Tipps FC Juarez Mazatlán Liga MX 14/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

My prediction would be “Draw or FC Juarez wins the match”. This option has a success rate of 73.26%.

1. FC Juarez’s home performance: FC Juarez has a reliable home record, with 80% of their last 5 matches ending in a draw. This suggests that they have a strong defense when playing at home, which can improve their chances of avoiding a loss.

2. Mazatlán’s away performance: Mazatlán has a variable performance in their away matches, with a victory in only 40% of cases. Their ability to score and win is not consistent when they are not at home, which can make their victory less likely.

3. FC Juarez’s defense: Despite not having won at their stadium recently, FC Juarez has been able to effectively defend their goal, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. With their defensive potential of 86%, they have good chances to maintain the draw or even win against Mazatlán.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics: Both teams have scored and conceded a reasonable amount of goals in their last five matches, with FC Juarez scoring 7 and conceding 9 goals, and Mazatlán scoring 7 and conceding 8 goals. This indicates that their matches are generally high-scoring.

2. Average goals per match: The average goals scored and conceded per match for both teams further strengthens the previous argument. FC Juarez has an average of 1 goal scored and 2.4 goals conceded per match, while Mazatlán has an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. This implies that on average, their matches should have over 2.5 goals.

3. Statistical probability: The strongest argument could be the 56.68% success probability for over 2.5 goals in the match. This data exceeds the 50% mark, suggesting a stronger probability that the match will end with over 2.5 goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The home match history of FC Juarez shows a consistent trend of conceding goals (9 goals in 5 matches) while also managing to score (7 goals in 5 matches). This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Mazatlán’s away performances also indicate a tendency for both teams to score in a match. Mazatlán has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. The statistics of both teams demonstrate an offensive and defensive potential that favors the scenario of both teams scoring. FC Juarez has a 36% offensive potential and 86% defensive potential at home, while Mazatlán has a 64% offensive potential and 36% defensive potential away.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Mazatlán wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

FC Juarez 1-2 Mazatlán

1. Past performances: In their last 5 matches, FC Juarez has shown a stronger tendency towards draws (80% of cases) and a weak defensive performance with 9 goals conceded. On the other hand, Mazatlán has had a more balanced performance, winning 40% of their away matches and displaying a better defensive performance by conceding only 8 goals.

2. Goal averages: In the last 5 home matches, FC Juarez has had a low average of goals scored (1 per match) but a high average of goals conceded (2.4 per match). Conversely, Mazatlán scores more with an average of 1.8 goals per match.

3. Success probabilities: Despite a higher probability for FC Juarez to win the match (43.85%), the difference between the two teams is not huge and the probability of Mazatlán winning the match remains reasonable (26.74%). Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 57.75%. These factors seem to align with a prediction of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

FC Juarez has not won a single home match in their last 5, with 4 defeats and 1 draw. They have scored 7 times but conceded 9 goals, so their defense should be watched closely.

On the other hand, Mazatlán has managed to win 2 out of 5 away matches, with also 2 draws. They have scored as many goals as FC Juarez, 7, but have conceded one less, 8.

In terms of potential, Mazatlán has a better attack and defense. They score on average 1.8 goals per match, compared to 1 for FC Juarez, and concede fewer goals (1 against 2.4).

Regarding probabilities, FC Juarez is more likely to win, with 43.85% compared to 26.74% for Mazatlán. However, the probability of a draw is also high, at 29.41%.

Looking at the goals scored, the probability of there being less than 1.5 goals is relatively low with odds of 4.00. There is a higher likelihood of seeing more than 1.5 goals (74.87% probability) or 2.5 goals (56.68% probability).

Based on the recent matches of both teams, FC Juarez often struggles to maintain the lead, while Mazatlán manages to hold the score away from home.

In summary, Mazatlán seems to have an advantage, especially in attack, even though FC Juarez has a slight edge in the probability of winning. A match with more than 1.5 goals seems very likely, with a possibility of both teams scoring, a 57.75% probability.

The potential number of goals

FC Juarez is weak at home, with a 0% victory rate and 80% draws. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9. Similarly, their offensive potential is only 36% and defensive is 86%.

Mazatlán shows a better performance with a 40% away victory rate and also 40% draws. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 8. Their offensive potential is 64% and defensive is 36%.

According to the odds, the probability of FC Juarez winning is 43.85% and Mazatlán’s is 26.74%. A draw has a probability of 29.41%.

Regarding the number of goals, the probability of the match having over 1.5 goals is 74.87%, while the probability of under 2.5 goals is 56.68%. The probability of both teams scoring is 57.75%.

In summary, despite FC Juarez’s weak home performance, the match could be competitive given Mazatlán’s significant ability to score away from home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of recent performances indicates that the match between FC Juarez and Mazatlán will likely be focused on offense. FC Juarez is expected to have a strong defense but should be wary of Mazatlán’s offensive capabilities. Our data suggests betting on a draw or a FC Juarez win, with a success probability of 73.26%, reflecting the intense competitiveness expected in the match. However, the value bet lies in Mazatlán’s victory.

Additionally, the analysis points to a probable score of over 2.5 goals, due to a history of high-scoring matches for both teams. The Both Teams To Score (BTTS) bet is also favored, with both teams having a history of successful shots on goal.

Overall, this match should be an interesting showdown between FC Juarez’s solid defense and Mazatlán’s effective offense. Bettors should consider both team statistics and the competitive situation to make informed bets. Always exercise caution when placing bets and remember that, despite predictions, the final outcome of a football match remains unpredictable. Happy betting!