Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Excelsior FC Volendam
1. Excelsior has a higher probability of winning the match, with 58.38% compared to FC Volendam’s 21.83%. This shows a greater statistical confidence in Excelsior’s victory.
2. FC Volendam has a low winning rate in away matches with 0% recent wins, indicating a weakness on the road. In contrast, Excelsior has a higher draw rate at home with 60%, which also shows an ability to withstand opponent attacks.
3. By analyzing goals scored and conceded, Excelsior’s defensive potential at home (86%) is higher compared to Volendam’s offensive potential away (36%). This suggests a greater likelihood of Excelsior asserting dominance at home.
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1. In their last 5 respective matches, Excelsior and FC Volendam have a relatively low total of goals scored and conceded, with Excelsior especially only averaging 1 goal at home, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
2. The offensive statistics for both teams are low. Excelsior has a home offensive potential of only 14%, while Volendam has an away offensive potential of 36%.
3. The probabilities for the number of goals suggest that the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ scenario has a decent odds (2.36), while the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ scenario has a success probability of only 61.93%, tilting the balance in favor of the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ prediction.
1. Recent performances: The recent match histories of both teams show that they have both managed to score in their outings, whether at home for Excelsior or away for FC Volendam.
2. Offensive and defensive potential: Both Excelsior and FC Volendam have offensive and defensive potential that suggests they can both score goals. Excelsior has an offensive potential of 14% and a defensive potential of 86%, while FC Volendam has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 57%.
3. Statistical probabilities: Statistics show a 55.33% probability that both teams will score. This reinforces the idea that both teams are likely to score in this match.
1. Recent records of these two teams indicate a clear tendency towards a draw, with Excelsior having 60% of draws at home and FC Volendam having 80% of draws away in their respective last 5 matches.
2. Excelsior’s offensive potential is quite low at 14%, while FC Volendam’s defensive potential is at 57%. This means Excelsior might struggle to score goals, while FC Volendam is relatively solid in defense, which could lead to a stalemate.
3. Even though the initial draw odds are only 19.8%, the 4.30 odds ratio is higher than for either team’s outright win. So, the risk is offset by the higher potential gain if the match ends in a draw.
1. Previous match statistics show a strong trend of draws. Excelsior has drawn in 60% of their last 5 home matches, while FC Volendam has drawn in 80% of their last 5 away matches, suggesting a high potential for another draw.
2. In terms of goals scored and conceded, Excelsior has averaged 0.4 goals per home match and conceded 0.8, while FC Volendam has averaged 1 goal per away match and conceded 1.4. The most likely outcome mathematically, considering these goal averages, would be a 1-1 score.
3. Focusing on the scenario of “Over 1.5 goals in the match”, which has a success probability of 84.77%, a precise score of 1-1 would fulfill this condition, further supporting the argument in favor of this exact score.
Excelsior struggles at home. With no wins in their last 5 matches, and 3 goals scored against 4 conceded. A modest offensive record, at 0.4 goals per match.
FC Volendam, on the road, shows similarities. No wins, but 4 draws in 5 matches. Despite a slightly better offensive record, at 1 goal per match, they also concede more, at 1.6 goals per match.
The stats favor Excelsior. They have a 58.38% chance of winning (odds at 1.65). A draw is less likely at 19.8% (odds at 4.30). FC Volendam is predicted to win at 21.83% (odds at 4.70).
Several possible scenarios: Excelsior to win or a draw (78.17% likelihood, odds at 1.19), or a draw or FC Volendam to win (41.62% likelihood, odds at 2.30).
Regarding goals, over 1.5 goals seems likely (84.77% chance, odds at 1.18) but not necessarily over 2.5 goals (61.93% chance, odds at 1.56). A tight scoreline is expected with less than 3.5 goals (71.07% probability, odds at 1.54).
There is an even chance of both teams scoring (55.33% probability, odds at 1.60) or not (44.67% probability, odds at 2.30).
Excelsior’s recent home matches have been tough, with losses against PSV, Vitesse, and Twente. FC Volendam scores in every away game but also concedes goals.
Conclusion based on this data: Advantage Excelsior, with a probable tight scoreline.
It is clear that Excelsior is not shining at home, with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have a disappointing 0% win rate. They have only managed to score 3 goals but conceded 4. Offensive potential at 14%, defensive at 86%.
FC Volendam is not doing any better away from home. They also have a 0% win rate in their last 5 matches. However, they have scored 6 goals but conceded 7. Their offensive potential stands at 36%, defensive at 57%.
In a head-to-head comparison, Excelsior seems to have the advantage with a 58.38% chance of winning, compared to 21.83% for FC Volendam. A draw is estimated at 19.8% probability.
In terms of total goals, over 1.5 goals seem most likely, with an 84.77% chance. Over 2.5 goals is also potentially credible with a 61.93% probability.
Regarding goals scored by each team, the bet “both teams to score” at a 55.33% success rate seems more likely than “both teams to not score” at 44.67%.
After analyzing the statistics, my prediction would be a win for Excelsior, with a match totaling over 1.5 goals, and both teams scoring.
In conclusion, considering the statistics and recent performances, Excelsior seems to be in a strong position for this match against FC Volendam. However, their weak offensive capability and FC Volendam’s defensive strength, especially when playing away, suggest a very tight match. According to the data, the likely scenario would be a narrow 1-1 victory for Excelsior, as both teams have the ability to score. Betting on “under 2.5 goals in the match” seems to be the best option, with a relatively high probability of success. However, betting on a draw offers an interesting value bet, taking into account the potential for profit. Lastly, as always in sports betting, while statistics and analysis can help guide predictions, it’s important to remember that the outcome of a football match remains unpredictable.
1. Excelsior has a higher probability of winning the match, with 58.38% compared to FC Volendam’s 21.83%. This shows a greater statistical confidence in Excelsior’s victory.
2. FC Volendam has a low winning rate in away matches with 0% recent wins, indicating a weakness on the road. In contrast, Excelsior has a higher draw rate at home with 60%, which also shows an ability to withstand opponent attacks.
3. By analyzing goals scored and conceded, Excelsior’s defensive potential at home (86%) is higher compared to Volendam’s offensive potential away (36%). This suggests a greater likelihood of Excelsior asserting dominance at home.
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In its last 5 matches, the team Excelsior has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Excelsior has a form rating of %.
In its last 5 matches, FC Volendam has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that FC Volendam has a form rating of %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Excelsior
Excelsior has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Excelsior
Excelsior has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by FC Volendam
FC Volendam has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by FC Volendam
FC Volendam has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Excelsior and FC Volendam, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
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1. In their last 5 respective matches, Excelsior and FC Volendam have a relatively low total of goals scored and conceded, with Excelsior especially only averaging 1 goal at home, increasing the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
2. The offensive statistics for both teams are low. Excelsior has a home offensive potential of only 14%, while Volendam has an away offensive potential of 36%.
3. The probabilities for the number of goals suggest that the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ scenario has a decent odds (2.36), while the ‘Over 2.5 goals’ scenario has a success probability of only 61.93%, tilting the balance in favor of the ‘Under 2.5 goals’ prediction.
Finding a forecast for the Excelsior FC Volendam match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Excelsior FC Volendam on 12/04/2024 in Van Donge & De Roo Stadion are the team's past performance in the Eredivisie, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Excelsior at home and FC Volendam away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 12/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Excelsior and FC Volendam on 12/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Eredivisie, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Excelsior could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Excelsior and FC Volendam, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Excelsior and the away win rate of FC Volendam, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 12/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Excelsior and FC Volendam can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 12/04/2024 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Excelsior and FC Volendam, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Excelsior or FC Volendam on 12/04/2024.
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