Tipps FC Porto Manchester United UEFA Europa League 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Manchester United wins the match.

1. Recent statistics: Manchester United has a higher probability of winning (44.39%) compared to Porto (31.55%). Furthermore, Manchester United has demonstrated an ability to score away from home by finding the back of the net in at least 80% of their last 5 away matches.
2. Defensive potential: Manchester United has a higher defensive potential at 29% compared to Porto’s 43%. This means they are less likely to concede goals, thereby increasing their chances of victory.
3. Previous match results: By analyzing Manchester United’s last 5 away matches, they have only lost twice, indicating a certain resilience they may bring into this match against Porto.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The average number of goals scored per match by Porto at home and Manchester United away is 2.2 goals respectively. This suggests that both teams have a strong offensive capability, which could lead to a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. The match history shows that Porto has a strong tendency to score multiple goals in their home games (4-0 against Arouca and Al-Nassr, 2-0 against Rio Ave, and 3-0 against GIL Vicente), indicating a strong offensive performance that could help reach the 2.5 goal mark.

3. In their last 5 away matches, Manchester United has scored 3 times and failed to score twice. This indicates that they have the potential to contribute to the total goals, increasing the probability of reaching over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Porto has shown an impressive attacking performance in their home matches, scoring 15 goals in their last 5 games, with an average of 2.2 goals per match. This indicates they have a strong likelihood of scoring against Manchester United.

2. Manchester United, despite a weak overall performance away from home, managed to score in 3 out of their last 5 away matches. This indicates they are capable of scoring even against tougher opposition.

3. Both Porto and Manchester United have defenses that have conceded goals in their respective last 5 matches, with 15 and 8 goals conceded, respectively. This shows a defensive weakness on both sides, increasing the chances of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Manchester United wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Porto 2-2 Manchester United

1. The statistics show that both teams have a strong offensive potential, with both averaging 2.2 goals per match. This makes a high score like 2-2 plausible.
2. According to statistics, Porto has a high home win rate, but has also conceded as many goals as they have scored in their last 5 matches, totaling 15 goals. This suggests a vulnerable defense, likely to concede goals to Manchester United.
3. The probability of both teams scoring is 55.08%, which is higher than the probability of them not scoring (44.92%). This reinforces the expectation of a match where each team could score at least once. Therefore, a 2-2 draw seems realistic.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Porto dominates at home. They have won all their last 5 matches, scoring 15 goals in total. However, defense is a concern as they have also conceded 15 goals.

Manchester United struggles away from home. They have won only one match in their last 5 away games, scoring 6 goals and conceding 8.

Both teams score a lot. Porto averages 2.2 goals per match and Manchester United averages 2.2 goals per match as well.

Porto has a better defense at home, with a defensive potential of 43% compared to Manchester United’s 29% away from home.

In terms of predictions, Manchester United has a higher chance of winning the match at 44.39% according to the stats. However, it is still risky given their current away form.

An interesting prediction is “Draw or Porto win”, with a 55.61% chance of success.

Looking at the offensive potential, betting on “Over 1.5 goals in the match” could be a good option with a 77.54% success rate.

In summary, Porto is strong at home while Manchester United is less effective away. Goals are likely, and there could be a potential win or draw for Porto.

The potential number of goals

Porto is strong at home, winning 100% of their last 5 matches. Their offense averages 2.2 goals per game, with a defense that concedes 1.2. Manchester United, on the road, has been more discreet. They have won only one match out of their last 5, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistically, Porto is favored with a 31.55% chance of winning, but do not overlook Manchester United who has a 44.39% chance of victory. The draw is at 24.06%.

The numbers suggest a slightly favorable match for Manchester United with a higher chance of winning. However, given Porto’s impressive home form, a bet on a draw or a Porto victory could be considered (55.61% chance of success).

In terms of goals, the match is likely to see over 1.5 goals with a 77.54% chance, but under 2.5 goals would be a safer bet with a 48.13% success rate.

Ultimately, both teams are expected to score, with a 55.08% chance. The recent performances of both teams support this hypothesis, with Porto showing offensive power at home and Manchester United regularly finding the net on the road.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, given all the statistics and analysis, the match between Porto and Manchester United promises to be competitive and interesting. Although Manchester United appears to have a slight advantage overall, given their offensive and defensive potential, it is important to consider Porto’s strength at home. Therefore, we can expect a match where both teams could potentially score. Moreover, there is a fairly high probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in this match. In terms of betting, despite the slight perceived advantage for Manchester United, it may be more prudent to bet on a draw or a Porto victory. It is always recommended to take the latest information into account before placing a bet.