Tipps FC Porto B Felgueiras 1932 Segunda Liga 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Felgueiras 1932 wins the match or draw.

1. Felgueiras 1932 has a higher probability of success (65.45%) in case of a draw or their victory, which is higher compared to FC Porto B (63.35%), making this scenario more likely.

2. Felgueiras 1932 has shown a strong ability to not lose in their recent away matches with 80% of cases (20% wins and 60% draws), while FC Porto B has a poor home performance with only 40% of cases not lost (20% wins and 20% draws).

3. Felgueiras 1932 has a better defensive performance compared to FC Porto B, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match against FC Porto B’s 1.4 goals per match, which could reduce the number of goals scored by FC Porto B and therefore increase the chances of a draw or a victory for Felgueiras 1932.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Over their last 5 respective matches, FC Porto B averages 1 goal per home game, while Felgueiras 1932 averages 0.6 goals per away game. Therefore, on average FC Porto B and Felgueiras 1932 together score 1.6 goals per game, which is below 2.5.

2. In their last 5 matches, FC Porto B has a 36% offensive potential at home, and Felgueiras 1932 has a 21% offensive potential away. Consequently, the combined offensive potential of these two teams is 57% (less than 100%), suggesting there may be fewer goals scored.

3. Probabilistic data indicates a higher probability (76.44%) for fewer than 3.5 goals in the match, which also supports the idea that there could be fewer than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Match history: The recent match history of FC Porto B at home and Felgueiras 1932 away shows a trend of both teams scoring. At FC Porto B, 4 out of the last 5 home matches have seen both teams scoring, while for Felgueiras 1932, 4 out of the last 5 away matches have also seen both teams scoring.

2. Team statistics: The overall team statistics also demonstrate a scoring trend. FC Porto B has scored in all of their last 5 home matches, whereas Felgueiras 1932 has scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

3. Betting probabilities: Based on the provided betting probabilities, there is a 61.78% chance of both teams scoring. This probability is relatively high, further supporting this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

FC Porto B 1-1 Felgueiras 1932.

1. The recent performance of FC Porto B at home and Felgueiras 1932 away suggests that they tend to both score and concede goals. Specifically, FC Porto B has averaged 1 goal per match at home and Felgueiras 1932 has averaged 0.6 goals per match away. This could result in a close score with both teams finding the back of the net.

2. Felgueiras 1932 has a relatively high draw rate away from home (60%), indicating their capability to secure a draw on their travels. Similarly, FC Porto B has drawn 20% of their home matches, increasing the likelihood of a draw in this case.

3. Betting statistics support a low-scoring game. The odds indicate a higher chance of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match (79.58%) and a substantial probability of both teams scoring (61.78%). A 1-1 scoreline aligns with these expectations.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

FC Porto B have shown a mixed form at home, winning 1 out of 5 matches and conceding more goals (9) than they have scored (7). On the other hand, Felgueiras 1932 have demonstrated a good resilience away from home, securing draws in 3 of their last 5 matches, with a balanced goal record (9 scored, 9 conceded).

With an average of 1 goal scored per home match, FC Porto B exhibit an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 50%. Felgueiras 1932 struggle a bit more in attack away from home with an average of 0.6 goals per match, showing an offensive potential of only 21%, but compensated by a stronger defensive potential of 29%.

The calculated probabilities suggest a tight match, with Felgueiras 1932 having a slight edge (36.65% vs 34.55% for FC Porto B). A draw is also a possibility (28.8%). Both teams have chances of scoring, with odds of 1.72 offered for this scenario.

Considering there is over 79.58% chance that the match will end with more than 1.5 goals and 51.83% for more than 2.5 goals, bettors may consider these bets. By examining FC Porto B’s recent home matches and Felgueiras 1932’s away matches, a trend emerges with generally low scores, except for a few high-scoring games.

In summary, a close match is expected with a moderate chance of seeing over 2.5 goals. A bet on Felgueiras 1932 could be interesting, given the current odds and form.

The potential number of goals

FC Porto B has had a rather disappointing home performance with only a 20% win rate, scoring 7 goals and conceding 9 in their recent matches. As for Felgueiras 1932, they struggle to win away as well with the same 20% win rate but compensate with a 60% draw rate. Felgueiras has also scored 9 goals and conceded the same amount.

Speaking of offensive and defensive potential, FC Porto B has 36% and 50% respectively, while Felgueiras ranks lower with 21% and 29%. Thus, FC Porto B seems to have a slight advantage in both aspects.

Probability analysis suggests that the match could be tight. There is a slightly higher probability for a Felgueiras win at 36.65% compared to 34.55% for FC Porto B. However, the option of a draw or a FC Porto B win is well valued with a probability of 63.35%.

Regarding the number of goals, our data strongly favor a total of over 1.5 goals with a 79.58% probability. For riskier bets, there is a 51.83% probability for over 2.5 goals.

In summary, the statistics suggest a close match with a slight lean towards Felgueiras 1932. But remember, in football, anything is possible.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Conclusion

The match between FC Porto B and Felgueiras 1932, two teams with relatively comparable performance, seems to promise a tight encounter. Statistics and probabilities indicate a slight advantage for Felgueiras 1932 in terms of victory, although the potential for a draw is also high.

Both teams have a strong tendency to score goals in their respective matches, which increases the likelihood that both teams will score during this encounter. Furthermore, data analysis suggests a potential final score of 1-1, corresponding to a subtotal of 2.5 goals scored.

In terms of betting, a draw could offer an interesting value bet considering the current probabilities and odds. However, caution is advised for bets on over 2.5 goals, despite a majority probability for a total of over 1.5 goals.

In summary, a closely contested match, potentially resulting in a draw, with probabilities of scoring for both teams, is to be expected. Therefore, caution should guide decision-making for bets on a high total of goals while, despite inconsistent past performances from FC Porto B and Felgueiras 1932, these teams could surprise and offer a suspenseful encounter.