Tipps FC Basel 1893 FC ST. Gallen Swiss Super League 20/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Saint-Gall wins the match

1. Team Performance: Saint-Gall has had better recent performances away from home, winning 40% of their matches compared to Basel who has only won 40% of their home matches. Additionally, Saint-Gall has a superior goal difference to Basel, with 11 goals scored compared to Basel’s 5.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Saint-Gall has shown much higher offensive potential with an average of 1.8 goals per match, compared to Basel’s 0.6. While Saint-Gall has shown defensive weaknesses by conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match, this number is still lower than their offensive potential.

3. Recent Match History: In their most recent matches, Saint-Gall has shown an ability to score against different teams and in various situations, including an impressive 5-2 result against Brühl. On the other hand, Basel has struggled in their recent home matches, with losses against FC Zurich and Lugano.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. St. Gallen’s offensive potential away from home is high, with an average of 1.8 goals per game. This effective attack will test Basel’s defense at home, where they have conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game.
2. Analyzing the teams’ recent matches, several games with a total of over 2.5 goals can be observed. St. Gallen has scored 11 goals in 5 away games, averaging 2.2 goals per match.
3. St. Gallen’s away match history shows an 86% defensive potential, indicating a tendency to concede goals. Combined with Basel’s 21% offensive potential at home, there is a certain potential for a total of over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Basel’s home offensive potential: Basel has scored only 5 goals in their last 5 home matches, indicating an offensive potential of only 21%. This is a quite weak statistic that could mean Basel might struggle to score in this match.

2. St. Gallen’s away defensive potential: In their last 5 away matches, St. Gallen has conceded 12 goals, indicating a high defensive potential of 86%. This high likelihood of defense could hinder Basel from scoring.

3. Head-to-head history: Based on the recent matches provided, it appears that Basel does not have a strong tendency to score many goals at home, and the same goes for St. Gallen away. This is a compelling argument to suggest that one or even both teams may not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Basel 1-2 St. Gallen

1. The offensive potential of St. Gallen is significantly higher than that of Basel (64% versus 21%). St. Gallen has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in their last 5 away games, showing an effective and efficient attack.

2. Basel’s defensive potential is relatively weak (29%), conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match at home, indicating that their defense could be vulnerable against an aggressive team like St. Gallen.

3. Recent statistics from Basel’s home matches and St. Gallen’s away matches also highlight this trend: Basel has lost or drawn in 60% of their home matches, while St. Gallen has won or drawn in 60% of their away matches. In this context, a 1-2 scoreline in favor of St. Gallen seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Basel struggles at home with a 40% win rate and the same number of draws. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6, showing a low performance.

St. Gallen is not doing much better with only a 40% win rate when playing away. They have scored more goals (11) but have also conceded a lot (12).

Basel scores few goals at home (0.6 goals per match) and has an average defense (0.8 goals conceded per match).

St. Gallen is more offensive (1.8 goals per match) but their defense allows many goals (2.4 per match).

The single match offers three possible outcomes, but the chances of them happening are null based on our data.

The probability of both teams scoring is 0%, suggesting solid defense.

Previous matches do not indicate a clear advantage for either team.

The result could be determined by small details. Caution is advised for this bet.

The potential number of goals

Basel, in their last 5 home matches, have had a balanced performance: 40% wins and 40% draws. Their offensive efficiency remains limited with only 5 goals scored, while their defense has conceded 6 goals.

St. Gallen, in their last 5 away games, has a similar record to Basel with 40% wins and 20% draws. They are more efficient offensively with 11 goals scored, but have struggled defensively by conceding 12 goals.

On average at home, Basel scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 0.8 goals. Their offensive potential of 21% is paired with a fragile defense at 29% performance.

St. Gallen, on average away from home, scores 1.8 goals and concedes 2.4 goals per match. They are more aggressive offensively with 64%, but have a leaky defense with a defensive potential of 86%.

Therefore, considering St. Gallen’s offensive potential and Basel’s fragile defense, we can expect a match with at least 1.5 goals. However, this prediction is not supported by any probability of success. Similarly, the probability of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals is uncertain.

However, the probability of the match ending with fewer than 3.5 and fewer than 4.5 goals is 100%. So, we can expect a rather defensive match.

Lastly, the probability of both teams scoring is 0%, while the probability of neither team scoring is 100%. Therefore, expect a match with a limited number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this detailed analysis of the current and historical performances of FC Basel and St. Gallen leads us to make several predictions. Given St. Gallen’s recent away performances and Basel’s home performances, the 1X2 prediction favors a St. Gallen victory. As for the number of goals to expect in the match, we are betting on an “over 2.5” score, based on the offensive potentials of both teams. All analyzed statistics also suggest that the BTTS (Both Teams To Score) bet of “no” seems the most judicious.

Regarding the most interesting value bet, we recommend the “under 3.5 goals in the match” bet. Finally, the expected exact score is 1-2 in favor of St. Gallen. However, these predictions and statistics do not guarantee a certain result. Football remains an unpredictable sport, and it is necessary to analyze the evolving situation until the kick-off of the match. Even if our data indicates that it would be wise to bet on St. Gallen for the win, it is essential to remember that anything can happen in a football match.