Tipps Farense Benfica Primeira Liga 22/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Benfica wins the match

1. The statistical probability of Benfica winning is high with a percentage of 71.73% compared to only 10.99% for Farense, indicating that Benfica has better chances of winning.

2. Benfica’s offensive potential is higher (57%) than that of Farense (43%) on average over the last 5 away matches, meaning Benfica is more likely to score goals.

3. Benfica’s recent away performances show an ability to win matches, as seen in their recent victories against Casa Pia and Rangers, despite some losses to Sporting and Marseille. This contrasts with Farense’s more mixed performances at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics indicate that Farense and Benfica have a high offensive potential, scoring an average of 1.2 and 1.6 goals per match respectively. This suggests that they are capable of jointly scoring more than 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Both teams have also shown defensive weaknesses, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match each. This means there is a higher likelihood of goals being scored by both sides.

3. The betting odds also indicate a 59.69% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, suggesting that bookmakers expect a high-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Over their last 5 matches, both Farense and Benfica have shown an ability to score goals, with an average of 1.2 goals per match for Farense and 1.6 for Benfica. Taking into account goals conceded as well, this suggests both teams have a real likelihood of scoring during the match.

2. Benfica’s offensive potential away is 57% and Farense’s at home is 43%. This offensive capability increases the probability of both teams scoring during the match.

3. Recent statistics from Farense’s home matches and Benfica’s away matches show both teams have scored and conceded goals. Specifically, in four of Farense’s last five home matches, both teams have scored goals. Similarly, in three of Benfica’s last five away matches, both teams have scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Farense 1-2 Benfica

1. Benfica has a higher probability of winning: According to the provided statistics, Benfica has a 71.73% chance of winning the match, indicating a clear advantage for this team over Farense, who, based on the same statistics, only has a 10.99% probability of winning the match.

2. Both teams have the potential to score: The statistics demonstrate that both teams have competent offensive potential: Farense has an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Benfica scores an average of 1.6 goals per match away. Additionally, there is a 53.93% probability that both teams will score during the match.

3. The likely total goals for the match align with the prediction: The option Over 2.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 59.69%, suggesting that it is probable that a total of more than 2.5 goals will be scored during the match. This is consistent with the prediction of a final score of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Farense has only won once at home in their last five matches. Their defenses, conceding 8 goals, may seem to weaken. Their attacks are not far behind, scoring only 5 goals.

Benfica, playing away, has won twice in their last five matches. More worrying score: 8 goals conceded. Their attack, with 3 goals scored, is to be watched.

With an offensive potential of 43% and an equally high defensive potential, Farense shows a significant balance. However, Benfica benefits from a stronger attack, 57%, despite an identical defense at 43%.

The probability of success leans towards a Benfica victory, at 71.73%. But let’s not forget the possibility of a draw or a Farense win with a 28.27% chance.

The match could end with a rather low score: less than 1.5 goals displays a probability of 81.68%.

Both teams could score, but it is likely only at 53.93%.

In conclusion, Benfica seems to be in a position of strength, but Farense could surprise, especially if Benfica fails to reinforce their defense. In any case, expect a likely low-scoring match.

The potential number of goals

Farense has shown modest performances at home, with only 20% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 8 during this period.

Benfica has also not excelled in away games. They only win 40% of their matches but have recorded no draws. They have scored 3 goals while conceding 8.

In terms of potential, Farense averages 1.2 goals scored per home match and concedes the same amount. Their offensive and defensive potential is therefore at 43%.

On the other hand, Benfica has an average of 1.6 goals scored per away match and concedes 1.2. Therefore, they have a slightly higher offensive potential at 57%, but an equal 43% defensive potential.

The favorite is Benfica with a probability of 71.73% (odds of 1.38). As for Farense, they have a lower probability of winning, at 10.99% (odds of 7.50).

Regarding the number of goals, the match is expected to be quite balanced. There is an 81.68% probability of observing over 1.5 goals (odds of 1.16) and a 59.69% chance of seeing over 2.5 goals (odds of 1.53).

Both teams have almost equal chances of scoring, with a probability of 53.93% (odds of 1.78).

In conclusion, statistically Benfica appears better positioned to win the match, however, football is unpredictable, anything is possible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, surrounding this match Farense – Benfica, the statistics and factors considered suggest that Benfica is more likely to come out victorious. However, in football there is an element of unpredictability that even the best statistics cannot always anticipate. Farense could surprise, especially if Benfica does not show a strong defense.

That being said, the match is likely to produce over 2.5 goals, with a higher probability that both teams will score during the match. The trend also indicates that the total goals for the match will probably be around 3.5, favoring a bet on a lower number of goals. Finally, the exact score could be 1-2 in favor of Benfica.

It is important to emphasize that all betting advice should be taken as a recommendation and not a guaranteed outcome, as sports can be unpredictable. Bettors should always manage their bankroll wisely, only betting what they can afford to lose.