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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction FC Lugano HJK helsinki

    Tipps FC Lugano HJK helsinki UEFA Europa Conference League 03/10/2024

    Last update : 03/10/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    “Lugano wins the match”

    1. The probability of Lugano winning the match is estimated at 61.54%, which is significantly higher than the probabilities of Helsinki winning (17.44%) or a draw (21.03%).
    2. Lugano’s defensive potential at home is better than that of HJK Helsinki away. Lugano concedes on average 0.8 goals per match while HJK Helsinki concedes on average 1.2 goals per match.
    3. Previous match analysis: Comparing the previous match results of each team, Lugano may have shown slightly inferior performance in their home matches while HJK Helsinki has been erratic in their away performances, which could give an advantage to Lugano for this match. HJK’s mixed scores could indicate instability in their performance.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Over 2.5 goals in the match

    1. The offensive statistics of both teams are strong, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match for Lugano and HJK Helsinki in their last 5 matches. This indicates significant offensive potential that could lead to a total goals over 2.5.

    2. The defenses of Lugano and HJK Helsinki have shown weaknesses, with an average of 0.8 and 1.2 goals conceded respectively for each team in their last 5 matches. This defensive vulnerability could contribute to a high score.

    3. Analyzing the last five matches of both teams, a trend towards high scores is noted. For example, in Lugano’s home matches, four out of five had over 2.5 goals. Similarly, for HJK Helsinki in away matches, four out of five also had over 2.5 goals.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    1. Both teams have a relatively high average of goals scored per match: 1.6 for Lugano and HJK Helsinki. This statistical data shows that both teams have significant offensive potential and are capable of scoring goals.

    2. By analyzing the last 5 home matches of Lugano and the away matches of HJK Helsinki, it can be observed that in the majority of matches both teams have scored. For example, in matches like Lugano 2 – 1 FC Winterthur, Lugano 1 – 1 Saint-Gall, Lugano 3 – 3 Besiktas, as well as for HJK Helsinki in matches VPS Vaasa 1 – 1 HJK Helsinki, VPS Vaasa 1 – 3 HJK Helsinki, KI Klaksvik 2 – 2 HJK Helsinki.

    3. The probability percentages support the prediction. Indeed, according to statistics, the probability of both teams scoring is higher (62.05%) than the probability of both teams not scoring (37.95%).

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Draw or HJK Helsinki wins the match – 2.45

    1. HJK Helsinki has a higher success rate away from home, having won or drawn in 80% of their last 5 matches, compared to Lugano who has only won 20% of their last 5 home matches.
    2. The success rate for the bet “Draw or HJK Helsinki wins the match” has a probability of 38.46%, which is higher than just betting on HJK Helsinki to win the match at 17.44%. This approach – double chance bet – therefore limits the risk.
    3. The offensive potential of HJK Helsinki is the same as Lugano’s (57%), but with a superior defensive potential (43% compared to 29% for Lugano). Since defense is crucial in away matches, this strengthens the probability of HJK Helsinki winning or at least drawing in this encounter.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Lugano 2-2 HJK Helsinki

    1. Both teams have shown a similar scoring ability, each averaging 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 respective games. The score distribution in these matches also reinforces the likelihood of a high-scoring draw.

    2. The defensive performances of both teams are also comparable, with Lugano conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match at home and Helsinki conceding an average of 1.2 goals away. The recent trend of both teams conceding goals could lead to a high-scoring draw.

    3. The success probabilities for “both teams to score” (62.05%) and “over 2.5 goals in the match” (62.05%) are quite high, suggesting a strong likelihood of a high-scoring game with goals from both sides. A 2-2 scoreline fits into this narrative.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Lugano has won 20% of their last 5 home matches, drawn 20%, scored 10 goals, and conceded 13. Their offensive potential is at 57% and defensive at 29%.

    HJK Helsinki has won 40% of their last 5 away matches, drawn 40% of the time, scored 10 goals, conceded 12, with an offensive potential of 57% and defensive at 43%.

    According to the probabilities, Lugano wins at 61.54%, a draw is at 21.03%, and an HJK Helsinki victory is at 17.44%.

    Regarding goals, there is an 86.15% probability of over 1.5 goals, and 62.05% for over 2.5 goals.

    The probability of both teams scoring is quite high at 62.05%.

    Recent form shows Lugano with a 2-1 win over FC Winterthur and a 1-1 draw against Saint-Gall in their home matches. For HJK Helsinki away, they had a 1-1 draw against VPS Vaasa and a 3-1 win over VPS Vaasa.

    In conclusion, this match looks promising with a high probability of seeing many goals and a slight favor towards Lugano according to the statistics. But remember, nothing is certain in football!

    The potential number of goals

    Lugano has won only one match out of their last five at home, scoring 10 goals and conceding 13. It’s a mixed record.

    HJK Helsinki has a better away record with two wins and two draws in their last five matches. They have scored as many goals as Lugano, 10, but conceded slightly fewer, at 12.

    Lugano averages 1.6 goals scored per home match and concedes only 0.8 goals. Helsinki, on the other hand, also scores 1.6 goals per away match but concedes more, at 1.2 goals.

    The odds indicate that Lugano is the favorite to win the match with a probability of 61.54% (odds at 1.55). However, a draw is also possible with a probability of 21.03%.

    In terms of goals, there is an 86.15% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in this match (odds at 1.17).

    Both teams have a 62.05% probability of scoring during the match.

    Based on this information, I would say that the match is likely to be offensive with probably more than 1.5 goals. However, predicting the winner remains tricky.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In summary, this match between Lugano and HJK Helsinki could prove to be goal-rich given the strong offensive potential of both teams, as illustrated by an average of 1.6 goals per game. Additionally, their relatively vulnerable defenses could contribute to an increase in the number of goals. However, it is important to consider that sports betting always involves an element of uncertainty, despite thorough statistical analysis.

    Overall, Lugano has a higher probability of winning against HJK Helsinki according to the presented statistics. Nevertheless, HJK Helsinki has also shown a strong performance away from home, highlighted by a higher success rate in their last five away matches. It is also worth noting a close gap in both offensive and defensive potentials between the two teams, making a potential victory for HJK Helsinki or a draw equally likely.

    Based on the available data, an interesting bet to consider would be “Draw or HJK Helsinki to win the match.” Additionally, a bet on the exact score could be Lugano 2 – 2 HJK Helsinki, considering each team’s scoring potential and recent score trends.

    Finally, despite predicting the match outcome and probable number of goals, it is crucial to understand that football is an unpredictable sport and anything can happen. Good luck with your bets!

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction FC Lugano against HJK helsinki on 03/10/2024

    1. The probability of Lugano winning the match is estimated at 61.54%, which is significantly higher than the probabilities of Helsinki winning (17.44%) or a draw (21.03%).
    2. Lugano’s defensive potential at home is better than that of HJK Helsinki away. Lugano concedes on average 0.8 goals per match while HJK Helsinki concedes on average 1.2 goals per match.
    3. Previous match analysis: Comparing the previous match results of each team, Lugano may have shown slightly inferior performance in their home matches while HJK Helsinki has been erratic in their away performances, which could give an advantage to Lugano for this match. HJK’s mixed scores could indicate instability in their performance.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :FC Lugano to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
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    Bet option :HJK helsinki to win the game
    Probability of success :
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    Bet option :FC Lugano or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :HJK helsinki or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :FC Lugano or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :HJK helsinki or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :FC Lugano or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :HJK helsinki or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the FC Lugano vs HJK helsinki match!

    To not miss anything from the FC Lugano vs HJK helsinki match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 03/10/2024 in the UEFA Europa Conference League live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: FC Lugano vs HJK helsinki

    logo team a
    composition
    1Saipi
    46Zanotti
    6Papadopoulos
    5Hajdari
    26Marques
    29Haj
    8Grgić
    11Steffen
    25Bislimi
    31Aliseda
    10Bottani
    Lineups FC Lugano
    logo team a
    composition
    25Nijhuis
    2Lyons-Foster
    3Antzoulas
    5O'Shaughnessy
    30Pallas
    17Bandé
    6Halme
    8Kanellopoulos
    23Kökçü
    7Hostikka
    94Erwin
    Lineups HJK helsinki

    Match Highlights FC Lugano vs HJK helsinki on 03/10/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the FC Lugano vs HJK helsinki match on 03/10/2024 at Stockhorn Arena stadium.

    8'Albian Hajdari
    picto
    34'A. Papadopoulos
    picto
    56'Martim Marques
    picto
    60'S. HostikkaL. Möller
    picto
    60'A. HalmeK. Palumets
    picto
    66'M. BottaniK. Przybyłko
    picto
    66'U. BislimiDaniel Dos Santos
    picto
    66'I. AlisedaH. Mahou
    picto
    75'L. ErwinL. Plange
    picto
    75'G. KanellopoulosA. Tanaka
    picto
    77'M. Hadj MahmoudO. Doumbia
    picto
    88'Martim MarquesA. El Wafi
    picto
    88'O. KökçüK. Meriluoto
    picto
    90'Daniel Dos Santos
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between FC Lugano and HJK helsinki

    All statistics for the match between FC Lugano and HJK helsinki will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    FC Lugano
    HJK helsinki
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    62%
    38%
    Total Shots
    23
    8
    Shots on Goal
    8
    4
    Shots off Goal
    8
    3
    Corner Kicks
    5
    2
    Passing Accuracy
    88%
    82%
    Total Passes
    615
    375
    Successful Passes
    542
    307
    Fouls Committed
    14
    13
    Yellow Cards
    1
    0
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison FC Lugano against HJK helsinki!

    logo team

    Form state of FC Lugano in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team FC Lugano has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team FC Lugano has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of HJK helsinki in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, HJK helsinki has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that HJK helsinki has a form rating of %.

    buts
    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match FC Lugano against HJK helsinki!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by FC Lugano in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by FC Lugano in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by FC Lugano
    FC Lugano has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by FC Lugano in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by FC Lugano
    FC Lugano has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by HJK helsinki in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by HJK helsinki in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by HJK helsinki
    HJK helsinki has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by HJK helsinki in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by HJK helsinki
    HJK helsinki has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of FC Lugano and HJK helsinki, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions FC Lugano vs HJK helsinki: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. The offensive statistics of both teams are strong, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match for Lugano and HJK Helsinki in their last 5 matches. This indicates significant offensive potential that could lead to a total goals over 2.5.

    2. The defenses of Lugano and HJK Helsinki have shown weaknesses, with an average of 0.8 and 1.2 goals conceded respectively for each team in their last 5 matches. This defensive vulnerability could contribute to a high score.

    3. Analyzing the last five matches of both teams, a trend towards high scores is noted. For example, in Lugano’s home matches, four out of five had over 2.5 goals. Similarly, for HJK Helsinki in away matches, four out of five also had over 2.5 goals.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for FC Lugano and HJK helsinki!

    The last 5 winning predictions für FC Lugano

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für HJK helsinki

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for FC Lugano HJK helsinki?

    Finding a forecast for the FC Lugano HJK helsinki match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of FC Lugano HJK helsinki on 03/10/2024 in Stockhorn Arena are the team's past performance in the UEFA Europa Conference League, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by FC Lugano at home and HJK helsinki away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 03/10/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of FC Lugano and HJK helsinki on 03/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the UEFA Europa Conference League, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Stockhorn Arena, FC Lugano could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of FC Lugano and HJK helsinki, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of FC Lugano and the away win rate of HJK helsinki, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 03/10/2024!

    The individual performances of players from FC Lugano and HJK helsinki can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 03/10/2024 at Stockhorn Arena.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of FC Lugano and HJK helsinki, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by FC Lugano or HJK helsinki on 03/10/2024.

    author
    Author
    Alex - Winflix

    "Ca arrive..."

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