Tipps FC Cincinnati St. Louis City Major League Soccer 19/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Cincinnati wins the game

1. Recent performance: Recent statistics reveal that Cincinnati has won 40% of its 5 home matches while St. Louis City has not won any of its 5 away matches.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Cincinnati has an offensive potential of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per match, compared to St. Louis City’s offensive potential of 50% with an average of 1.4 goals per match. Additionally, Cincinnati has a better defensive capability with a defensive potential of 36% compared to 29% for St. Louis City.

3. Success probabilities: The success probability for Cincinnati to win the match is 52.31%, which is significantly higher than St. Louis City’s success probability of 22.05%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Statistics reveal that Cincinnati scores a high number of goals at home and St. Louis City does the same when playing away, with an average of 1.6 and 1.4 goals per match respectively. As a result, the total number of goals scored could exceed 2.5 goals.

2. Recent performances by St. Louis City in their away matches show a tendency towards very open games with many goals. In their last 5 away matches, they have scored a total of 9 goals and conceded 11, which, combined with Cincinnati’s offensive potential, increases the likelihood of more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The calculated probabilities also support this prediction. According to these probabilities, the scenario of a match with over 2.5 goals has a success probability of 57.44%, which is higher than that of a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Offensive performance: These two teams have shown respective offensive performances in their previous matches, with Cincinnati averaging 1.6 goals per game and St. Louis City averaging 1.4 goals. These are relatively high numbers indicating goal-scoring potential from both sides.

2. Weak defensive performance: Both teams also have relatively poor defensive performances, with Cincinnati conceding an average of 1 goal per game, and St. Louis City conceding an average of 0.8 goals. This suggests that their defenses are vulnerable and could easily concede goals.

3. Recent statistics: Based on recent match results, St. Louis City has managed to score in all of their away matches, despite not winning any of them, and Cincinnati has scored in 60% of their home matches. This suggests a strong possibility of both teams scoring in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Cincinnati 1-1 St. Louis City

1. Results of previous matches: Cincinnati has shown a consistent performance at home with a 40% win rate and 40% draw rate. Similarly, St. Louis City has an 80% draw rate in their away games. This suggests a draw is a likely outcome for this match.

2. Goal statistics: In their last 5 home matches, Cincinnati has averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per game. On the other hand, St. Louis City has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded in their recent away matches. These statistics indicate that both teams are likely to score at least one goal.

3. Betting odds: The odds show that a draw has a 25.64% probability and both teams to score has a 58.46% probability. These indicators support the notion that the final score could be 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Cincinnati has a respectable home form, with a 40% win rate. They have a balanced offensive and defensive record, scoring 1.6 goals per match and conceding 1 goal. St. Louis City struggles away from home, winless in 5 matches but with an 80% draw rate.

Cincinnati is favored in the odds with a 52.31% probability of winning, followed by a 25.64% chance of a draw. St. Louis City has a low winning probability at 22.05%.

Also worth considering is the 82.56% opportunity for over 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams are likely to score, with a 58.46% probability.

Looking at their recent matches, Cincinnati has shown an ability to score but can also concede. St. Louis City, on the other hand, has displayed a tendency towards closely contested draws.

In conclusion, a safe bet for this match could be “over 1.5 goals” with a solid success probability of 82.56%. Cincinnati appears to be the favorite, but St. Louis City’s high draw percentage cannot be ignored.

The potential number of goals

Cincinnati has won 40% of their recent home matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 5. On the other hand, St. Louis City has not won any recent away matches, but has managed to secure a draw in 80% of cases, scoring 9 goals and conceding 11.

Cincinnati’s average offensive potential at home is 57%, with 1.6 goals, most of which are scored at home. Their defensive potential is lower at 36%, giving some room for St. Louis City.

St. Louis City, on the other hand, averages 1.4 goals per away match, with a slightly better defensive potential at 29%.

Analyzing the probabilities provides valuable insights. There is a 52.31% probability of Cincinnati winning the match, implying odds of 1.83. The draw has a success probability of 25.64% (odds of 3.75), and St. Louis City’s win has a probability of 22.05% (odds of 4.33).

In terms of total goals in the match, there is an 82.56% probability of more than 1.5 goals (odds of 1.26), and a 57.44% probability for over 2.5 goals (odds of 1.80).

Based on recent matches, Cincinnati seems slightly favored at home, and St. Louis City’s series of draws away does not guarantee a win.

In conclusion, this match could produce more than 1.5 goals with a probability of 82.56%. As for the match outcome, the numbers suggest a slight dominance of Cincinnati with a 52.31% probability of winning.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on statistics and probabilities, this Major League Soccer match between Cincinnati and St. Louis City seems to offer several interesting betting opportunities. The offensive potential of both teams and their relatively weak defensive performance strongly suggest a high probability of a match with over 1.5 goals, with a success rate of 82.56%. Furthermore, the data points to the possibility of both teams scoring at least once during the game.

The analysis also shows that Cincinnati, due to a good home performance, is slightly favored for the win with a probability of 52.31%. However, St. Louis City’s strong tendency to draw matches when playing away cannot be ignored, opening up the possibility of a “draw” bet with a potentially good return on investment.

Overall, while Cincinnati appears to be the favorite, this match could be unpredictable with potentially profitable betting opportunities. As always in sports betting, it is recommended to bet responsibly and consider the changing factors that could affect the outcome of a match.