Tipps FC Augsburg FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Augsburg wins the match.

1. Performance: The performance statistics at home for Augsburg and away for Mainz show a higher probability for Augsburg to win or draw. Both teams have won or drawn in 80% of cases in their last 5 home or away matches, but Augsburg has a home advantage.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Augsburg has shown a higher offensive potential than Mainz at 93% against 57%. Additionally, their defensive potential is better with 64% against 57%. These statistics indicate that Augsburg is more likely to score and less likely to concede goals, strengthening the chances of a draw or Augsburg’s victory.

3. Betting Probabilities: Based on the betting probabilities, the outcome “draw or Augsburg wins the match” has a success rate of 64.66% with odds of 1.55, which is higher than Mainz’s chances of winning the match at 35.34% with odds of 2.55. This reinforces the possibility of Augsburg coming out of the match with at least one point.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The analysis of the statistics of both teams shows that they both have an average of goals scored and conceded exceeding 2.5 in their last 5 matches, with Augsburg averaging 2.6 goals scored per match and Mainz averaging 1.6 goals scored per match, which contributes to a high probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match.
2. The average number of goals, in Augsburg’s home matches and Mainz’s away matches, is 2.6 and 1.6 goals per match respectively, suggesting that both teams have an offensive and defensive potential that could contribute to a total of more than 2.5 goals.
3. The probability rate for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 50.38%, which is relatively high, providing a third argument in favor of this prediction. The reality of this probability is reinforced by the history of the teams’ matches, with Augsburg scoring more than 2.5 goals in three of their last five home matches and Mainz also reaching this threshold in two of their last five away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams show a strong tendency to score goals, with an average of 2.6 goals per game for Augsburg at home and 1.6 goals per game for Mainz away. This indicates that they both have a high offensive potential.

2. Both teams have also conceded a significant number of goals in their recent matches: an average of 1.8 goals per game for Augsburg at home and 1.6 goals for Mainz away. This suggests that their defenses are not infallible, leaving room for goals from the opposing team.

3. Examining the results of both teams’ recent matches, it is evident that goals have been scored on both sides in most cases. Augsburg has scored and conceded goals in 4 of their last 5 home games, while Mainz has done the same in 3 of their last 5 away games.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Augsburg wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

“Augsburg 2-2 Mainz”

1. Both teams have had similar recent performances: Augsburg and Mainz both have a tendency to score and concede goals based on their respective last 5 results. Furthermore, they both have a 40% win and draw rate in their last 5 matches, suggesting a comparable level of performance.

2. Their offensive and defensive potential is quite similar: In their last 5 matches, Augsburg has an offensive potential of 93% and a defensive potential of 64%, while Mainz has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 57%. These figures suggest that both teams have the ability to score and concede goals, consistent with a final score of 2-2.

3. The probabilities suggest an open match with plenty of goals: The option with the highest probability of success among over/under goals bets is “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with a 74.44% success rate. Additionally, “Both teams score” has a success probability of 55.64%, indicating that it is very likely that both teams will score during the match. These probabilities align well with a bet on an exact score of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Augsburg and Mainz are both showing similar form: they have won and drawn in 40% of their last 5 matches. Their defenses also seem porous, with each side conceding 11 goals.

At home, Augsburg has an offensive efficiency of 93%, translating to an average of 2.6 goals per match. In comparison, Mainz, away from home, averages 1.6 goals per match, with an offensive potential of 57%.

The probabilities suggest a slight advantage for Augsburg with 42.11% compared to Mainz’s 35.34%. A draw is also a viable option as it has occurred in 40% of each team’s recent encounters.

The bet “Over 1.5 goals in the match” seems appealing with a probability of 74.44%. Augsburg’s offensive potential supports this hypothesis.

The probability of both teams scoring is 55.64%. Indeed, neither team has managed to keep a clean sheet in their last three meetings.

In conclusion, Augsburg seems to have the edge, especially at home. However, the offensive strength of both teams suggests a match with over 1.5 goals and possibly both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Augsburg is solid at home, winning or drawing 80% of the time in their last 5 matches. They have an average of 2.6 goals scored per home match. However, they also have a tendency to concede goals, letting in 1.8 goals per match.

Mainz, on the other hand, has a similar away record, winning or drawing in 80% of their last 5 matches. But they score fewer goals with an average of 1.6 goals and also concede 1.6 goals per match.

Augsburg has a slight edge with a 42.11% probability of winning this match. The odds also indicate that the highest probability is for a match outcome of either a draw or an Augsburg win, with a 64.66% probability.

Predicting the exact number of goals in a match is tricky, but there seems to be a strong probability (74.44%) for over 1.5 goals. On the other hand, the probability also favors under 3.5 goals (72.93%).

In terms of offensive performance, both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 55.64%.

Looking at their recent matches, Augsburg has scored 10 goals in 5 home matches and Mainz has scored the same amount in 5 away matches. They have also both conceded 11 goals in those matches.

Based on these numbers, a close match with goals on both sides can be predicted.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Bundesliga match between Augsburg and Mainz promises to be tight and exciting. The statistics and recent performances of both teams suggest that there will be goals from both sides, with a high probability of over 1.5 goals. Augsburg appears to have a slight advantage, particularly due to their strong home performances. The most appealing bet seems to be “Augsburg to win or draw” as the statistics favor this outcome with a probability of 64.66%. However, the possibility of a draw should not be ruled out, as evidenced by the past performances of both teams. In any case, this match should provide entertainment and interesting opportunities for bettors.