Tipps FC Porto Sporting CP Coupe du Portugal 26/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sporting win the match

1. Sporting has a better away performance compared to Porto at home. Sporting has a 60% win rate in their last 5 away matches, while Porto has a 40% win rate at home.
2. Sporting has a stronger defensive record than Porto, conceding only 0.4 goals per match on average compared to Porto’s 0.8. This could help Sporting contain Porto’s offense.
3. Sporting has a success probability of 100% indicated versus 0% for Porto. This may suggest a strong trend or favorable gameplay dynamic for Sporting.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The statistics from the last matches indicate that both teams are offensive and score a lot of goals. Porto averages 2 goals per home match and Sporting averages 2.4 goals away. This suggests a match with plenty of goals.

2. Porto and Sporting tend to concede goals, with an average of 0.8 for Porto and 0.4 for Sporting. This shows a certain defensive vulnerability that could lead to a match with over 2.5 goals.

3. By analyzing the recent clashes between the two teams, it can be seen that the score has exceeded 2.5 goals on multiple occasions, such as the match Porto 2 – 2 Sporting. This indicates a common trend towards high-scoring matches when they face each other.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Statistics show that both teams have a quite high offensive level. Indeed, Porto scores an average of 2 goals per match at home and Sporting scores an average of 2.4 goals per match when playing away.

2. Both teams also have a defense that concedes goals. Porto has conceded 12 goals in their last 5 matches and Sporting has also conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away matches.

3. Looking at the recent home matches of Porto and away matches of Sporting, it can be seen that in most of them, both teams have scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Sporting wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Porto 1-2 Sporting.

1. Sporting has a better away winning record, winning 60% of the time and drawing 40% of the time, and with an 86% offensive potential, indicating a higher offensive strength than Porto, which has only won 40% of its recent home matches.

2. Goal statistics show that Sporting averages 2.4 goals per match in away games, while Porto concedes an average of 0.8 goals at home, suggesting a possibility for Sporting to score at least two goals.

3. The success probabilities given by the bookmaker also indicate that Sporting is more likely to win the match, with a 100% success probability for Sporting winning, compared to 0% for a Porto victory.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Porto has shown a moderate performance at home, with a 40% win rate. But beware of the 20% draw rate. Defense remains a weak point: 12 goals conceded to 10 scored.

For Sporting, it’s in peak form. The win rate is a solid 60% on the road. They also manage to keep their defense tight, with only 12 goals conceded to 10 scored.

Sporting’s offensive potential is superior to Porto, at 86% compared to 71%. On the other hand, Sporting’s defensive potential is strong at 14%, compared to Porto’s 29%.

The data strongly suggests a Sporting victory with a 100% chance of success at odds of 2.35. Even a draw or a Sporting win is 100% likely, at odds of 1.35.

In most cases, the “over 2.5 goals in the match” option can be considered with a 100% success probability.

Sporting recently drew with Porto away. Benfica also managed to hold Sporting to a draw. It was a high-scoring match.

Conclusion: Sporting appears to be the favorite. A high-scoring match could be a possibility.

The potential number of goals

Porto struggles at home, with only a 40% win rate and an unstable defense, conceding 12 goals in 5 matches. However, their offensive potential is decent with 10 goals scored.

Sporting shines away from home, with a 60% win rate. Their attacking power is remarkable with 10 goals in 5 matches. Their defense is solid, conceding only 12 goals.

Porto averages 2 goals per game at home. Sporting averages 2.4 goals per game away. Expect goals.

The odds suggest Sporting has a 100% chance of winning the match – a bold prediction. Goals from both sides are also highly recommended.

Take note: Based on these numbers, the advice is to bet on Sporting winning with both teams scoring. Expect over 2.5 goals in the match.

Consider previous scores before betting, Porto has managed to score 2 goals three times in the last 5 home matches. While Sporting has won all matches without conceding, except for their encounters with Porto and Benfica where they scored 2 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the analysis of this crucial Taça de Portugal match between Porto and Sporting indicates several key elements. The major difference lies in the performance of each team. Sporting shows superiority away from home with a winning rate of 60%, while Porto has only a 40% winning rate at home.

Sporting’s defense is stronger, conceding on average 0.4 goals per match compared to Porto’s 0.8. Furthermore, Sporting has a higher offensive potential, scoring an average of 2.4 goals while Porto scores 2.

Based on these statistics, the most likely hypothesis would be a Sporting victory. The factors of each team’s current form, previous performances, and overall goal statistics also suggest a match with over 2.5 goals. Lastly, the statistics indicate that both teams have strong chances of scoring during the match.

To maximize your chances, the most advantageous bet offering good value would be to bet on a Sporting victory in a match where both teams score and there are over 2.5 goals.