Tipps FC Lugano Fenerbahce UEFA Champions League 23/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Fenerbahce wins the match”

1. Fenerbahce has a higher offensive potential with an average of 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 away games, compared to Lugano’s 1.2 goals per match at home. The likelihood of Fenerbahce scoring more goals is therefore higher based on these statistics.
2. Fenerbahce also has a stronger defensive potential, conceding only an average of 0.2 goals per match in their last 5 away games, while Lugano concedes an average of 1.4 goals at home. Fenerbahce is therefore more likely to withstand Lugano’s attacks.
3. Taking into account their recent results, Fenerbahce has shown greater resilience against strong opponents away from home (such as their win against Galatasaray and draw against Konyaspor). These performances demonstrate a team capable of handling pressure on the road, which could be an asset in this match against Lugano.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Fenerbahce has a strong offensive potential when playing away, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match, suggesting they could contribute to a total of at least 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The average goals scored and conceded by Lugano at home stands at 2.6 goals per match, surpassing the 2.5 goals threshold. This indicates a high-scoring trend in Lugano’s matches, which favors the Over 2.5 bet.

3. Recent away matches for Fenerbahce have often resulted in a cumulative score exceeding 2.5 goals (Galatasaray 0 – 1 Fenerbahce, Konyaspor 0 – 0 Fenerbahce, Sivasspor 2 – 2 Fenerbahce, Fatih Karagümrük 1 – 2 Fenerbahce, Olympiakos Piraeus 3 – 2 Fenerbahce). This provides additional evidence to support the Over 2.5 bet.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Offensive potential: The offensive potential of Lugano (43% at home) and Fenerbahce (86% away) is very encouraging for goals to be scored by both sides. Indeed, both teams have shown an ability to score in their recent matches.

2. Defensive potential: Both teams have also shown relatively weak defensive potential recently. Lugano has a 50% defensive potential at home, while Fenerbahce’s away defensive potential is only 7%, indicating a high likelihood of both teams conceding goals.

3. Past performances: The recent results of Lugano at home and Fenerbahce away also suggest a match where both teams score. Lugano’s home matches have regularly seen goals from both sides, while Fenerbahce has also managed to score in almost all of its recent away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Fewer than 4.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

“Lugano 1-2 Fenerbahce”

1. Recent statistics: In their last 5 matches, Lugano has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 50%, while Fenerbahce has an offensive potential of 86% and a defensive potential of 7%. These statistics suggest that Fenerbahce scores more frequently and is more likely to win the match.

2. Score analysis: By considering the average goals scored and conceded by these teams in their recent matches, a score prediction consistent with the trend can be made. Lugano, averaging 1.2 goals per match, could score one goal while Fenerbahce, averaging 2.4 goals per match, could score two goals.

3. Head-to-head history: By analyzing previous encounters, it is noticed that Fenerbahce has managed to win several matches away, which strengthens the prediction of their victory for the upcoming match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lugano, at home, has a mixed form. In 5 matches, they won 3 times and drew 2 times. They have a balanced goal record of 8 goals scored and conceded. They score an average of 1.2 goals per match and concede 1.4, showing a balance but a slightly struggling defense.

Fenerbahce, away, performs less well. They won 2 times and drew 2 times in the last 5 matches. They win less away but score a lot of goals, with an average of 2.4 goals scored per match, while conceding only 0.2 on average, highlighting a more effective attack but a significantly stronger defense.

Regarding the odds, no specific probabilities have been given for Lugano to win, a draw, or Fenerbahce to win.

Regarding goals, there is a 100% probability that there will be fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals in the match. So, a low-scoring game is very likely.

There is a 100% probability that both teams will not score. A closed match perspective is therefore considered.

Based on this, the safest bet would be a match with fewer than 3.5 goals. The chances of both teams scoring are low. For a riskier bet, Fenerbahce’s offensive potential could lead to betting on a Fenerbahce win with fewer than 3.5 total goals.

The potential number of goals

Historically, Lugano seems comfortable at home, winning 60% of matches. However, its offensive output remains modest at 1.2 goals per match. The defense has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match.

On the other hand, Fenerbahce wins 40% of its away matches. The team shows a strong offensive capability, scoring 2.4 goals per match, but possesses a more fragile defense, conceding an average of 0.2 goals per match.

In recent home matches, Lugano has shown some variability in results, including games where they did not concede any goals.

Regarding Fenerbahce away matches, there have been several strong performances, although they faced difficulties against Galatasaray and Olympiakos Piraeus.

Based on these statistics, we can expect a competitive match with Lugano looking to leverage their home advantage and Fenerbahce relying on their offensive potential.

There is a 100% probability that there will be fewer than 3.5 and 4.5 goals in the match, suggesting a relatively low total score. There is also a 100% chance that both teams will not score, indicating a potentially tight and defensive encounter.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on all statistics and performance analyses, a victory for Fenerbahce is highly probable, as they have displayed significant attacking strength in their recent away matches. Trends towards a match with over 2.5 goals and a scenario where both teams score are also suggested by the data. Despite Lugano having a more modest offensive potential at home, their ability to score should not be underestimated. However, their defense appears to be their weak point, with a relatively high average of goals conceded. Therefore, an interesting bet could be placed on a 1-2 victory in favor of Fenerbahce. For long-term bets, a value bet on a total of under 4.5 goals for the match could also be considered, given that both teams have shown a tendency for matches with a total score below 5. In summary, relying on past performances and understanding the current capabilities of the teams remain key factors in effectively guiding your bets.