Tipps Envigado Santa Fe Primera A 20/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Envigado FC or draw.

1. Home Performance: Envigado FC has an excellent home performance with 60% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have also scored 7 goals against 9 conceded, showing an ability to score goals at home.

2. Away Performance of Santa Fe Bogota: Unlike Envigado FC, Santa Fe’s away performance is weaker with only 40% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 matches. They have also scored fewer goals (4) and conceded the same number of goals (5) as Envigado FC has scored at home.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Envigado FC also has a better potential to score goals with 71% offensive strength at home compared to Santa Fe Bogota’s 57% offensive strength away. Defensively, both teams stand at 29%, giving Envigado FC an advantage in case of a draw or a win at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals

1. Match history: At home, Envigado FC has averaged 2 goals per match in their last 5, while Santa Fe Bogota has averaged 1.6 goals per match away in their last 5 matches. This gives us a combined average of 3.6 goals per match, which is higher than the 2.5 goals criteria required.

2. Recent performances: Both teams have shown an ability to score and concede goals. Envigado FC has scored 7 goals and conceded 9 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Santa Fe Bogota has scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals away in their last 5 matches. This suggests that both teams are offensive and likely to score.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Envigado FC’s offensive potential at home and Santa Fe Bogota’s away is 71% and 57%, respectively, while their defensive potential is 29% for both. This trend of scoring coupled with weaker defense suggests that it is likely for the match to end with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Envigado FC has shown a strong defensive performance in their recent home matches, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average. Coupled with Santa Fe Bogota’s relatively weak offensive potential in their away matches, where they have only scored an average of 1.6 goals per game, there is a high probability that Santa Fe Bogota will not score.

2. Santa Fe Bogota has a solid defensive performance in their recent away matches, conceding only 0.8 goals per game on average. Additionally, Envigado FC has shown relatively average offensive potential in their recent home matches. These factors increase the likelihood that Envigado FC will not score in this match.

3. The previously calculated probabilities indicate a 100% chance that both teams will not score. This demonstrates the statistical conviction that at least one of the teams will not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

“Envigado FC 2-1 Santa Fe Bogota”

1. Over the last 5 home matches, Envigado FC has been in excellent form winning 60% of the matches. They have also scored 7 goals and conceded 9, indicating their ability to score more goals than their opponents, in line with the predicted score of 2-1.

2. Looking at Santa Fe Bogota’s away performance over their last 5 matches, they have won 40% of the matches and scored 4 goals while conceding 5 goals. These numbers support a potential result of 2-1 in favor of Envigado FC.

3. The average goals scored per match for Envigado FC and Santa Fe Bogota are 2 and 1.6 respectively, which aligns closely with the predicted score of 2-1. Additionally, at home, Envigado FC concedes an average of 0.8 goals per match, and away, Santa Fe Bogota scores an average of 1.6 goals per match, coinciding with the predicted score of 2-1 for Envigado FC.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Envigado FC shows good form at home, winning 60% of their matches and never losing. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9, indicating room for improvement in defense.

On the other hand, Santa Fe Bogota only wins 40% of their away matches. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5, which could suggest a somewhat lackluster performance.

Envigado FC at home displays a notable offensive strength (71%), scoring 2 goals per match. Santa Fe Bogota away is slightly less prolific in attack (57%), averaging 1.6 goals scored.

In terms of defense, both teams show similar performances (29%), conceding less than a goal per match.

Envigado FC’s recent matches showcase a strong home team, with convincing victories against La Equidad Bogota, Rionegro, and Real Cartagena.

On the other hand, Santa Fe Bogota faces more difficulties away from home. However, they have managed to secure victories against Deportes Tolima and La Equidad Bogota.

Unfortunately, there are currently no available odds to predict the outcome of this match.

Based on the statistics, one can expect a match with fewer than 3.5 goals (100% probability) and where only one team will score (100% probability). This suggests a defensive match.

The potential number of goals

Envigado FC, in their last 5 home matches, have shown an interesting offensive strength with 7 goals scored, despite a shaky defense, conceding 9 goals. The momentum is positive with a 60% win rate and 40% draws.

Santa Fe Bogota, on the other hand, has a more mixed record away from home. With 4 goals scored and 5 goals conceded, the team wins 40% of the time and draws 20%.

Breaking it down per match, Envigado FC, at home, has an offensive potential of 71% and defensive potential of 29%. Santa Fe Bogota has an offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 29% away.

Recent encounters have shown Envigado FC’s dominance at home, such as the 2-1 victories against La Equidad Bogota and 3-0 against Rionegro. Santa Fe Bogota has had close scores in away matches.

With a 100% probability for under 3.5 and 4.5 goals in this match, and both teams not scoring, we are likely to see a tight game with few goals.

In conclusion, Envigado FC seems to have the advantage with a better home momentum and a more effective attack. My prediction leans towards a victory for Envigado FC in a match with under 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of the recent performances of both teams, it is likely that the match will be marked by a victory for Envigado FC. With an excellent home performance and superior offensive potential, Envigado FC appears well positioned to come out on top. Furthermore, statistics indicate that the match is unlikely to have over 3.5 goals. It is also probable that only one of the two teams will score during the match. Taking all these factors into account, the most sensible bet seems to be a win for Envigado FC with under 3.5 goals in the match.