Tipps Envigado La Equidad Primera A 16/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics, the forecast for this match would be “Draw or Envigado FC wins the match”. Envigado FC seems to have a slight edge playing at home as they have managed to neutralize their opponents in 60% of the cases in their recent home matches. However, caution is advised as La Equidad Bogota could cause an upset.

1. Envigado FC’s home performance history: The team has shown a remarkable ability to neutralize their opponents in home matches. They have managed to win or draw in 80% of cases in their last 5 home games.

2. La Equidad Bogota’s unfavorable away record: Statistics show that this team struggles to win away from home. In their last 5 away matches, they have only won in 40% of cases, without any draws, and have conceded more goals (6) than they have scored (6).

3. Envigado FC’s defensive superiority: Envigado FC has a 57% defensive potential at home. This strong defensive resistance could help the team counter La Equidad Bogota’s attack, which has shown a weaker offensive potential of 21% in their away matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The goals scored and conceded statistics by both teams in their last 5 matches are very low, whether at home or away. In particular, Envigado FC averages 0.8 goals per home match while La Equidad Bogota averages 0.6 goals per away match.

2. Looking at Envigado FC’s last five home matches, only one game saw more than 2.5 goals. Similarly, in La Equidad Bogota’s last five away matches, only one game had a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. Their defensive level is higher than their offensive potential. Envigado FC has a 57% defensive potential at home while La Equidad Bogota has an 86% defensive potential away, which suggests a low number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The low offensive potential of both teams: Envigado FC has an average of 0.8 goals per match at home, while La Equidad Bogota only scores 0.6 goals on average in their away games. This indicates a low probability for each team to score in the match.

2. The trend of recent performances of Envigado FC at home and La Equidad Bogota away: In their respective last 5 matches, Envigado FC failed to score in 40% of the cases, and La Equidad Bogota did not score in 60% of the cases. This reinforces the hypothesis that one or both teams may not score in the match.

3. Previous encounters between the two teams have not been particularly prolific in terms of goals, with an average remaining below 2.5 goals per match. This suggests that the clashes between these two teams are generally low-scoring, with a possibility that one of them may fail to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Envigado FC 1-1 La Equidad Bogota

1. The statistics show that Envigado FC draws in 60% of home matches. Additionally, they have an average of 0.8 goals per match, which is relatively close to the hypothetical 1 goal in the forecast.

2. La Equidad Bogota, although winning in 40% of away matches, has a low average of goals scored per match (0.6 goals), which is also close to the 1 goal in the forecast. Their defensive potential is quite strong (86%), meaning it is more likely for them to maintain a low score.

3. Both teams have consistently shown a tendency to have fewer than 2.5 goals in their matches. This aligns with the prediction of 2 total goals (1-1), strengthening the forecast. Furthermore, the forecast is in line with the fact that both teams don’t often score more than 1.5 goals per match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Envigado FC struggles at home with only a 20% win rate and 4 goals scored in 5 matches. They have difficulty keeping a clean sheet, conceding a total of 5 goals. Their draw tendency (60%) could be significant.

On the other hand, La Equidad Bogota has a respectable offensive performance away from home with 6 goals scored, but their defense is lacking, conceding an equal number of goals.

Potential analysis reveals that Envigado has offensive and defensive capabilities of 29% and 57% respectively, while La Equidad struggles with an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive capability of 86%.

Previous matches suggest a clear trend: Less than 3.5 goals and less than 4.5 goals have a 100% probability of success.

Moreover, both teams not scoring in the match has a success probability of 100%. This indicates low-scoring encounters.

Based on past performances, this match could result in a low number of goals. However, without clear result probabilities, it remains difficult to predict a winner.

The potential number of goals

Envigado FC, in their last 5 home matches, has a limited win rate of only 20%. The team often settles for a draw, in 60% of the cases. They have scored 4 goals but also conceded 5 goals. Their offensive potential is 29% and defensive potential is 57%.

On the other hand, La Equidad Bogota wins more often away, in 40% of the cases. The team has scored and conceded 6 goals each. Their offensive potential is 21% with an impressive defensive potential of 86%.

Unfortunately, there seems to be a scarcity of goals in the matches involving these two teams. According to the data, the probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is 0%. However, the prediction is certain that there will be fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals, as it has a success rate probability of 100%.

Furthermore, both teams are unlikely to score during the match, indicating a low offensive potential from both sides.

Upon examining the recent home matches of Envigado FC and away matches of La Equidad Bogota, it is clear that both teams struggle to maintain a stable defense. The scores of their previous matches are usually quite close and victories are narrowly secured.

In conclusion, a match between these two teams could very well end in a tight result with few goals scored. The prediction will be more accurate when more data is available.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the relatively low offensive potential of both teams, unfavorable statistics in terms of goals conceded, and past performances, the suggested bets would be as follows: ‘Draw or Envigado FC to win the match’, ‘Under 2.5’, and ‘Both teams to score: No’. The option of ‘Under 2.5 goals in the match’ also offers an interesting value bet. The exact predicted score would be ‘Envigado FC 1-1 La Equidad Bogota’.

However, it is important to remember that despite all these analyses and predictions, betting on football remains a game of chance. Even with the most advanced statistical tools, football matches are still unpredictable and anything can happen during the game. Therefore, it is crucial to bet responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose.