Tipps Excelsior NEC Nijmegen Eredivisie 06/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or NEC Nijmegen wins the match

1. Excelsior’s recent home performances show more draws than wins, with a higher defensive potential than offensive potential.
2. NEC Nijmegen has won two of its last five away matches, and its offensive and defensive potential away from home is quite similar.
3. Finally, the odds indicate a higher probability (73.08%) for the scenario of a draw or a victory for NEC Nijmegen than for other possible outcomes.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Goal statistics – In the last five matches, Excelsior has scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 1.8 goals per match at home, while NEC Nijmegen has scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 1.4 goals away. The average goals likely to be scored in this match is therefore over 2.5 goals.

2. Both teams to score – In recent matches, the probability of both teams scoring is 76.92%, indicating that each team has offensive potential that could contribute to a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Previous match trends – Recent matches for Excelsior at home and NEC Nijmegen away show a trend of high scores, with several games where the total goals exceeded 2.5. For example, Excelsior 4 – 0 FC Volendam or FC Volendam 2 – 5 NEC Nijmegen.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of the last 5 matches show that both teams have consistent scoring ability. Excelsior has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, while NEC Nijmegen has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match away.

2. Both teams also have weak defenses, with Excelsior conceding an average of 1.8 goals and NEC Nijmegen conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. This means that they both tend to concede goals, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Probabilistic analysis indicates that the probability of both teams scoring is 76.92%, which is a relatively high percentage. This means that based on statistical analysis, the chances of both teams scoring are high.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Excelsior 1-1 NEC Nijmegen

1. Referring to their recent matches, Excelsior has a strong tendency to draw at home (60% of the cases), while maintaining a rather balanced goal difference (1.4 scored versus 1.8 conceded). Thus, it is likely that Excelsior will both score and concede a goal, corresponding to the predicted score of 1-1.

2. On the side of NEC Nijmegen, despite winning 40% of their away matches, they also tend to concede goals even when winning (ratio of 1.2 goals scored against 1.4 conceded). Therefore, it is also plausible that they will score and concede a goal, further supporting the prediction of 1-1.

3. Ultimately, the odds forecast shows a higher probability of a draw (38.46%) compared to a win for either team. Additionally, both teams have a fairly high likelihood of scoring (76.92%). These probability statistics align with the 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Excelsior, at home, has a low win rate of 20% and a high draw rate of 60%. Recently, they have scored 6 goals and conceded 9 goals.

On the other hand, NEC Nijmegen has a better performance away from home with a win rate of 40% and a draw rate of 20%. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 11 goals.

Offensively, Excelsior averages 1.4 goals per match, while NEC averages 1.2 goals. Defensively, Excelsior concedes an average of 1.8 goals compared to 1.4 for NEC.

The probability of Excelsior winning is 26.92% compared to 34.62% for NEC Nijmegen. A draw has a 38.46% chance.

The success rate is higher for the “Draw or NEC Nijmegen win” bet at 73.08%.

Regarding the number of goals, a match with more than 1.5 goals is highly probable with an 88.46% chance.

Excelsior has lost their last two home matches, while NEC Nijmegen has shown a mixed performance away.

In conclusion, the match promises to be tight, but NEC Nijmegen has slightly better chances of winning.

The potential number of goals

The Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen match seems to promise a close game. Excelsior, playing at home, has a mixed performance with only 20% wins and 60% draws. On the other hand, Nijmegen wins 40% of their away matches.

Excelsior scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Nijmegen scores 1.2 goals per away match. Nijmegen has an offensive potential of 43% compared to 50% for Excelsior.

In terms of defense, Excelsior concedes an average of 1.8 goals at home and Nijmegen 1.4 goals away. The defensive potential is 64% for Excelsior and 50% for Nijmegen.

The probabilities of victory slightly favor Nijmegen with 34.62% against 26.92% for Excelsior. The draw has a chance of 38.46%.

The prediction “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with odds of 1.16 seems interesting, with a success probability of 88.46%. Also, “Both teams to score” has a success chance of 76.92%.

Your observations of these numbers can guide your sports betting. Good luck!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all the information provided, several bets appear promising for the match between Excelsior and NEC Nijmegen. From a match result perspective, a draw or a victory for NEC Nijmegen seems most likely. In terms of total goals, betting on over 2.5 goals in the match could be an interesting option to explore. Furthermore, the high likelihood of both teams scoring enhances the chances of success for this bet. Additionally, a bet on a draw offers an interesting value bet due to its favorable probability/odds ratio. Lastly, the exact score prediction suggests a 1-1 draw. In any case, it is always important to remember that in the world of sports betting, nothing is ever 100% certain. Therefore, it is essential to analyze the available information, exercise caution, and manage one’s betting budget wisely.