Tipps Espanyol Mallorca La Liga 05/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Majorca wins the match.

1. Mallorca has shown an outstanding performance away from home: the team has won 80% of their recent matches played on the road. This positive trend could continue in the match against Espanyol Barcelona.

2. In terms of defense, Mallorca has a significant advantage: the team concedes on average only 0.8 goals per away match, compared to Espanyol Barcelona which concedes 2 goals per home match. This indicates a stronger defense from Mallorca.

3. The betting odds support Mallorca’s victory: although the odds are quite close, Mallorca’s win is slightly more likely (35.56%) than Espanyol Barcelona’s win (28.15%). Furthermore, there is a high probability that the match ends in a draw or with Mallorca winning (71.85%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Statistically, both teams have rather low average goals per match, whether at home for Espanyol Barcelona (1.4 goals per match) or away for Mallorca (1.4 goals per match). These statistics suggest that they do not have a strong offensive potential.

2. Mallorca’s defensive performance away from home is solid; on average, they concede only 0.8 goals per match. This makes the probability of a match with over 2.5 goals low.

3. The history of match results between these two teams shows that their matches are generally low-scoring. For example, in the last five matches, four have ended with less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Since Espanyol Barcelona has a higher average of goals conceded at home than the average of goals scored by Mallorca away, there is a significant chance that at least one of the teams will not score.

2. The probabilities of a draw or a win for one team are higher than those of a win for the other, which seems to indicate a higher chance of seeing a low-scoring match and therefore a scenario where both teams do not score.

3. Statistics show a 60% success probability for “both teams to not score,” which is a fairly strong indication to support this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Espanyol Barcelona 1-1 Mallorca

1. Both teams have shown a similar performance in terms of goals scored and conceded recently, averaging around 1.4 goals per match. This indicates a potential equality in offensive and defensive skills.

2. The draw has the highest probability of success among the three possible outcomes (win, lose, draw), at 36.3%. This means that statistics suggest the match could very well end in a draw.

3. By analyzing the scores of Espanyol Barcelona’s recent home matches and Majorca’s away matches, most results were very close (within one goal difference or a draw). This suggests that both teams are competitive and produce tight match results, making a 1-1 scoreline plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Espanyol Barcelona struggles at home with a 40% win rate and just as many draws. They’ve scored 6 goals and conceded the same amount. Offensive efficiency at 50%, defensive solidity at 71%. The team’s current form is decent.

On the other hand, Mallorca is formidable away from home with an 80% win rate. They’ve scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals. Offensive efficiency at 50%, impenetrable defense at 29%. The team is in excellent form.

Espanyol seems prone to errors with a 28.15% chance of winning, while Mallorca is more reliable with a 35.56% chance. A draw is at 36.3%.

There’s a 55.56% chance of more than 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams have a low likelihood of scoring simultaneously, only 40%.

Espanyol’s recent matches have been unstable, while Mallorca has been consistent.

In summary: Mallorca dominates away from home, Espanyol’s defense fluctuates. It’s a balanced match, but Mallorca has a slight edge. There’s a low probability of a high number of goals being scored. Both teams may not score. Prediction: Mallorca to win or a draw.

The potential number of goals

Espanyol Barcelona has won 40% of their last home matches, with an equal number of draws. They have scored 6 goals and conceded the same amount. Their offensive capability stands at 50% and defensive capability at 71%.

Majorca shines away, with an 80% win rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded the same amount. Their offensive potential is at 50% but their defensive capability rises to 79%.

The match seems tight. Both teams score in their matches, with an average of 1.4 goals. This suggests a 55.56% probability of a total of over 1.5 goals in the match.

In terms of victory, Majorca seems more likely to win with a 35.56% probability, compared to 28.15% for Espanyol Barcelona. This translates to odds of 2.80 and 2.90 respectively.

However, there is a strong 64.44% probability that the match will be a draw or that Espanyol Barcelona will win. This option has odds of 1.45.

Furthermore, the probability that both teams do not score is quite high at 60%. This option has odds of 1.66.

It is worth noting that the likely outcome is under 3.5 goals in the match given the very high probability of 97.04% and an interesting odds of 1.15.

Overall, the stats indicate a fairly balanced match, but with a slight advantage for Majorca.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this La Liga match between Espanyol Barcelona and Mallorca promises to be closely contested given the recent performances of both teams. Mallorca has been in exceptional form away from home with a win rate of 80% in their recent matches, positioning them as favorites to win this match. Their solid defense makes the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals improbable, and it is likely that both teams will not score simultaneously. However, the concept of value betting means that betting on over 2.5 goals could still be an interesting option, given the current odds offered.

Additionally, regarding the exact score, a 1-1 result seems plausible considering the close scores of Espanyol Barcelona’s recent home matches and Mallorca’s away matches. However, it is also important to note that both teams have an average performance of around 1.4 goals per match, which could also suggest a higher final score.

Overall, with Mallorca in better form as the favorite, a win or draw for Mallorca could be the safest prediction for this match. However, as with all bets, it is important to consider the possibility of the unexpected and keep in mind that sports betting always entails a certain level of risk.