Tipps England Greece UEFA Nations League 10/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

England wins the game.

1. The probability percentages heavily favor England. They have a 77.84% chance of winning the match, while Greece only has 5.15%. Furthermore, the probability of a draw or an England win is almost guaranteed at 94.85%, giving the team a massive advantage.

2. England’s home performance statistics are relatively good. Even with a below 50% performance of 40% wins, England has drawn in 20% of cases. Additionally, England has scored more goals at home (5) than Greece has scored away (4).

3. England’s offensive and defensive potential at home is higher. They score an average of 1.6 goals per match and concede 0.8 goals at home, with offensive and defensive potentials of 57% and 29% respectively. In comparison, Greece also scores an average of 1.6 goals away and concedes 0.4 goals per match, with offensive and defensive potentials of 57% and 14% respectively. This shows that England has a better defense at home and is capable of scoring as many goals as Greece away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of both teams is equal and relatively high at 57%. This indicates that they both have a good ability to score goals, increasing the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.
2. Based on their last 5 matches, Greece has scored 7 goals in their away matches and England has conceded 6 goals at home. The statistics showing that they have both scored and conceded on average more than one goal per match suggest that the match could have over 2.5 goals.
3. The betting odds indicate that “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 55.67%. This means that professional bettors see a potential for over 2.5 goals in this match, which is a strong argument in favor of this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. England’s defensive potential at home is quite strong at a rate of 29%, and they have shown a pretty good performance at home by keeping a clean sheet in three out of their last five matches.

2. Greece has an excellent defensive potential when playing away, with a rate of 14%. Furthermore, Greece has managed to keep a clean sheet in four out of their last five away matches.

3. Despite their respective effective attacks, the forecast indicates a higher probability (56.19%) of both teams not scoring, which is in line with the strong defensive performances mentioned earlier and the upcoming fixtures mentioned.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

England 2-1 Greece

1. England’s home performance and Greece’s away performance: Indeed, England has won 40% of their last 5 home matches and Greece has won 60% of their last 5 away matches. When including draws, England has avoided defeat in 60% of cases and Greece in 80% of cases. With both teams performing well, a close score can be expected.

2. Goal statistics: England has scored an average of 1.6 goals per home match and conceded 0.8. Greece, on the other hand, also averages 1.6 goals scored per away match and concedes 0.4 on average. These numbers suggest a high probability of both teams scoring (43.81%) and for there to be over 1.5 goals in the match (78.87%).

3. Match probabilities: The highest probability is for England to win the match with a probability of 77.84%. However, Greece’s weak defensive record suggests they may concede at least one goal, justifying a 2-1 scoreline in favor of England.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

England, playing at home, has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Meanwhile, Greece has won 60% of their away matches. England has scored an average of 1.6 goals per game compared to Greece’s 5 goals. Recent home performances for England show mixed results, such as England 2 – 0 Finland and England 0 – 1 Iceland. Greece’s recent outings include Ireland 0 – 2 Greece and Germany 2 – 1 Greece.

Statistically, England has a 77.84% chance of winning this match, while Greece has only a 5.15% chance. However, football is not always about statistics; uncertainty is part of the game. Given the offensive potential of both teams, the match could potentially see over 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.67%. However, both teams will not score with a probability of 56.19%.

So, based on this data, one could expect an England victory with over 2.5 goals in the match. However, remember that randomness and surprises are also part of football.

The potential number of goals

Let’s analyze the statistics.

England at home, wins 40% of matches, averages 1.6 goals scored and concedes 0.8. Offensive potential at 57%, defensive at 29%. The probability of winning is 77.84%. That’s really solid.

Greece away, wins 60% of matches, also averages 1.6 goals scored but concedes few goals: 0.4. Offensive potential is the same as England at 57%, but defensive is better at 14%. However, the probability of winning is very low at 5.15%.

A “draw or England wins” has a probability of 94.85%. Safer bet.

For goals, “over 1.5 goals” is highly likely at 78.87%. Less risky.

Recent performances:
England at home has been stable, with 2 draws and 1 win. Average low scores.
Greece away has been brilliant, with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. Strong in attack and defense.

Prediction: England to win or draw, with over 1.5 goals in the match. Greece could surprise, but less likely based on the statistics.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistics and analysis strongly suggest an England victory in the Nations League match against Greece. With a success rate of 77.84%, England has the advantage of playing at home, while Greece has a success rate of 5.15%. Despite impressive away performances, it seems quite difficult for Greece to overcome the home team.

However, as betting strategies indicate, football remains an unpredictable sport and statistics do not guarantee 100% success. Therefore, although England has an obvious edge, a surprise from Greece cannot be ruled out.

It is worth noting that the “Over 2.5 goals” bet appears to be a wise choice given the offensive potential of both teams. On the other hand, the probability of both teams scoring is lower, as the excellent defensive performances of both teams make this option less likely.

Lastly, despite the low probability of success, a value bet on a draw could be interesting for those looking to maximize their potential winnings, due to the high odds offered.

Whichever bet you choose, make sure to gamble responsibly and remember that entertainment should always be the primary goal.