Tipps Estac Troyes PAU Ligue 2 29/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the statistics provided, the prediction for the match between Troyes and PAU would be “Draw or PAU wins the match.”

1. Recent statistics of Troyes indicate that the team has a weak offensive potential with only a 21% success rate. This low rate translates to an average of 0.6 goals scored per home match.
2. In contrast, PAU appears to have a better offensive performance away from home with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match. Furthermore, PAU’s offensive potential is higher compared to Troyes, with a 29% success rate.
3. In the last 5 matches, Troyes has only won once at home, while PAU has shown greater resilience on the road with draws in 40% of cases. Therefore, it is more likely that PAU will win or draw away, based on these statistics.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The statistics of both teams show that they have relatively low goal averages in their respective last 5 matches (0.6 goals for Troyes and 0.8 for PAU). This means they struggle to score, and the total goals in the match could be less than 2.5.

2. In terms of defense, Troyes has conceded an average of 2 goals per home match compared to 1.2 goals for PAU away. This indicates both teams have strong defenses, which could limit the total number of goals in the match.

3. Previous encounters between these two teams, with Troyes at home and PAU away, have mostly resulted in a low quantity of goals. This trend could repeat in the upcoming match, making the option of under 2.5 goals likely.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Troyes has a poor offensive potential at home: in their last 5 home matches, they have only scored 3 times, averaging 0.6 goals per match. Troyes is likely to struggle to score against PAU.

2. PAU has a fairly solid defensive performance away from home: in their last 5 away matches, PAU concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match and has a defensive potential of 43%, which could make it difficult for Troyes on the offensive end.

3. Troyes’ recent home results show generally low scores: Out of their last five home matches, three ended in a 0-3 scoreline against them, indicating that Troyes might have difficulty scoring and staying defensively solid.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or PAU wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Troyes 1-1 PAU

1. The average offensive potential of Troyes and PAU in their last 5 respective matches indicates that they score an average of 0.6 and 0.8 goals per match, respectively. Therefore, it is very likely that each team will score at least one goal, justifying a 1-1 scoreline.
2. Stats from the last five matches show that Troyes draws in 80% of cases at home and PAU draws in 40% of cases away. This suggests a high probability of a draw, favoring a 1-1 score.
3. Defensive analysis also indicates that Troyes concedes an average of 2 goals per match at home and PAU concedes 1.2 goals per match away. This, combined with offensive analysis, suggests that each team could concede a goal, further supporting the prediction of a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Analyzing Troyes’ performance at home, we see that apart from one victory, they have not shined with four draws. They have scored 3 goals but conceded 5, indicating a vulnerable defense.

PAU, when playing away, is on a nearly similar dynamic as Troyes. With only one win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. However, PAU seems more offensive with 7 goals scored against 9 conceded.

Troyes has a low success rate in terms of offensive potential (21%) compared to PAU which has an average of 29%. Defensively, Troyes shows weakness with a 71% rate compared to 43% for PAU.

The analysis of previous results shows that both teams are struggling to win. The probabilities of winning for each team are absent, suggesting uncertainty about the outcome.

We can expect a rather defensive match: the success rate for “Under 3.5 goals in the match” and “Under 4.5 goals in the match” is 100%. It is also highly likely that both teams won’t score (100% probability).

Ultimately, the match between Troyes and PAU could result in a low number of goals and even, possibly, a draw.

The potential number of goals

Troyes struggles at home. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 5 in their last 5 matches. Rare victory, only 20% of the time. The matches often end in a draw, 80% of the time.
PAU, on the other hand, has similar performances. Only 20% of wins away, but more goals scored, 7 in 5 matches. However, their defense lets in more goals, 9 in total.
Looking at the average goals per match, Troyes is struggling with 0.6 goals scored against 2 conceded. Their offense is weak, only 21%, while their defense is rather solid at 71%.
PAU is not much better with 0.8 goals per match and 1.2 conceded. Their offensive potential is slightly better than Troyes, at 29%. But their defense, at 43%, is weaker.
Based on these statistics, we can expect a match with few goals. Both teams rarely score, with 0% probability of changing during this match.
One could then consider the following prediction: Under 3.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 100%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Troyes and PAU scheduled for October 29, 2024, could potentially favor PAU or end in a draw based on the recent performances of both teams. Despite a higher success rate for PAU (29% compared to 21% for Troyes), the outcome of this encounter remains uncertain. In the same vein, the match could also see less than 3.5 goals, as both teams have relatively low averages of goals scored per match.

In terms of betting, placing a wager on a draw or on PAU to win the match could prove to be interesting, as well as the “Under 2.5” goals bet. Furthermore, the success rate for “Both teams to score: no” is high, offering another attractive betting option. Lastly, a prediction for the exact score could suggest a 1-1 draw.

Taking into account these factors, as well as past performances, recent trends, and the dynamics of both teams, you should be able to place an informed bet on this Ligue 2 match. However, it is important to remember that in the realm of sports betting, nothing is ever certain, and every bet comes with its own set of risks.