Tipps FC Luzern Yverdon Sport Swiss Super League 26/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Lucerne wins the match

1. Recent statistics show that Lucerne has been performing well at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals scored and only 1.6 goals conceded per match. This indicates a strong offensive and defensive performance when playing at home.

2. Yverdon Sport has had less convincing performances away from home, with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding 1 goal per match. This suggests a slight weakness in their offensive and defensive performance when the team plays away.

3. Considering the odds and probabilities, Lucerne has a success probability of 66.84% to win the match, which is the most likely scenario compared to a draw or a victory for Yverdon Sport. This high probability indicates that Lucerne is heavily favored to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Match history: By looking at the example of the last five matches played by each team, it is observed that Lucerne and Yverdon Sport have scored a total of 8 and 7 goals respectively, averaging at least 1.5 goals per match. Therefore, the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match is justified.

2. Superior offensive potential to defensive potential: At home, Lucerne has a higher offensive potential than defensive potential (71% to 57%). Similarly, Yverdon, away from home, has an offensive potential of 50% compared to a defensive potential of 36%. This means that both teams are more likely to score than prevent the opponent from scoring, increasing the probability of a total of over 2.5 goals.

3. Betting probabilities: Bookmakers offer a 64.77% success probability for over 2.5 goals in the match, which is significantly higher than the under 2.5 goals bet. This indicates that sports betting experts believe there is a strong chance that the match will end with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their last 5 respective matches, Lucerne has scored 8 goals at home while Yverdon Sport has recorded 7 goals away. There is a strong offensive trend on both sides, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

2. Based on defensive statistics, Lucerne has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per home match and Yverdon Sport has conceded 1 goal on average per away match. These figures show a certain lack of defensive discipline from both teams, indicating that each team has a chance of scoring during the match.

3. Reviewing the previous matches of each team reveals that in most of their recent games, both teams have managed to score goals. For instance, in Lucerne’s last home match against Lausanne, the score was 2 – 2, while Yverdon Sport drew 1 – 1 against Sion in their last away game. These past scores demonstrate the possibility for both teams to score during their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Yverdon Sport wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Lucerne 2-1 Yverdon Sport

1. Home Match History: Lucerne has a good home record in their last 5 matches with a 60% win rate and an average of 2 goals scored per match, while conceding only 1.6 goals on average per match. They have an offensive potential of 71%, favoring a prediction in their favor.

2. Yverdon Sport Away Performances: Yverdon Sport only wins 40% of the time with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match when they play away. Their defensive efficiency is significantly lower than that of Lucerne with an average of 1 goal conceded per match, indicating a probability for Lucerne to score at least two goals.

3. Overall Statistics: Lucerne has a win probability of 66.84% with an offensive potential of 71% compared to 50% for Yverdon Sport, while the probability that both teams score is 55.96%. These indicators highlight the opportunity for Lucerne to win the match with a score of 2-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Lucerne, at home, has showcased 60% wins and 20% draws in 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 10. This team averages 2 goals per match and concedes 1.6. This demonstrates an offensive potential of 71% but a defensive one of 57%.

On the other hand, Yverdon Sport, playing away, has won 40%, drawn 20% in 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals and also conceded 7. Their offensive potential is evaluated at 50% and defensive at 36%.

Predictions indicate that Lucerne is the favorite with a 66.84% chance of winning. The draw has a probability of 18.13%, and a victory for Yverdon Sport is less likely, nuanced at 15.03%.

Considering scenarios of a draw or a win, Lucerne has a high percentage of 84.97%, while Yverdon Sport has a 33.16% chance.

In terms of goals, more than 4.5 goals in the match seem unlikely despite Lucerne’s high offensive potential. The match has an 81.87% chance of having less than 4.5 goals.

Finally, the probabilities suggest that both teams will score with a success rate estimated at 55.96%, which could add excitement to the match.

The potential number of goals

Lucerne has shown a strong performance at home, winning 60% of matches and drawing 20% of the time. The team also has an impressive offensive strength, scoring an average of 2 goals per match. However, the defense also concedes an average of 1.6 goals, which makes for exciting situations.

On the Yverdon Sport side, they have managed to win 40% of their away matches. They score an average of 1.4 goals per match and generally concede 1 goal. Their defensive ability is slightly superior to that of Lucerne.

Comparing their chances of success, Lucerne has a 66.84% chance of winning compared to only 15.03% for Yverdon. The probability of a draw is 18.13%. Taking these numbers into account, a prediction could be in favor of Lucerne.

Looking at the number of goals, there is an 87.56% probability of having more than 1.5 goals in the match and a 64.77% probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals. Both teams also have a 55.96% probability of scoring during the match.

In summary, the match between Lucerne and Yverdon looks set to be offensive. Lucerne seems to have a home advantage but the defensive performances of both teams, combined with their ability to score, could lead to a goal-rich match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, a detailed analysis of statistics, recent performances, and odds suggests that Lucerne has a high probability of winning the match against Yverdon Sport. However, the prediction does not guarantee the outcome of the match, as football is an unpredictable sport and each match is unique. Yverdon Sport could pull off a surprise despite less favorable odds.

Regarding the number of goals, the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams suggest a potentially high-scoring match, with a strong likelihood of seeing more than 2.5 goals during the game. Furthermore, both teams have shown their ability to score consistently, even away from home for Yverdon Sport.

In terms of a value bet, a Yverdon Sport victory offers an interesting potential gain, despite a lower probability of success, there might be value to exploit in this bet.

The predicted exact score of 2-1 for Lucerne is based on their recent home performances and statistics, with an average of 2 goals scored per match. However, it is important to note that predicting an exact score remains a challenging task, even for sports betting experts.

Finally, the bet on both teams to score (“BTTS: Yes”) seems quite likely given their respective offensive performances.

Nevertheless, it is important to remember that sports betting involves an element of risk, and it is crucial to bet responsibly.