Tipps Espanyol Oviedo Segunda División 23/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Espanyol Barcelona wins the match.

1. Probability of victory: According to probability calculations, Espanyol Barcelona has a win probability of 46.45%, which is higher than Oviedo’s probability (20.22%) or a draw (33.33%).

2. Home performance: Espanyol Barcelona has won 40% of their home matches in the last five games, which is equivalent to Oviedo’s away win rate. However, Espanyol Barcelona has also shown a strong defense by conceding only 0.2 goals per home game, strengthening their chances of victory.

3. Head-to-head history: Based on recent match history, Espanyol Barcelona managed to defeat Oviedo in a previous home encounter (Espanyol Barcelona 2 – 1 Oviedo), indicating the possibility of another victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Previously, Espanyol Barcelona had an average of 0.8 goals per home match and Oviedo had an average of 1.8 goals per away match. This totals an average of 2.6 goals per match, which is very close to the predicted 2.5 goals limit.

2. The latest match statistics for Espanyol Barcelona at home and Oviedo away show that the majority of matches resulted in a total of fewer than 3 goals, often even fewer than 2 goals.

3. Current odds indicate a strong likelihood of there being fewer than 2.5 goals in the match, with odds of 1.55, showing that bookmakers also predict a low number of goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Espanyol Barcelona at home in their last 5 matches, shows a defensive potential of 7%, indicating that they concede very few goals, favoring the bet “Both teams to score: No”.
2. Away in their last 5 matches, Oviedo averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 0.8 goals per match. However, the previous match between the two teams (Espanyol Barcelona 2 – 1 Oviedo) saw only one team score, thus favoring the bet “Both teams to score: No”.
3. The success probability for “Both teams to score: No” is 51.91%, slightly higher than the probability for “Both teams to score”. This means that based on the available data, it is more likely that only one team will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Espanyol Barcelona 1-1 Oviedo

1. In their last five home matches, Espanyol Barcelona has shown strong defensive capabilities, conceding an average of 0.2 goals per game, equating to a defensive potential of 7%. They have also managed to keep scores low in recent games, demonstrating an ability to limit opposing opportunities.

2. On the other hand, Oviedo has displayed offensive prowess in their away matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game with an offensive potential of 64%. However, they have also shown vulnerability in defense, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per game and possessing a defensive potential of 29%.

3. Betting statistics also point towards a relatively high probability (66.12%) of the match ending with over 1.5 goals, but a lower probability of exceeding 2.5 or 3.5 goals. This, coupled with both teams’ tendencies to score and concede, suggests a low-scoring 1-1 result.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Espanyol Barcelona has a moderate performance at home with wins in 40% of matches. They have severely lacked consistency, scoring only 6 goals and conceding 7. Oviedo, on the other hand, performs decently away from home, also boasting a 40% win rate but with more goals scored (8 vs 6).

In terms of offensive potential at home, Barcelona is at 29%, lower than Oviedo’s away potential (64%). Barcelona’s defensive potential is higher than Oviedo’s (7% vs 29%).

The predicted probability of Barcelona winning the match is 46.45%, a draw is at 33.33%, and Oviedo’s victory is at 20.22%. There is a higher probability (66.12%) of the match having more than 1.5 goals, and a 48.09% probability of both teams scoring.

Based on these analyses, a prudent bet could be “Draw or Espanyol Barcelona wins the match” with a success probability of 79.78%. In terms of goals, the bet “Under 3.5 goals in the match” also seems viable with a success probability of 85.79%.

Sports betting requires both factual data and a touch of intuition. Therefore, any prediction remains a suggestion and not a certainty.

The potential number of goals

Espanyol Barcelona performs better at home, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match. Their defense rate of 7% is also interesting. However, they have conceded 7 goals in 5 matches. Beware!

Oviedo can be surprising. Away from home, they score an average of 1.8 goals per match, with an offensive power of 64%. They have conceded more goals, a total of 10 in 5 away games. Keep an eye on them!

The match looks evenly balanced. Espanyol Barcelona has a probability of winning at 46.45%, while Oviedo has a probability of winning at 20.22%. Let’s not forget the draw with a probability of 33.33%.

The chances of the match seeing over 1.5 goals are estimated at 66.12%. Conversely, fewer than 3.5 goals have a high probability of 85.79%.

Based on recent matches, it is likely that both teams will score, with a probability of 48.09%.

Given these stats, my prediction would be a tight match with potentially fewer than 3.5 goals. Good luck!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, analyzing the statistics and other key elements of this match between Espanyol Barcelona and Oviedo indicates that the odds favor Espanyol Barcelona to win the match, with a possible home victory. However, the match also has a chance of being tight and low-scoring, where less than 3.5 goals scored could be an interesting bet. Another aspect to consider is that both teams are likely not to both score during the match, a fact supported by the recent statistics of both teams.

It is important to note that, although data and statistics may indicate certain probabilities, sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty and unpredictability, which is part of its charm. Therefore, it is recommended to always bet responsibly.

Lastly, the most vital element to remember in sports betting is that, despite the most comprehensive and detailed analyses, the outcome of a sports match remains unpredictable and can sometimes contradict the statistics. It is important to keep this notion of risk and surprise in mind when engaging in sports betting.