Tipps Estac Troyes Rodez Ligue 2 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Rodez AF wins the match

1. Rodez AF has a higher probability of winning the match, at 45.13%, compared to Troyes who only has a 27.18% probability of winning.
2. Although Rodez AF’s away performances are not brilliant, Troyes has had even weaker performances at home, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and 1.8 goals conceded.
3. Troyes’ recent home matches have all resulted in either losses or draws, indicating a current weakness when they play at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics from previous matches for both teams show a low total of goals scored. Troyes scored 4 goals and Rodez AF 2 goals in their last 5 matches respectively, indicating an average of less than 1 goal per match for each team.
2. The offensive potential of both teams is low, at only 21% for both. This means there is a higher probability of seeing a match with few goals.
3. Looking at the odds for the number of goals, “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.75, which means it is considered a likely event by bookmakers. In comparison, “Over 2.5 goals in the match” carries a higher risk with odds of 2.00.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Weak offensive performance: Both teams have shown a weak offensive performance recently, averaging only 0.6 goals per match. Thus, it is statistically likely that at least one of the teams will fail to score in the match.

2. High probability of solid defense: Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive potential (64% for Troyes and 79% for Rodez AF) in their recent matches. A solid defense can often result in a goalless draw for either team.

3. Recent history: Recent home matches for Troyes and away matches for Rodez AF have often ended with only one team scoring. Therefore, it is reasonable to predict that this trend could continue in their upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Troyes 1-1 Rodez AF

1. Previous match statistics show a strong tendency towards low scores on both sides. For example, in their last 5 home matches, Troyes has scored an average of 0.6 goals per game, as has Rodez AF away. Additionally, the offensive potential of both teams is quite low at 21%, suggesting that the chances of scoring many goals are low.

2. The indicated probability for a draw is 27.69%, which is quite close to Troyes’ winning chances (27.18%). This seems to indicate a very close match prediction between the two teams, which could result in a draw.

3. Previous results of Troyes’ home matches and Rodez AF’s away matches show several draws or very tight score margins. For instance, three of Troyes’ last five home matches ended with a score of 1-1 or 0-1. Similarly, the scores in Rodez AF’s last five away matches were also very close, with a maximum score of 2-1 in either direction. These trends suggest a reasonable probability of another close score between these two teams.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Troyes team has been in unstable form at home, with no victories in their last 5 matches. However, they have managed to secure a draw in 60% of the cases. Offensively, they have scored 4 goals, averaging 0.8 goals per match. Their defense has conceded 5 times, giving them an average of 1 goal against per match.

When playing away, Rodez AF is also struggling with 0% wins and 20% draws in their last 5 outings. They have only scored 2 goals, the same offensive average as Troyes. They have conceded 3 goals, meaning an average of 0.6 goals against per match.

The poor performance of these two teams suggests a close match. The betting odds confirm this trend, offering a 27.18% probability of a Troyes win, 45.13% for Rodez AF, and 27.69% for a draw. The likelihood of both teams scoring is at 53.33%.

Given the current form of both teams, a match with under 2.5 goals scored seems likely, with odds of 1.75. Recent performance analysis also gives Rodez AF an advantage, considering their better defensive showing.

In conclusion, the match is likely to end with a low score, with a slight edge for Rodez AF, but the probability of a draw remains significant.

The potential number of goals

Troyes have not secured any victories in their last 5 matches at home, with a draw rate of 60%. Meanwhile, Rodez AF have failed to win any of their last 5 away games, but managed a draw in 20% of them.

Troyes have conceded more goals (5) than they have scored (4), with offensive and defensive performance rates of 21% and 64% respectively. On the other hand, Rodez AF have scored 2 goals, averaging 0.6 goals per match, and conceded 3 goals, with offensive and defensive performance rates of 21% and 79% respectively.

Predictions suggest that Rodez AF are more likely to win (45.13%). However, the option of a draw or a victory for Troyes is supported by a probability of 54.87%.

Regarding the total goals, the probability of having more than 1.5 goals in the match is quite high (71.79%). Conversely, the match may have less than 3.5 goals with a strong probability of 75.38%.

Finally, there is an even chance that both teams will score, with a probability of 53.33%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all the statistics and analyses, the match between Troyes and Rodez AF appears to be a highly contested encounter. Rodez AF seems to have a slight advantage due to their better defensive performance and slightly higher probability of winning. However, it is important to note that both teams have shown poor offensive performance, a trend that is likely to result in a low total score. Additionally, the fairly high number of draws for Troyes at home suggests that the match could also end in a draw. Overall, bettors are encouraged to consider all these pieces of information when placing their bets. In terms of a value bet, a draw seems to be an interesting option. It is also recommended to bet on under 2.5 goals given the low offensive performance of both teams.