagena”

1. The average score – Based on the recent performances of both teams, it can be observed that Eldense scores around one goal per match at home, while FC Cartagena scores an average of 0.8 goals when playing away. This strongly suggests a final score of 1-1.

2. The draw trend – Eldense has drawn in 60% of their last 5 home matches, which is a significant statistic. Even though Cartagena hasn’t had any draws in their last 5 away matches, both teams could neutralize each other based on their recent average performances.

3. Defensive performances of both teams – Both Eldense and FC Cartagena have conceded an average of about 1.2 goals in their respective last 5 matches (at home for Eldense and away for Cartagena). This indicates a strong likelihood that both teams will manage to score at least one goal each.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Eldense has only won 20% of their last 5 home matches but managed to draw 60% of the time. On the other hand, FC Cartagena has a better away performance with a 40% win rate, but has not been able to secure any draws.

Eldense has scored at least 1 goal in every home match but has also conceded the same amount, giving them an offensive and defensive potential of 36%. FC Cartagena, although less effective offensively with a 0.8 goal per match rate, has shown greater defensive solidity with a potential of 64%.

Statistics suggest a higher likelihood (45.95%) of Eldense winning with odds of 1.95. In terms of goals, the match could see over 1.5 goals with a probability of 66.49% and odds of 1.45. However, the number of goals could stay under 3.5 with a high probability of 84.32% and odds of 1.18.

Analyzing the previous results, Eldense seems to struggle at home with more losses than wins, while Cartagena, despite some defeats, has shown strength, especially with a 3-0 victory against Yeclano.

In conclusion, Eldense may have the advantage as the match is played at home and they have an offensive potential equal to their defensive potential. However, FC Cartagena presents a solid defense that could disrupt Eldense. Betting on over 1.5 goals and under 3.5 goals could be safe options.

The potential number of goals

Eldense, at home, has a 20% win rate and 60% draw rate in the last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6. On the other hand, FC Cartagena succeeds in 40% of away matches but has never drawn. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals.

Eldense averages 1 goal per home match, and FC Cartagena scores 0.8 goals away from home. Defensively, Eldense and FC Cartagena concede an average of 1 and 1.8 goals, respectively.

The probability of Eldense winning the match is 45.95% while FC Cartagena has a success probability of 20.54%. The draw has a probability of 33.51%. If we consider either the draw or an Eldense win, the probability rises to 79.46%.

The probability of the match ending with more than 1.5 goals is 66.49%. There is an 84.32% probability for less than 3.5 goals, and a high probability of 98.92% for less than 4.5 goals.

The likelihood of both teams scoring is almost equal, with a probability of 49.19%.

History shows that Eldense struggles at home, with 4 losses and 1 draw. FC Cartagena has won twice away but lost three times.

In conclusion, a match with fewer than 3.5 goals and where Eldense wins or draws seems to be the most probable scenario.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

By pulling the threads of the above analyses and forecasts, it appears that the match is set for a very tight scenario, with a fierce battle between Eldense, who will try to exploit their home advantage, and FC Cartagena, who will seek to replicate their recent away form.

The best prediction seems to favor Eldense with odds of 1.95 to win, given their stronger home performance and offensive potential. However, FC Cartagena also has the potential to cause an upset, especially due to their defensive robustness, hence the interesting odds (remember, 4.00) for a victory on their part.

Regarding the number of goals, the statistics and recent trends of both teams suggest that the match could see less than 3.5 goals, with a high probability of 84.32%. A scenario where both teams fail to score is also conceivable, given the limited offensive potential demonstrated by Eldense and Cartagena.

In summary, this Eldense-FC Cartagena match promises to be full of twists and turns. Bettors will need to closely follow the match to see if the predictions hold true. Although statistically Eldense seems to have the edge, in football, nothing is guaranteed and a surprise could be on the horizon. The key will likely be in the two teams’ ability to convert their chances into goals.