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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Emelec Libertad
Tipps Emelec Libertad Liga Pro 02/06/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
My prediction would be “Emelec to win the match”. The statistics show that Emelec has a stronger record at home than Libertad does away. Emelec also has a higher offensive and defensive potential compared to Libertad.
1. Historical performance statistics: Compared to Libertad, Emelec has shown notably better performance at home. Statistics indicate that Emelec has won 40% of its last 5 home matches while Libertad has not won any of its last 5 away matches.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Emelec has displayed superior offensive and defensive potential compared to Libertad, putting them in a better position to win the match. Emelec has an offensive rate of 50% while Libertad has an offensive rate of only 29%. Moreover, Emelec has a defensive rate of 43% compared to Libertad’s 79%, meaning they are less likely to concede goals.
3. Probability of success: Based on the given odds, it has been calculated that Emelec has a 67.21% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Libertad’s 10.38% probability.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”
1. The low offensive potential of Libertad away from home: in their last 5 away matches, they have averaged only 0.8 goals per match with an offensive potential of just 29%.
2. Emelec’s strong defensive potential at home: on average, they concede only 1.2 goals per match at home, which means that even if Libertad manages to score, they are unlikely to score more than one goal.
3. The recent history of matches between the two teams: Previous scores between Emelec and Libertad show a tendency towards low-scoring matches. Adding up the last 5 home matches of Emelec and the last 5 away matches of Libertad, we have 16 goals in 10 matches, which is an average of 1.6 goals per match.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. The offensive potential of Libertad away from home is low with an average of 0.8 goals per match, indicating they could struggle to score in this match against Emelec.
2. Emelec at home has a fairly strong defensive potential, conceding only 1.2 goals on average per match, suggesting they could potentially prevent Libertad from scoring.
3. Previous away matches for Libertad have shown a weakness in terms of scoring with only 3 goals scored in their last 5 matches, making it difficult for them to score against Emelec.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw – 4.50
1. The statistics show that Libertad has a significantly high draw rate of 40% when playing away. Taking this into account, there is a considerable chance that this match will end in a draw.
2. Emelec, when playing at home, has scored and conceded an equal number of goals (5 each), indicating a relatively balanced performance and a tendency not to completely dominate their matches, which increases the likelihood of a draw.
3. The gap between the offensive and defensive potential of both teams is not very large, suggesting that the two teams could neutralize each other. Emelec with an offensive potential of 50% against a defensive potential of 79% for Libertad, this could lead to a balance on the field favoring a draw.
Bet on the exact result
“Emelec 1-0 Libertad”
1. Emelec has a strong offensive and defensive potential at home, with 50% and 43% respectively. This gives them an advantage to score and keep a clean sheet. Emelec’s past home performances also show that they have managed to win and avoid conceding goals in several matches.
2. Libertad has shown a significant weakness away from home, with no wins in 100% of cases, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded, suggesting they may struggle to score against Emelec.
3. The success probabilities of the betting markets clearly indicate a high likelihood of fewer than 3.5 goals being scored in the match (77.6%) and Emelec winning the match (67.21%). These trends align with a prediction of a 1-0 score in favor of Emelec.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Emelec has had average form at home with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. This corresponds to a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 5.
On the other hand, Libertad has not won any of their last 5 away matches, with 2 draws and 3 losses, scoring 3 goals and conceding 4.
Emelec shows an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 43% at home, while Libertad has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 79% away.
In terms of probabilities, Emelec has a 67.21% chance of winning with odds of 1.42. A draw has a probability of 22.4% with odds of 4.50, and Libertad has a 10.38% probability of winning with odds of 6.50.
Regarding goals, over 1.5 goals have a scoring probability of 79.23%, while over 2.5 goals have a probability of 51.91%. There is a 53.55% probability that both teams will score.
Based on these statistics and probabilities, a bet on Emelec to win or a draw with over 1.5 goals could be a prudent choice.
The potential number of goals
Emelec has an average performance at home with 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored and conceded 5 goals. On the other hand, Libertad has not won any away matches with 40% draws, and a record of 3 goals scored and 4 goals conceded.
Emelec has an average offense with 1.4 goals per match at home and a decent defense conceding 1.2 goals on average. Libertad, however, has a weak attack and leaky defense with 0.8 goals scored on average and 2.2 conceded in their away games.
In terms of betting, the highest probability is for Emelec to win the match with a likelihood of 67.21% and odds of 1.42. Additionally, there is a 79.23% chance for the match to end with over 1.5 goals, with odds of 1.25. The least likely scenario is a victory for Libertad with only a 10.38% probability, and odds of 6.50.
In conclusion, Emelec appears to be the favorite with better offensive and defensive efficiency. A match with over 1.5 goals seems probable. However, there is still a slight chance for Libertad to cause an upset.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
Based on all these analyses and probability studies, the match between Emelec and Libertad appears to favor the former team. Emelec’s home record and Libertad’s away struggles provide a clear advantage to Emelec. Offensively and defensively, Emelec also holds a better position. Additionally, with an average of less than 2.5 goals in recent matches, a bet on under 2.5 goals could be interesting. However, in terms of betting value, a draw could be considered, given Emelec’s relatively balanced performance at home and Libertad’s high draw rate away. Nevertheless, it is always important to remember the unpredictable nature of football and to bet responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Emelec against Libertad on 02/06/2024
1. Historical performance statistics: Compared to Libertad, Emelec has shown notably better performance at home. Statistics indicate that Emelec has won 40% of its last 5 home matches while Libertad has not won any of its last 5 away matches.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Emelec has displayed superior offensive and defensive potential compared to Libertad, putting them in a better position to win the match. Emelec has an offensive rate of 50% while Libertad has an offensive rate of only 29%. Moreover, Emelec has a defensive rate of 43% compared to Libertad’s 79%, meaning they are less likely to concede goals.
3. Probability of success: Based on the given odds, it has been calculated that Emelec has a 67.21% probability of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Libertad’s 10.38% probability.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Emelec vs Libertad match!
To not miss anything from the Emelec vs Libertad match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 02/06/2024 in the Liga Pro live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Emelec vs Libertad
Lineups Emelec
Lineups Libertad
Match Highlights Emelec vs Libertad on 02/06/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Emelec vs Libertad match on 02/06/2024 at Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Emelec and Libertad
All statistics for the match between Emelec and Libertad will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Emelec against Libertad!
Form state of Emelec in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Emelec has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Emelec has a form rating of %.
Form state of Libertad in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Libertad has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Libertad has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Emelec against Libertad!
Average goals scored by Emelec in the current season.
Goals scored by Emelec in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Emelec
Emelec has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Emelec in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Emelec
Emelec has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Libertad in the current season
Goals scored by Libertad in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Libertad
Libertad has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Libertad in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Libertad
Libertad has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Emelec and Libertad, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Emelec vs Libertad: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The low offensive potential of Libertad away from home: in their last 5 away matches, they have averaged only 0.8 goals per match with an offensive potential of just 29%.
2. Emelec’s strong defensive potential at home: on average, they concede only 1.2 goals per match at home, which means that even if Libertad manages to score, they are unlikely to score more than one goal.
3. The recent history of matches between the two teams: Previous scores between Emelec and Libertad show a tendency towards low-scoring matches. Adding up the last 5 home matches of Emelec and the last 5 away matches of Libertad, we have 16 goals in 10 matches, which is an average of 1.6 goals per match.
Forecast results from winflix for Emelec and Libertad!
The last 5 winning predictions für Emelec
The last 5 winning predictions für Libertad
How do I find the best forecast for Emelec Libertad?
Finding a forecast for the Emelec Libertad match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Emelec Libertad on 02/06/2024 in Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell are the team's past performance in the Liga Pro, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Emelec at home and Libertad away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 02/06/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Emelec and Libertad on 02/06/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Liga Pro, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell, Emelec could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Emelec and Libertad, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Emelec and the away win rate of Libertad, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 02/06/2024!
The individual performances of players from Emelec and Libertad can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 02/06/2024 at Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Emelec and Libertad, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Emelec or Libertad on 02/06/2024.
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