Tipps England Switzerland Euro 2024 06/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or England wins the match.

1. The probability of success for the prediction “Draw or England wins the match” is 74.47%, which is higher than all other possible outcomes.

2. The statistics from England’s recent home matches show that they have a good record of not losing, with two wins and two draws in their last five games.

3. In comparison, although Switzerland has had a decent performance away from home, they have only won two of their last five matches, giving England a chance to win or draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Analysis of England’s home performance: In their last 5 matches, England scored 7 goals and conceded 9, averaging 1.6 goals per match. On average, England scores 0.8 goals and concedes 0.6 goals at home, indicating a weak offensive and defensive potential.

2. Analysis of Switzerland’s away performance: In their last 5 matches, Switzerland scored 5 goals and conceded 6, averaging 1.1 goals per match. Furthermore, on average, Switzerland scores 1.6 goals and concedes 0.8 goals away, showing relatively limited offensive and defensive effectiveness.

3. Match goal prediction: Considering the previous statistics and suggested odds, the match is more likely to have less than 2.5 goals. Both teams demonstrate a low scoring and conceding rate, reinforcing the probability of a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent defensive performances of both teams: England has conceded a relatively low number of goals at home (0.6 goals per game on average) and Switzerland concedes an average of 0.8 goals away from home, indicating that both teams have a good defensive organization.

2. The score in England’s last 5 home matches shows a recurring trend towards low-scoring games. Among these matches, three resulted in a score of not more than 1 goal for either team.

3. The rather low offensive potential of England at home (29%) and Switzerland away (57%) do not guarantee a high probability for both teams to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Switzerland wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

England 1-1 Switzerland

1. The recent performances of both teams show potential for a draw. England has drawn in 20% of its last 5 home matches, and Switzerland has drawn in 40% of its last 5 away matches.
2. England and Switzerland have shown a trend of scoring and conceding a limited number of goals in their recent matches. England has scored and conceded on average 0.8 and 0.6 goals per match respectively at home, and Switzerland 1.6 and 0.8 away, suggesting potential for a low-scoring game, like 1-1.
3. Looking at the prediction success rate, a draw has a probability of 28.19%. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is 44.15%, further supporting the idea of a possible 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

England has a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate in home matches, yet the 9 goals conceded remain problematic despite scoring 7. On the other hand, Switzerland has shown a stronger performance away from home, with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate. They have scored 5 goals, conceding 6.

The average goals per match show Switzerland’s offensive strength, scoring an average of 1.6 goals compared to England’s 0.8. Defensively, Switzerland also concedes fewer goals, averaging 0.8 against England’s 0.6.

In terms of probabilities, England is favored with a 46.28% chance of winning, but a draw remains a quite probable outcome at 28.19%. Switzerland, despite their good away performance, is the least favored with a 25.53% chance of winning.

Combining scenarios, the probability of the match ending in a draw or an England win is higher at 74.47%, compared to 53.72% for a draw or a Switzerland win.

Regarding goals, there is a 63.83% probability of there being over 1.5 goals in the match, 44.68% for over 2.5 goals, but only 17.02% for over 3.5 goals.

Also, let’s focus on recent home matches, where England had mixed results with draws against Slovakia and Slovenia, and a defeat against Iceland. Similarly, Switzerland had decent performances away with draws against Scotland and Denmark, and victories against Ireland and Hungary.

In conclusion, the match slightly leans towards England, but do not underestimate Switzerland, especially given their strong away record.

The potential number of goals

England at home has a 40% win rate. They have scored 7 goals in 5 matches, averaging 0.8 goals per match. However, they have conceded 9 goals. Their offensive and defensive potential are 29% and 21% respectively.

Switzerland, playing away, also has a 40% win rate. With 5 goals scored in 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Switzerland has conceded 6 goals, less than England. Their offensive potential is 57% and defensive potential is 29%.

In terms of prediction, England has a 46.28% chance of winning, followed by a draw at 28.19%. Switzerland has slimmer chances at 25.53%.

England’s recent home matches show resilience, with two draws and one win. Switzerland away has recorded two wins and one draw.

Here, over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 63.83% is likely, as both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities. Under 3.5 goals in the match with an 82.98% chance is also likely given the typical number of goals scored.

Finally, both teams to score is estimated at 44.15%, while both teams not to score is at 55.85%.

In conclusion, it might be wise to bet on a match with under 3.5 goals, with a possible England win or draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Overall, the England vs. Switzerland match appears to promise an exciting encounter for bettors. While England holds a slight advantage with a 46.28% probability of winning, Switzerland should not be overlooked due to their superior offensive and defensive potential compared to England.

The safest bet would be to wager on an England win or a draw, especially considering the historical performance of both teams. However, betting on “Switzerland to win the match” could represent an interesting value bet, with the risk being rewarded by a potentially higher payout.

In terms of goals, a low-scoring match is expected, with a notable prediction of under 3.5 goals. It seems unlikely that both teams will score, given their recent defensive performances.

The most common forecast for the exact score appears to be 1-1. This outcome could suit both teams well, considering their tendency to score and concede a limited number of goals.

In conclusion, the safest and potentially most profitable bet based on the analysis would be to wager on “under 3.5 goals” and “England to win or draw”. However, as always in sports betting, nothing is ever guaranteed, and it is important to bet responsibly.