Tipps FC Juarez Club Tijuana Liga MX 07/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Tijuana wins the match

Here are the three most logical arguments for predicting Tijuana’s victory:

1. Comparatively, Tijuana has a higher probability of success to win the match than FC Juarez. According to statistics, Tijuana has a success probability of 40.48% while FC Juarez has a success probability of 35.71%.

2. Tijuana shows, on average, a better defense in their away matches compared to FC Juarez’s offense in their home matches. Tijuana concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match while FC Juarez scores an average of 1.6 goals per match at home.

3. FC Juarez has shown poor performance at home in their last 5 matches with only one win and four defeats. Furthermore, they have conceded more goals than they have scored during this period.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams: FC Juarez has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 86%. Tijuana has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%. These statistics indicate that both teams have a tendency to concede goals, which favors a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. The number of goals scored and conceded in recent matches: FC Juarez has a total of 7 goals scored and 10 goals conceded in five home matches. Tijuana has scored 3 goals and conceded 6 goals in five away matches. These statistics suggest a general tendency towards matches with a relatively high total of goals.

3. The success probabilities indicated for the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” are 60.71%. These odds are quite high, further supporting the argument that it is likely there will be more than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. FC Juarez has shown a good offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 games. At the same time, they have displayed defensive weaknesses by conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. These statistics suggest a high likelihood that FC Juarez will score and concede a goal.

2. Tijuana has also shown mixed offensive and defensive performances away, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. This indicates a strong probability that they will also score and concede a goal in the match against FC Juarez.

3. Probability calculations also support this scenario. There is a 52.38% chance of both teams scoring. Additionally, the combined offensive and defensive potential of both teams, 57% and 86% for FC Juarez respectively, and 43% and 50% for Tijuana, suggest that it is possible neither team will keep a clean sheet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 1.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

FC Juarez 1-1 Tijuana.

1. The first argument in favor of this prediction is FC Juarez’s tendency to draw matches at home. Indeed, in 80% of cases in their last 5 home games, they have drawn. Additionally, their defensive potential is high, with an 86% success rate, indicating they are capable of keeping out the opposing offense.

2. The second argument lies in Tijuana’s away performances. Considering their last 5 away matches, they have only won in 20% of cases and drawn in 20% of cases. Their goal-scoring (average of 1.2) and conceding (average of 1.4) performances also show a small difference which could easily lead to a draw if both teams maintain their averages.

3. Lastly, the third argument is based on probabilities. Given the probability of both teams scoring is 52.38%, it is highly likely that they will each score at least one goal. Combined with both teams’ tendency not to win their matches, this strengthens the argument for a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

– FC Juarez dominates at home, with a record of 80% of draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 10, showing a defensive weakness.
– On the other hand, Tijuana struggles away, with a 20% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored fewer goals, only 3, and conceded 6.
– Unsurprisingly, FC Juarez’s home offense is more productive with an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Tijuana only scores 1.2 away.
– However, FC Juarez concedes more than Tijuana, with an average of 2.4 goals per game against 1.4.
– In terms of probabilities, Tijuana has a slight edge to win the match at 40.48%.
– A draw or a Tijuana win is at a 64.29% likelihood.
– Over 1.5 goals in the match seems likely at 77.38%.
– Both teams to score is at a 52.38% probability, showing that both teams have offensive potential.
– In their last 5 matches, FC Juarez has struggled against their opponents at home. Tijuana, away, has had a mixed performance including a heavy defeat against Toluca.
– My prediction would be a final score of FC Juarez under 1.5 goals against Tijuana over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

FC Juarez, at home, shows an offensive capability of 57%, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match. However, its defense leaves something to be desired with an average of 2.4 goals conceded per match.

On the other hand, Tijuana shows a weakness in offense when playing away, with only 1.2 goals scored per match. But its defensive capability is better, conceding only 1.4 goals on average.

In their last 5 matches, FC Juarez has secured one victory, showcasing strength at home. Tijuana has also only secured one victory away, indicating some difficulty on the road.

There is a high likelihood of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 77.38%. However, there is also a significant risk of seeing less than 4.5 goals, with a probability of 86.9%.

There is a 52.38% probability of both teams scoring.

The odds slightly favor a Tijuana victory (40.48%) over FC Juarez (35.71%).

For a prediction, a Tijuana win or a draw seems to be a plausible option with a probability of 64.29%.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of statistics and probabilities suggests that the match between FC Juarez and Tijuana will likely be an offensive game with a good number of goals. Tijuana appears to have a slight advantage in terms of statistics and probabilities of winning, but the variable form of both teams makes the prediction uncertain. The recommendation would be to focus on the Over/Under and BTTS bet, as the analysis indicates a high probability of over 2.5 goals in the match and both teams scoring. However, as a bettor, it is crucial to remain objective and consider all factors before making a final decision. As always, it is important to bet responsibly and consider betting as a form of entertainment rather than a means to generate income.