Tipps Envigado Deportivo Pasto Primera A 09/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the information provided, Envigado FC has a better home record with a 60% win rate and a 40% draw rate. On the other hand, Deportivo Pasto has a less impressive away record with a 20% win rate and a 40% draw rate. However, past performances do not guarantee future results, and considering the lack of clear probabilities for the three possible outcomes (Envigado FC win, draw, Deportivo Pasto win), it is difficult to establish a precise prediction. Strictly relying on past performances and success rates, the most likely prediction would be “Envigado FC to win the match” or “draw”. Nevertheless, I would advise you to take into account other factors that can influence the outcome of a football match.

1. Past Performance Statistics: Envigado FC has shown strong home performance with a 60% win rate. Deportivo Pasto, on the other hand, has a less impressive away record, with only a 20% win rate.

2. Offensive and Defensive Strength: Deportivo Pasto has a 43% offensive potential and a 43% defensive strength, while Envigado FC has lower offensive potential but better defensive strength. This could mean that Envigado FC is more likely to effectively handle the opposing team’s attacks.

3. Head-to-Head History: The recent results of both teams show that Envigado FC has secured several consecutive victories at home, while Deportivo Pasto doesn’t seem to perform well away. This could give a psychological advantage to the home team in the upcoming match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of Envigado FC at home and Deportivo Pasto away show a low number of goals. Envigado FC has scored 7 and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game. Deportivo Pasto has scored and conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1 goal per game. The limited attacking potential of both teams (21% for Envigado FC at home and 43% for Deportivo Pasto away) reinforces this probability.

2. Based on Deportivo Pasto’s last 5 away matches, it appears that all games have produced fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting that the team adopts a defensive strategy when playing away. Furthermore, the offensive record is weak with an average of 1.2 goals per game, reducing the chances of there being more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Looking at Envigado FC’s last 5 home matches, it can be seen that 4 out of 5 matches produced fewer than 2.5 goals. Additionally, Envigado FC has only won two of these five matches by scoring an average of only 2 goals at home, reinforcing the probability of there being fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Envigado FC’s offensive potential at home is low, at only 21%. This means they struggle to score when playing at home.
2. Deportivo Pasto has an offensive potential of 43% when they play away. Furthermore, they have only won once in their last five away matches, indicating they also struggle to score.
3. Recent match statistics also suggest a low number of goals. For Envigado FC, three out of their last five home matches had less than 1.5 goals. For Deportivo Pasto, two out of their last five away matches had less than 1.5 goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Envigado FC 1-1 Deportivo Pasto

1. Recent statistics: Recent statistics of both teams show a trend towards a draw, with Envigado FC having drawn in 40% of its home matches and Deportivo Pasto also drawing in 40% of its away matches. This suggests that a draw is a significant possibility.

2. Defensive and offensive performances: The defensive and offensive performances of each team in their last 5 matches are fairly balanced. Envigado FC has scored 0.6 goals per home match and conceded 1.6 goals per match, while Deportivo Pasto has scored and conceded 1.2 goals per away match, which suggests a 1-1 scoreline could be a realistic prediction.

3. Recent results: Looking at the recent results of each team, Deportivo Pasto has scored at least one goal in each of its away matches, while Envigado FC has managed to score in the majority of their home matches. This indicates that it is likely that both teams will score a goal each, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

At the stadium, Envigado FC has been in good form in their last 5 matches. They have won 60%, which is 3 victories, and drawn in 40% of cases, which is 2 draws. The team has scored 7 goals and conceded the same.

On the road, Deportivo Pasto has a lower win rate: only 20% victory, which is 1 win out of 5 matches. 40% of matches have been draws, which is 2 out of 5. The goals scored and conceded are balanced, with 5 of each.

In terms of attack, Envigado FC has an offensive efficiency of 21% with an average of 0.6 goals per match. In defense, Envigado FC concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match, resulting in a defensive success rate of 57%.

Deportivo Pasto also has a balance between offense and defense, with 1.2 goals scored and conceded per match. The offensive and defensive potential is at 43%.

Unfortunately, no success probabilities have been provided for the match events, so it is challenging to make an exact prediction. However, based on the data, fewer than 3.5 goals could be scored in the match, which has a 100% success probability.

Looking back at Envigado FC’s previous home matches, they lost against Fortaleza FC and Santa Fe Bogota but defeated La Equidad Bogota, Rionegro, and Real Cartagena.

Deportivo Pasto has only recorded one victory in their last 5 away matches, against Deportivo Cali. They were held to draws by Jaguares de Cordoba and lost to Deportes Tolima and Santa Fe Bogota.

In conclusion, a competitive match can be anticipated, with a slight home advantage for Envigado FC.

The potential number of goals

Envigado FC has shown a fairly balanced performance at home, with 60% wins and 40% draws. However, they have scored 7 goals and conceded the same amount. A defensive and offensive balance that cancels out.

Deportivo Pasto has been less successful away from home, with only 20% wins. They have also scored 5 goals and conceded the same. So, there is balance here too.

On average, Envigado FC has a 0.6 goal per match average and concedes 1.6 goals, giving them a 21% offensive potential and a 57% defensive potential.

Deportivo Pasto, on the other hand, scores and concedes 1.2 goals per match. Both their offensive and defensive potentials are at 43%.

With no defined probabilities of victory for this match, it is worth noting that the probability of both teams scoring is zero, while the probability of both teams not scoring is 100%.

The recent home matches of Envigado FC show a good performance, while those of Deportivo Pasto away from home are more mixed.

Analyzing these figures, one can expect a tense match with a number of goals lower than 3.5, possibly with no goals scored by either team.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, past statistics and recent performances of both teams indicate that Envigado FC has a slight advantage in this match, especially due to their better home performance. However, the figures also suggest that it is likely that fewer than 2.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a significant possibility that neither team will manage to score. Therefore, bettors may find value in betting on under 2.5 goals, as well as on the draw or Envigado FC’s win. However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves an element of chance. Despite all statistical analysis, it is always advisable to bet cautiously and never wager more than you can afford to lose.