Tipps Empoli Napoli Serie A 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Napoli wins the match.”

1. Naples’ winning rate is significantly higher than Empoli’s based on the cited success probabilities (61.82% for Naples compared to 13.64% for Empoli). This suggests that Naples has better recent performance and more chances to win.

2. Naples has a 100% offensive potential in their away matches, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game. Additionally, their defensive potential is high at 7%, which is significantly superior to Empoli’s. Therefore, Naples has an intact ability to score and defend effectively away from home.

3. Naples’ recent away matches show a more consistent trend of scoring goals, including a crushing victory over Cagliari (4-0). On the other hand, Empoli’s home matches show a tendency to score fewer goals and concede, including draws against Fiorentina, Juventus, and Monza.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent match statistics show a trend towards low scores: Empoli has scored 4 goals in 5 home matches, and Naples has scored 7 goals in 5 away matches.
2. Recent defensive records are strong, especially Naples who have only conceded an average of 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 away matches.
3. The provided probabilities also favor a total of less than 2.5 goals, with a success probability of 84.55% for under 3.5 goals, a probability of 70.91% for over 1.5 goals, and a 60% probability that both teams won’t score.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Empoli seems to be struggling to score at home, as evidenced by their 36% offensive potential and only 4 goals in 5 matches. In three of their last five home matches, they failed to score any goals.
2. On the defensive side, Napoli has an excellent away record. In their last 5 away matches, they have conceded only 0.2 goals on average per game, with a defensive potential of 7%. This suggests they have a solid defense and could prevent Empoli from scoring.
3. The bet on ‘Both teams to not score’ has a success probability of 60%, which is higher than the probability for ‘Both teams to score’. This trend suggests that it is more likely that one of the two teams will fail to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Empoli wins the match – 2.25

Bet on the exact result

Empoli 1-2 Napoli

1. General statistics favor Napoli, with a win probability of 61.82% compared to Empoli’s 13.64%. This data instills confidence in the likely outcome of the match.

2. The recent performances of both teams show a difference in form. At home, Empoli has struggled to score in their recent matches, unlike Napoli who has shown offensive efficiency away from home with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

3. Considering defensive potential, Napoli has a better ability to limit goals conceded with an average of 0.2 goals per game compared to Empoli’s 0.6. This reinforces the idea that Napoli could win the match with a score of 2-1 against Empoli.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Empoli has won one match out of five at home. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6. On the other hand, Naples has won once and drawn three times away from home, scoring 7 goals and conceding 8. Empoli’s offense is therefore less aggressive than Naples’.

Empoli averages one goal per home match. Their offensive potential is at 36%, while their defense is at 21%. Naples scores almost three times per away match and is rarely scored against. Therefore, Naples is more effective both in attack and defense.

The predictions favor Naples with a probability of 61.82% at odds of 1.70. A draw or a win for Naples has a probability of 86.36% at odds of 1.16.

There is a 70.91% probability of more than 1.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.33. There is an 84.55% chance of less than 3.5 goals at odds of 1.30.

Both teams not scoring has a probability of 60% at odds of 1.83, which makes sense considering Empoli’s lower goal-scoring record.

Empoli’s recent home matches have seen many draws and a victory against Catanzaro. Naples has had mixed results with a win, two draws, and some losses.

In conclusion, the best prediction would be a win for Naples with less than 3.5 goals in the match, given Empoli’s previous home performance and Naples’ current form away from home.

The potential number of goals

Sure.

Empoli, at home, is not very offensive. In 5 matches, they have scored only 4 times. That’s less than a goal per match. They have also conceded 6 goals. Their performances are rather weak. Empoli’s home offense is at 36% and defense at 21%.

On the other hand, Naples is more offensive when playing away. In 5 matches, they have scored 7 times and conceded 8 goals. They score more than 2 goals per match and concede few. With an offense at 100% and a defense at 7%, Naples is strong.

The probabilities favor Naples. There is a 61.82% chance of them winning. A draw is less likely at 24.55%. Empoli has a low chance of winning, at 13.64%.

A match with over 1.5 goals has a 70.91% chance. Over 2.5 goals is less likely at 37.27%. Less than 3.5 goals is very likely at 84.55%. Overall, it is likely that the match will have less than 4.5 goals.

Finally, there is a 60% chance that both teams will not score. Please note, these probabilities should be considered for your bets.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all these analysis and statistics, one can conclude that betting on a victory for Napoli is a safe and viable option given their higher win rate, offensive potential, and solid defense, which have been clearly demonstrated in their recent and overall matches. However, it is prudent to note that football matches are unpredictable and can be influenced by various factors, such as player form, injuries, and even weather conditions.

For the Over/Under 2.5 bet, although Napoli has a strong tendency to score, the analysis indicates a higher probability of a total score below 2.5. This is due to Empoli’s poor offensive performance and Napoli’s solid defense.

As for the BTTS option, the data suggests that it is more likely that both teams will not score, although the possibility of both teams scoring should not be disregarded.

It is interesting to note that despite all the probabilities favoring Napoli, the bet that offers an interesting value bet is “Draw or Empoli to win the match.” This indicates that despite Napoli’s dominance, Empoli has the opportunity to surprise and disrupt expectations.

Finally, the exact predicted score is Empoli 1-2 Napoli, considering Napoli’s offensive potential and Empoli’s defensive potential. However, as always in sports betting, it is important to bet responsibly by carefully weighing the risks and only betting what one is willing to lose.