Tipps FC Dallas Austin Major League Soccer 18/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Dallas wins the game

1. Dallas has won 80% of their last 5 home matches, indicating strong performance when playing on their own turf.
2. Austin has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches, conceding more goals than they score. This highlights a weakness when playing away from home.
3. Offensive and defensive potential: Dallas has a 57% offensive and defensive potential at home, which is higher than Austin’s away record of 29% offensive and 36% defensive. This suggests that Dallas has better ability to score and defend on their turf compared to Austin.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics show that Dallas has a strong defense at home, conceding an average of only 1.6 goals per match. This average indicates a good ability to restrict the opposing team’s chances, potentially limiting the total number of goals in the match to less than 2.5.

2. Similarly, Austin struggles to score when playing away. With an average of only 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 away games, Austin’s offense does not seem sufficient to guarantee more than 2.5 goals in total in the match.

3. Lastly, by examining the match history, several recent home games for Dallas and away games for Austin have resulted in low-scoring matches. Many of these matches have featured fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting that such a result is possible in their next encounter.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The past performance of the Dallas team at home shows a solid defense, conceding only 1 goal or less in 60% of their games played. Additionally, they have prevented the opposing team from scoring in two of their last five home matches.

2. The offensive performance of the Austin team away from home is quite weak. In their last 5 away matches, they have only scored 3 goals in total, suggesting they may struggle to score in this match.

3. Statistics indicate a higher probability (70.1%) of a Draw or Dallas winning the match compared to Austin. This shows that the Dallas team has a defensive advantage and may likely not concede any goals during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 32.99% chance of success: 3.75

Bet on the exact result

Dallas 2-1 Austin

1. Dallas’ home performance: In its recent home matches, Dallas has shown a strong performance with an 80% win rate and an average of 1.6 goals per match. Although the team also concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match, its offensive potential of 57% demonstrates its ability to score more goals than its opponent, supporting the prediction of Dallas winning 2-1.

2. Austin’s away performance: Austin has a weak performance when playing away, with a victory rate of only 20%. Furthermore, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per away match and a 29.9% probability of defeat, it is likely that Austin will score fewer goals than Dallas, which tends to support the prediction.

3. Goal probability statistics: Probabilities suggest that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match but less than 3.5 goals with a success probability of 76.8%. This range of goals aligns with the exact predicted score of 2-1. Additionally, the fact that both teams have a 56.7% probability of scoring reinforces this prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Dallas, at home, has a strong 80% win rate over five matches. Their attack is prolific, with 12 goals, but their defense is lacking, having also conceded 12 goals.

Austin, away, has a low 20% win rate. Their attack is timid, with only 3 goals, and their defense is solid, with 4 goals conceded.

Statistical probability places Dallas as the favorite at 37.11%. However, a draw should not be ruled out, with a probability of 32.99%.

The odds indicate that the most likely outcome is a match with “under 4.5 goals,” with a probability of 89.69%.

Dallas’ last five home matches show a tendency to score a lot, leading to a probability of “over 1.5 goals in the match” evaluated at 70.1%.

Austin’s last five away matches show a low ability to score, highlighting the probability of “under 1.5 goals in the match.”

In conclusion, a safe bet for this match could be “under 4.5 goals in the match” with odds of 1.14. A riskier bet would be Dallas to win, with odds of 2.05.

The potential number of goals

Dallas is solid at home with a 80% win rate, scoring 12 goals and conceding 12 goals. Although their defense is as strong as their attack with a 57% potential, the average goals per match is around 1.6.

On the other hand, Austin struggles away from home, winning only 20% of their matches and scoring a modest total of 3 goals. The average goals per away match is 0.8, showing a low offensive potential of 29%.

Now let’s analyze the probabilities of the results. Dallas has a 37.11% chance of winning, and a draw has a 32.99% chance of occurring. Austin has a 29.9% probability of coming out on top.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 70.1% chance that more than 1.5 goals will be scored, but the probability decreases to 44.33% for more than 2.5 goals. The statistics suggest a low-scoring match.

Both teams scoring has a probability of 56.7%. This is a sign that even though Dallas is in good form at home, Austin could find a way to score.

In conclusion, Dallas’s home form and Austin’s away troubles favor Dallas. The match could see fewer than 2.5 total goals, and each team may find the back of the net.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this Major League Soccer match between Dallas and Austin is shaping up to be intense. Objective analyses of recent performances, goal statistics, and potential opportunities for each team primarily suggest an advantage for Dallas, especially as they are the hosts of the game. The probability of Dallas winning at home stood at 80% compared to only 20% for Austin away.

The analysis of the expected number of goals in this match indicates a low-scoring game, with a high likelihood of there being less than 2.5 goals in total. Additionally, although both teams are likely to score in this match, the odds of betting against it happening are also interesting, particularly given Dallas’s recent defensive performances and Austin’s lack of attacking strength.

Overall, while Dallas appears to be the favorite for this match, a bet on a draw also shows good potential value, with a success probability of 32.99% backed by data and the recent performances of both teams.

However, as always in sports betting, while statistics and data analysis can help inform your decision, it’s also important to consider other factors such as possible injuries, the current form of players, and playing conditions. Taking all these elements into account will enable everyone to make an informed bet.