Tipps England Finland UEFA Nations League 10/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

England wins the match.

1. England has a stronger home record than Finland does away, having won 40% of its home matches compared to Finland’s 20% away wins.
2. England has a more solid defense at home, conceding only an average of 1 goal per match, compared to Finland’s 2.4 goals per match away. This could limit Finland’s attacking potential.
3. The odds suggest that England is favored to win the match with a probability of 50% and odds of 1.19, indicating that bookmakers believe England has a high chance of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. High offensive potential: Finland averages 1.8 goals per match away from home, while England scores an average of 1.2 goals on their home turf. This results in a total exceeding 2.5 goals per match on average.

2. Low defensive potential: England concedes an average of 1 goal per home match, and Finland concedes an average of 2.4 goals in their away games. This trend of conceding goals could lead to a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. Match history: Finland’s recent away matches have often seen more than 2.5 goals (Scotland 2 – 2 Finland, Portugal 4 – 2 Finland, Wales 4 – 1 Finland). While England’s home performances have been more modest, adding Finland to the mix could potentially increase the goal count.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. England’s offensive statistics are relatively weak, with only 1.2 goals scored on average at home in their last 5 matches. Furthermore, their recent performances show that they have struggled to score goals, with several draws or losses.

2. Finland rarely exceeds an average of 1.8 goals per match away from home, and their recent defensive performances have been mediocre, conceding an average of 2.4 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. England has a strong defensive performance, conceding only 1 goal on average per match at home. The statistics suggest that England is likely to keep a clean sheet against Finland.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Finland wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

“England 2-1 Finland”

1. England’s offensive potential is 43%, which is higher than their defensive potential of 36%. This would allow them to score more goals, so we can expect them to score at least 2 goals against Finland given their previous home performance.

2. Finland has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 86% away from home. This would allow them to score at least one goal, but they could also concede more goals due to their high defensive potential.

3. Finland has scored an average of 1.8 goals per game away from home, and England has conceded an average of 1 goal per game at home. This suggests that it is likely that Finland will score a goal during this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Okay, here is a summary analysis of this match:

England is playing at home. In their last 5 home matches, they have won twice and drawn once. They have scored 6 goals and conceded the same amount.

On the other hand, Finland is playing away. In their last 5 away matches, they have won once and drawn once. They have scored 7 goals but have also conceded 10.

England has a 43% offensive potential at home. They average 1.2 goals per match but also concede an average of 1 goal, representing a 36% defensive potential.

Finland, on the other hand, has a 64% offensive potential and an 86% defensive potential away.

The bookmakers rate the chances of victory as 50% for each team, with odds of 1.19 for England and 13.50 for Finland.

Considering this analysis, a likely outcome seems to be a close match with few goals. Both teams have shown recent offensive difficulties, with a low scoring rate.

According to the odds, bookmakers anticipate a low probability of a draw. However, given the recent form of both teams, this scenario could be underestimated.

In conclusion, this match could result in a win for England, but a draw remains a possible outcome not to be overlooked.

The potential number of goals

England at home is not shining with only a 40% win rate in the last 5 matches. The scores are low with an average of 1.2 goals per match. Defenses are holding up well with only 6 goals conceded.

Finland on the road is facing challenges. They have only a 20% win rate and a leaky defense with 10 goals conceded. Offensively, they are slightly better with 1.8 goals per match.

For this match, England has an offensive potential of 43%. Finland shows a higher offensive potential at 64%.

Defenses are under pressure. England has a defensive potential of 36% while Finland has 86%.

Bookmakers are skeptical. England and Finland both have a 50% chance of winning the match. A draw seems unlikely.

Less than 4.5 goals in the match are very probable. Neither team is expected to score.

For the prediction, considering the weakness of the English attack and the fragility of the Finnish defense, less than 3.5 goals in the match seems realistic. England could win but a surprise from Finland cannot be ruled out.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this UEFA Nations League match between England and Finland appears to promise a close duel. According to the statistics and analyses presented, England is slightly favored to win the match, mainly due to their stronger home performance. However, Finland should not be underestimated. They have shown aggressive and effective attacking play, scoring in every away match played. This could potentially lead to a high-scoring match.

Regarding betting, a victory for England, under 2.5 goals in the match, and an exact score of 2-1 in favor of England seem to be the most likely options. For bettors seeking a riskier value bet, a victory for Finland could offer a good reward given the high odds.

But ultimately, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves a level of risk. Therefore, it is recommended to bet with caution, considering all available information and managing one’s betting budget wisely. Good luck and happy betting to all!