Tipps Everton Southampton League Cup 17/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Considering the statistics and recent match results, the forecast for this match would be “Everton to win the match”. Everton has had stronger results at home, while Southampton has struggled away. Additionally, Everton has a stronger defensive potential than Southampton. However, football is unpredictable and anything can happen. This forecast is based on statistical analysis and does not guarantee the match outcome.

1. Everton’s Home Results: Everton’s recent home results show a favorable trend for them. They have won 40% of their last 5 home matches and managed to draw in 40% of the cases. Additionally, they have scored 7 goals in these matches, demonstrating the team’s offensive capability when playing at home.

2. Southampton’s Away Results: In contrast, Southampton has had less positive results in their away matches. They have won 40% of the matches but have not drawn in any cases. Furthermore, they have also conceded more goals than Everton (9 goals against 7), indicating potential defensive difficulties when playing away from home.

3. Everton’s Defense: Everton has shown a defensive potential superior to Southampton’s. In their last 5 home matches, Everton exhibited a defensive efficiency of 79% compared to Southampton’s 57% in their away matches. This defensive solidity of Everton could pose a significant obstacle for Southampton in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Under trend: Both teams have a tendency to have low scores in their matches. On average, Everton and Southampton score 1.2 goals per game. This means that the total goals in this match could very likely be under 2.5.

2. Defensive performances: Both teams have shown excellent defensive performances in their recent matches, with Everton having a defensive potential of 79% and Southampton of 57%. These strong defensive performances could limit the number of goals scored.

3. Recent results: In the last 5 home matches of Everton and away matches of Southampton, 3 have had less than 2.5 goals. This indicates a trend where matches involving these teams tend to have less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Everton’s defensive potential at home is 79%, which leaves little chance for Southampton to score a goal during the match.
2. Compared to their offensive potential of 43%, Southampton has scored significantly fewer goals in their away matches, reflecting a low offensive efficiency.
3. Southampton’s recent away matches have often seen less than two goals scored, indicating a tendency towards low scores when they play away.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Everton 1-1 Southampton

1. Goal History: Both teams have shown a similar ability to score goals in their recent matches (Everton 7 goals in 5 matches, Southampton 7 goals in 5 matches). This suggests they have equal chances of scoring during the match.

2. Draw Trend: Everton tends to draw in their home matches (40% of cases in the last 5 home matches). This may indicate a probability of a balanced result.

3. Defensive Potential: Everton’s high defensive potential at home (79%) and Southampton’s away (57%) could lead to a low score, like a 1-1 draw. The 1-1 score is further supported by the average number of goals conceded by both teams per match (Everton at 1.2 and Southampton at 1.6 per match).

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Everton has had a mixed performance at home. In their last 5 home games, they won 2 times, drew 2 times, and lost once. With a total of 7 goals for and against, both their defense and attack are evenly balanced.

Southampton, on the other hand, has had a similar performance away, winning 2 out of their last 5 matches. However, they have conceded more goals (9) than they have scored (7).

In terms of potential, Everton has a 43% offensive rating but a weak 79% defensive rating. Southampton, on the other hand, displays a balanced potential with an offensive and defensive rating of 43% and 57% respectively.

Everton’s recent home matches have shown a variation in results, while Southampton has had mixed results away.

Based on these statistics, the match could be tight. However, a high number of goals seems unlikely, with teams averaging around 1.2 goals per match. It is likely that less than 3.5 goals will be scored in this match, with a probability of 100%.

The match could very well end without both teams scoring, also at a 100% probability.

In conclusion, predicting a winner seems challenging with these data, but a low-scoring match can be expected.

The potential number of goals

Everton, at home, has a balanced record with 40% of wins and draws in the last 5 matches. The club has scored 7 goals and conceded the same amount. Their offensive strength is at 43%, while their defense is solid at 79%.

Southampton, playing away, also wins in 40% of cases, without any draws. The club has scored 7 goals and conceded 9. Offensively, they are at 43% and defensively at 57%.

Both teams have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last 5 encounters.

Everton appears to be stronger defensively than Southampton. Previous matches show that Everton is capable of both scoring and conceding, while Southampton is more vulnerable defensively.

The data suggests that both teams will not score with a 100% probability and that there will be less than 3.5 goals with a similar level of certainty.

Based on these statistics, a low-scoring match could be expected. The chances are slim for either Everton or Southampton to win the match.

Therefore, a forecast could be a match with less than 3.5 goals and both teams not scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the forecast for the match between Everton and Southampton suggests a low-scoring and evenly matched game. Everton appears to have an advantage going into the match, given their strong defense at home and Southampton’s poor away performances, but football often holds unpredictable surprises. A 1-1 outcome is likely, as both teams have shown similar recent performances. Based on the analysis, the safest bet would be “Under 2.5”. However, an interesting value bet would be to bet on a draw. In terms of Both Teams To Score (BTTS) bets, it is more likely that both teams will not score. These predictions are based on thorough statistical analysis and recent results, but they still remain educated guesses. Luck always plays a role in football, and outcomes can depend on many unforeseen factors, such as injuries, controversial refereeing decisions, weather, and many others.