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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Envigado Independiente Medellin
Tipps Envigado Independiente Medellin Primera A 29/04/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Independiente Medellin wins the match
1. Recent statistics favor Independiente Medellin. Indeed, in their last 5 away games, they won 40% of the time and drew 40% of the time, while Envigado FC only won 20% of their home games.
2. Independiente Medellin has a higher offensive and defensive potential than Envigado FC. On average, Independiente Medellin scores 2.4 goals per game and concedes 1.6 goals, with an offensive potential of 86% and defensive potential of 57%, compared to Envigado FC who scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.6 goals per game with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 57%.
3. The odds given by bookmakers also favor Independiente Medellin with a success probability of 52.88%, compared to 23.56% for Envigado FC, thus reinforcing the initial prediction of Independiente Medellin’s victory.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Over 2.5 goals in the match.
1. Recent performance of both teams in terms of goals scored and conceded, with Envigado FC scoring 5 goals and conceding 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Independiente Medellin scored 9 goals and conceded 11 goals in their last 5 away matches. This means that on average, there are more than 2.5 goals per match for both Envigado FC and Independiente Medellin.
2. Average goal statistics per match: at home, Envigado FC scores an average of 1 goal and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match, and away, Independiente Medellin scores an average of 2.4 goals and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match. These statistics suggest that on average, there are more than 2.5 goals scored in matches involving these two teams.
3. Both teams show some level of defensive weakness, as indicated by their defensive potential: 57% for Envigado FC at home and 57% for Independiente Medellin away. This defensive vulnerability on both sides could lead to a match with more than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Envigado FC, in their home matches, have shown a lack of offensive power by scoring only 5 goals in their last 5 matches, and also have a relatively vulnerable defense with 6 goals conceded.
2. Independiente Medellin, in their away matches, score a lot (9 goals in the last 5 matches), but their defense is also porous (11 goals conceded in these last 5 matches). This indicates an offensive playing style that can challenge the opposing team, thereby reducing the chances of both teams scoring.
3. The overall statistics also suggest that “Both teams to score – No” has a success probability of 59.69%, which is higher than the probability of “Both teams to score” (40.31%).
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Over 2.5 goals in the match
1. Independiente Medellin’s offensive potential in their last 5 away matches is 86%, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per game. This indicates a strong tendency to score.
2. At home, Envigado FC has a defensive potential of 57%, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game – which, combined with Independiente’s offense, creates an increased likelihood of goals.
3. Looking at Envigado FC’s last 5 home matches and Independiente Medellin’s last 5 away matches, all games have had more than 2.5 goals (except for one game for Envigado FC). This is a strong trend that supports the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Bet on the exact result
Envigado FC 1-2 Independiente Medellin
1. Based on past performances, Independiente Medellin’s offensive potential away from home is significantly higher than that of Envigado FC at home, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match compared to 1 for Envigado FC. This suggests a greater likelihood that Independiente Medellin will score at least two goals.
2. Historical statistics show that Independiente Medellin is generally more successful away from home than Envigado FC at home, with a win percentage of 40% compared to 20% for Envigado FC. This supports the idea of a victory for Independiente Medellin.
3. Despite their offensive advantage, Independiente Medellin has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match in their away games. Additionally, Envigado FC has scored at least one goal in three of their last five home matches, suggesting they have a reasonable chance of scoring at least one goal.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Envigado FC has narrowly won at home with only a 20% victory rate. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 6. Independiente Medellin performs better away from home with a 40% victory rate. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 11.
Per game, Envigado FC averages 1 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded. Their offensive potential is low at 36%, but their defense is solid at 57%. Independiente Medellin is more offensive, averaging 2.4 goals per game. They also concede 1.6 goals per game. Their offensive potential stands at 86%.
The odds favor Independiente Medellin to win with a 52.88% probability and odds of 1.85. There is a 67.54% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match with odds at 1.35. It’s less likely to have over 2.5 goals in the match with a probability of 41.88% and odds of 2.05. There is approximately a 40.31% probability of both teams scoring with odds at 1.85.
Envigado FC has lost two of their last five home matches, while Independiente Medellin has won two of their last five away matches.
A win for Independiente Medellin seems more probable in this match.
The potential number of goals
Envigado FC has had a mixed performance at home, with a win in 20% of cases and a draw in 40% of cases over the last 5 matches. The club has scored 5 goals and conceded 6.
On the other hand, Independiente Medellin has performed better away, with 40% wins and 40% draws in the previous 5 matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 11.
On average, Envigado FC scores 1 goal per home match and concedes 1.6, while Independiente Medellin scores 2.4 goals per away match and concedes 1.6.
Based on these statistics, Independiente Medellin is more likely to win the match, with a success probability of 52.88%, compared to only 23.56% for Envigado FC.
In terms of goals, there is a 67.54% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, according to the odds. Even more striking, there is a 95.29% chance that the match will have less than 4.5 goals.
Regarding both teams to score, there is a 40.31% chance that both teams will score.
Therefore, it is interesting to bet on a victory for Independiente Medellin and a match with less than 4.5 goals.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the analysis of this football forecast suggests a likely victory for Independiente Medellin over Envigado FC in this Primera A match. Recent statistics, team form, and bookmakers’ odds strongly support this prediction, with a win probability of 52.88% for Independiente Medellin.
Regarding the number of goals, the analysis indicates a high probability of a total goal count in the match exceeding 2.5. This prediction is bolstered by Independiente Medellin’s strong attacking potential, especially away, compared to the defensive weakness observed in Envigado FC.
However, in terms of the “Both teams to score” market, the indicators suggest that both teams are unlikely to score in this encounter, with a higher probability indicated for “No” at 59.69%.
Finally, based on past performances and available odds, a 2-1 victory for Independiente Medellin appears to be an intriguing bet for the exact match outcome.
Overall, these analyses and suggested bets aim to provide evidence-based data for bettors to make informed choices. However, it is crucial to remember that sports betting carries risks and past performances do not guarantee future results.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Envigado against Independiente Medellin on 29/04/2024
1. Recent statistics favor Independiente Medellin. Indeed, in their last 5 away games, they won 40% of the time and drew 40% of the time, while Envigado FC only won 20% of their home games.
2. Independiente Medellin has a higher offensive and defensive potential than Envigado FC. On average, Independiente Medellin scores 2.4 goals per game and concedes 1.6 goals, with an offensive potential of 86% and defensive potential of 57%, compared to Envigado FC who scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.6 goals per game with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 57%.
3. The odds given by bookmakers also favor Independiente Medellin with a success probability of 52.88%, compared to 23.56% for Envigado FC, thus reinforcing the initial prediction of Independiente Medellin’s victory.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Envigado vs Independiente Medellin match!
To not miss anything from the Envigado vs Independiente Medellin match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 29/04/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Envigado vs Independiente Medellin
Lineups Envigado
Lineups Independiente Medellin
Match Highlights Envigado vs Independiente Medellin on 29/04/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Envigado vs Independiente Medellin match on 29/04/2024 at Estadio Metropolitano de Itagüí stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Envigado and Independiente Medellin
All statistics for the match between Envigado and Independiente Medellin will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Envigado against Independiente Medellin!
Form state of Envigado in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Envigado has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Envigado has a form rating of %.
Form state of Independiente Medellin in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Independiente Medellin has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Independiente Medellin has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Envigado against Independiente Medellin!
Average goals scored by Envigado in the current season.
Goals scored by Envigado in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Envigado
Envigado has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Envigado in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Envigado
Envigado has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the current season
Goals scored by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Independiente Medellin in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Envigado and Independiente Medellin, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Envigado vs Independiente Medellin: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Recent performance of both teams in terms of goals scored and conceded, with Envigado FC scoring 5 goals and conceding 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Independiente Medellin scored 9 goals and conceded 11 goals in their last 5 away matches. This means that on average, there are more than 2.5 goals per match for both Envigado FC and Independiente Medellin.
2. Average goal statistics per match: at home, Envigado FC scores an average of 1 goal and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match, and away, Independiente Medellin scores an average of 2.4 goals and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match. These statistics suggest that on average, there are more than 2.5 goals scored in matches involving these two teams.
3. Both teams show some level of defensive weakness, as indicated by their defensive potential: 57% for Envigado FC at home and 57% for Independiente Medellin away. This defensive vulnerability on both sides could lead to a match with more than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Envigado and Independiente Medellin!
The last 5 winning predictions für Envigado
The last 5 winning predictions für Independiente Medellin
How do I find the best forecast for Envigado Independiente Medellin?
Finding a forecast for the Envigado Independiente Medellin match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Envigado Independiente Medellin on 29/04/2024 in Estadio Metropolitano de Itagüí are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Envigado at home and Independiente Medellin away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 29/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Envigado and Independiente Medellin on 29/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Metropolitano de Itagüí, Envigado could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Envigado and Independiente Medellin, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Envigado and the away win rate of Independiente Medellin, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 29/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Envigado and Independiente Medellin can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 29/04/2024 at Estadio Metropolitano de Itagüí.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Envigado and Independiente Medellin, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Envigado or Independiente Medellin on 29/04/2024.
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