Tipps Estac Troyes Annecy Ligue 2 17/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Troyes wins the match.

1. Home Match History of Troyes: Over their last 5 home matches, Troyes has won and drawn in 80% of cases (winning 20% and drawing 60% of the time). This is a strong indication that Troyes has a good performance at home.

2. Defensive Potential of Troyes: Troyes has a defensive potential of 50% at home, meaning the probability of conceding goals is lower compared to their opponent Annecy, who has a defensive potential of 57%. This indicates that Troyes could withstand Annecy’s attacks and limit the scoring.

3. Probability of Success: Based on the provided success probabilities, the likelihood of the match ending in a draw or Troyes winning is 64.1%. This is the highest probability among all mentioned betting options, suggesting it is the most plausible betting choice.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have shown a significant trend of scoring and conceding goals in their recent matches. For instance, Troyes has scored 8 goals and conceded 10 goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Annecy has scored 12 goals and conceded 13 goals away in their last 5 matches.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of the teams suggests that both have a high likelihood of scoring goals. Troyes averages 1.2 goals per match at home and concedes an average of 1.4 goals, whereas Annecy averages 1.6 goals per match away and also concedes an average of 1.6 goals.

3. The prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 51.79%, which is relatively high compared to other possible predictions for this match. Furthermore, previous home matches of Troyes and away matches of Annecy have often exceeded this total of 2.5 goals. For example, 4 out of the last 5 home matches of Troyes have seen over 2.5 goals, just like 4 out of the last 5 away matches of Annecy.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Home matches history of Troyes: Troyes has scored in 100% of their last 5 home matches and also conceded goals in 4 of the last 5 home matches, suggesting a high probability of both teams scoring.
2. Away matches history of Annecy: Annecy has scored in all of their last 5 away matches and also conceded goals in 3 of their last 5 away matches. This further strengthens the likelihood of both teams scoring.
3. Offensive and defensive statistics comparison: Troyes has a 43% offensive potential at home and a 50% defensive potential. On the other hand, Annecy has a 57% offensive potential away and a 57% defensive potential. These stats indicate that both teams have the ability to score and concede goals, making it likely for both teams to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Troyes 1-2 Annecy.

1. In their last 5 home matches, Troyes has shown a weaker defensive performance by conceding 10 goals compared to their 8 goals scored, and has only won 20% of the matches indicating a trend of recent struggles at home.

2. In contrast, Annecy has a stronger offensive performance away from home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match and winning 80% of their away matches indicating a positive trend when playing on the road.

3. The forecast is also supported by statistics showing a 51.28% probability of both teams scoring, which is consistent with a 1-2 scoreline. Additionally, the average number of goals for both teams generally suggests a total of three goals in the match, which also aligns with the forecast.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Troyes shows weakness at home with only 20% of victories. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 10. Their previous home matches show a fragile defense.
Annecy is strong away with 80% of victories. They have scored 12 goals but conceded 13. Their recent away matches show a strong attack.
Troyes has an offensive potential of 43% and a defense of 50% at home. This is supported by an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and 1.4 goals conceded.
Annecy has an offensive potential of 57% and a defense of 57% away. This is confirmed by an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceded per match.
The probability of a Troyes victory is 40.51%, a draw is 23.59%, and an Annecy victory is 35.9%. The respective odds are 2.30, 3.50, and 2.85.
A match with over 1.5 goals has a 74.87% chance of occurring. This is in line with the average goals scored and conceded by both teams.
Lastly, there is a 51.28% chance that both teams will score. Therefore, this match attracts an exciting mixed prediction.

The potential number of goals

Troyes struggles at home: only one win in five matches. Annecy shines away from home: four wins in five away games. Both teams show more strength in attack than in defense. Troyes has scored 8 goals and Annecy 12 goals in their last five matches, but both have conceded more goals than they have scored.

Troyes’ home attacking potential is at 43%, while Annecy’s away attacking potential is at 57%. This suggests that despite recent lack of wins, Troyes has a strong ability to score, while Annecy is even more efficient in this aspect.

Probabilities indicate that there will be over 1.5 goals scored in the match (74.87% chance) but under 3.5 goals (72.82% chance). The “Under 2.5 goals” is also a plausible possibility with appealing odds of 1.90.

Troyes’ likelihood of winning or drawing seems higher (64.1%) than Annecy’s (59.49%). However, with a probability of 40.51%, Troyes’ victory is not out of the question.

In conclusion, the data suggests a high-scoring match, with a reasonable chance for either team to win. A possible outcome could therefore be a draw with over 1.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Troyes and Annecy promises to be highly competitive and full of goals. The statistics show that Troyes has a solid performance at home with a 64.1% chance of winning the match or drawing. However, they face an energetic Annecy side that has a strong away performance, with a tendency to score goals. Therefore, the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is an interesting value bet, with a success probability of 51.79% and an attractive odds of 1.83. Additionally, there is a significant probability of both teams scoring at 51.28%. As for the exact score, a possible prediction could be a 2-1 victory for Annecy, based on their recent offensive and defensive trends. However, considering all factors, the unpredictable nature of football means that any result is possible. It is therefore crucial to bet responsibly.